Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic45.0%1,492TrumpRepublican53.6%1,778OtherAll other candidates1.4%45
R+8.6
Lead
286
Total
3,315
vs nation
R+7.2
BidenDemocratic45.5%1,497TrumpRepublican52.9%1,739OtherAll other candidates1.6%51
R+7.4
Lead
242
Total
3,287
vs nation
R+11.8
ClintonDemocratic40.5%1,181TrumpRepublican55.3%1,612OtherAll other candidates4.2%122
R+14.8
Lead
431
Total
2,915
vs nation
R+16.9
ObamaDemocratic43.9%1,240RomneyRepublican54.6%1,544OtherAll other candidates1.5%43
R+10.8
Lead
304
Total
2,827
vs nation
R+14.6
ObamaDemocratic44.9%1,296McCainRepublican53.9%1,556OtherAll other candidates1.2%35
R+9.0
Lead
260
Total
2,887
vs nation
R+16.3
KerryDemocratic36.8%1,025BushRepublican62.8%1,751OtherAll other candidates0.4%12
R+26.0
Lead
726
Total
2,788
vs nation
R+23.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+8.6MIT Election Lab
Population
4,0742024 5-year
Population density
1,771 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$102,5942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.8%2024 5-year
Black
3.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+26.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20227 cycles · 4 audited
2022 turnout
65.4%2,567 participants ÷ 3,925 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+4.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
56.5%
65.4%
2004200820122016201820202022
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2022Mid
2,567
3,925 ± 553
65.4%
Audited
E/D
3,338
3,833 ± 397
87.1%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,445
4,324 ± 421
56.5%
Audited
E/A
2,988
4,033 ± 401
74.1%
Audited
E/A
2,827
4,038
70.0%
Derived
—
2,887
4,048
71.3%
Derived
—
2,788
4,058 extrapolated
68.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Paxtonia, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
45.5%
1,497 votes · R+7.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 45.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
62.8%
1,751 votes · R+26.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 55.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,497votes
45.5% of the vote · R+7.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,492 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,778votes
53.6% of the vote · R+8.6
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 1,751 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−7.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −11.8 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+23.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +16.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Paxtonia · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Dauphin County, Pennsylvania, the county containing Paxtonia — Paxtonia’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Paxtonia, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Paxtonia sits just northeast of Harrisburg in a corridor of middle-income suburban development that has historically leaned toward Republican candidates in statewide races by comfortable but not overwhelming margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 26.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.6 points.
A population of 4,074, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,594 describe the city.
In 2024, Paxtonia, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 8.6 points (R+8.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,315 votes cast, 1,492 went Democratic and 1,778 went Republican.
How many people live in Paxtonia, Pennsylvania?
Paxtonia, Pennsylvania has a population of 4,074 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paxtonia, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Paxtonia, Pennsylvania is $102,594 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Paxtonia, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Paxtonia, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
