- Lead
- 5,396
- Total
- 80,925
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- 80.9%
Hunterdon County, NJ
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.9% of 101,153 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,696
- Total
- 83,595
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- 88.0%
- Lead
- 9,814
- Total
- 71,660
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- 76.6%
- Lead
- 11,811
- Total
- 66,624
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,316
- Total
- 69,849
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,838
- Total
- 66,680
- vs nation
- R+18.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,823
- Total
- 56,455
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,933
- Total
- 51,727
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,1602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $141,7152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morris County, NJ · twin score 91.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.9%81,841 participants ÷ 101,153 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.9%–62.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 72,709 | 94,870 | 76.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 64,285 | 95,507 | 67.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 84,673 | 96,217 | 88.0% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 61,059 | 100,141 | 61.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 81,841 | 101,153 | 80.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
117 precincts · 81,271 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Lebanon Borough Ward 00 District 01Lebanon Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 513 | 588 | 26 | 1,127 | 45.5% | 52.2% | R+6.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Glen Gardner Borough Ward 00 District 01Glen Gardner Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 485 | 555 | 14 | 1,054 | 46.0% | 52.7% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -Frenchtown Borough Ward 00 District 01Frenchtown Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 695 | 312 | 20 | 1,027 | 67.7% | 30.4% | D+37.3 |
| Precinct -West Amwell Township Ward 00 District 01West Amwell Township Ward 00 District 01 | 509 | 493 | 20 | 1,022 | 49.8% | 48.2% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -West Amwell Township Ward 00 District 02West Amwell Township Ward 00 District 02 | 488 | 501 | 14 | 1,003 | 48.7% | 50.0% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -Clinton Town Ward 00 District 01Clinton Town Ward 00 District 01 | 546 | 403 | 21 | 970 | 56.3% | 41.5% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 11Readington Township Ward 00 District 11 | 319 | 629 | 21 | 969 | 32.9% | 64.9% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 01Readington Township Ward 00 District 01 | 400 | 548 | 16 | 964 | 41.5% | 56.8% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -Clinton Town Ward 00 District 02Clinton Town Ward 00 District 02 | 479 | 421 | 37 | 937 | 51.1% | 44.9% | D+6.2 |
| Precinct -Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 05Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 05 | 384 | 495 | 25 | 904 | 42.5% | 54.8% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 02Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 02 | 343 | 509 | 10 | 862 | 39.8% | 59.0% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 05Readington Township Ward 00 District 05 | 384 | 457 | 20 | 861 | 44.6% | 53.1% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -Holland Township Ward 00 District 02Holland Township Ward 00 District 02 | 286 | 546 | 14 | 846 | 33.8% | 64.5% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 02High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 02 | 491 | 323 | 31 | 845 | 58.1% | 38.2% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 01Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 01 | 405 | 407 | 31 | 843 | 48.0% | 48.3% | R+0.2 |
| Precinct -Hampton Borough Ward 00 District 01Hampton Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 343 | 484 | 14 | 841 | 40.8% | 57.6% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 21Raritan Township Ward 00 District 21 | 420 | 389 | 15 | 824 | 51.0% | 47.2% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 01Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 01 | 283 | 522 | 13 | 818 | 34.6% | 63.8% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 04Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 04 | 325 | 472 | 15 | 812 | 40.0% | 58.1% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 02Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 02 | 373 | 410 | 26 | 809 | 46.1% | 50.7% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 01Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 01 | 304 | 495 | 9 | 808 | 37.6% | 61.3% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 05Raritan Township Ward 00 District 05 | 354 | 418 | 35 | 807 | 43.9% | 51.8% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 03Raritan Township Ward 00 District 03 | 342 | 432 | 18 | 792 | 43.2% | 54.5% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 03Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 03 | 274 | 501 | 14 | 789 | 34.7% | 63.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 04Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 04 | 289 | 483 | 13 | 785 | 36.8% | 61.5% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -Califon Borough Ward 00 District 01Califon Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 417 | 355 | 13 | 785 | 53.1% | 45.2% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 03High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 03 | 432 | 333 | 19 | 784 | 55.1% | 42.5% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -Milford Borough Ward 00 District 01Milford Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 373 | 389 | 21 | 783 | 47.6% | 49.7% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 14Raritan Township Ward 00 District 14 | 370 | 386 | 23 | 779 | 47.5% | 49.6% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 05Clinton Township Ward 00 District 05 | 311 | 451 | 15 | 777 | 40.0% | 58.0% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 01Alexandria Township Ward 00 District 01 | 318 | 428 | 29 | 775 | 41.0% | 55.2% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 13Readington Township Ward 00 District 13 | 367 | 389 | 18 | 774 | 47.4% | 50.3% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township Ward 00 District 01Delaware Township Ward 00 District 01 | 364 | 390 | 18 | 772 | 47.2% | 50.5% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 04Clinton Township Ward 00 District 04 | 363 | 383 | 21 | 767 | 47.3% | 49.9% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -Holland Township Ward 00 District 01Holland Township Ward 00 District 01 | 302 | 451 | 10 | 763 | 39.6% | 59.1% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 15Raritan Township Ward 00 District 15 | 340 | 403 | 16 | 759 | 44.8% | 53.1% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -Union Township Ward 00 District 02Union Township Ward 00 District 02 | 330 | 410 | 15 | 755 | 43.7% | 54.3% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 09Raritan Township Ward 00 District 09 | 372 | 364 | 16 | 752 | 49.5% | 48.4% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -Union Township Ward 00 District 03Union Township Ward 00 District 03 | 358 | 376 | 18 | 752 | 47.6% | 50.0% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -Union Township Ward 00 District 01Union Township Ward 00 District 01 | 289 | 437 | 23 | 749 | 38.6% | 58.3% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 07Raritan Township Ward 00 District 07 | 388 | 340 | 15 | 743 | 52.2% | 45.8% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 02Clinton Township Ward 00 District 02 | 370 | 355 | 16 | 741 | 49.9% | 47.9% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 02Readington Township Ward 00 District 02 | 318 | 403 | 20 | 741 | 42.9% | 54.4% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -Holland Township Ward 00 District 04Holland Township Ward 00 District 04 | 245 | 471 | 23 | 739 | 33.2% | 63.7% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 03Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 03 | 308 | 418 | 13 | 739 | 41.7% | 56.6% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin Township Ward 00 District 03Franklin Township Ward 00 District 03 | 266 | 455 | 15 | 736 | 36.1% | 61.8% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -Franklin Township Ward 00 District 01Franklin Township Ward 00 District 01 | 280 | 436 | 19 | 735 | 38.1% | 59.3% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -Lambertville City Ward 00 District 02Lambertville City Ward 00 District 02 | 600 | 115 | 16 | 731 | 82.1% | 15.7% | D+66.3 |
| Precinct -Union Township Ward 00 District 04Union Township Ward 00 District 04 | 321 | 391 | 18 | 730 | 44.0% | 53.6% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 10Readington Township Ward 00 District 10 | 257 | 456 | 15 | 728 | 35.3% | 62.6% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 04Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 04 | 304 | 403 | 21 | 728 | 41.8% | 55.4% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 01High Bridge Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 355 | 343 | 23 | 721 | 49.2% | 47.6% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 19Raritan Township Ward 00 District 19 | 325 | 363 | 11 | 699 | 46.5% | 51.9% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct -Franklin Township Ward 00 District 02Franklin Township Ward 00 District 02 | 241 | 435 | 21 | 697 | 34.6% | 62.4% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 07Readington Township Ward 00 District 07 | 290 | 391 | 16 | 697 | 41.6% | 56.1% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 20Raritan Township Ward 00 District 20 | 342 | 338 | 14 | 694 | 49.3% | 48.7% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -Lambertville City Ward 00 District 01Lambertville City Ward 00 District 01 | 522 | 155 | 15 | 692 | 75.4% | 22.4% | D+53.0 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 17Raritan Township Ward 00 District 17 | 302 | 361 | 26 | 689 | 43.8% | 52.4% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 03Tewksbury Township Ward 00 District 03 | 298 | 368 | 18 | 684 | 43.6% | 53.8% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 08Readington Township Ward 00 District 08 | 324 | 349 | 10 | 683 | 47.4% | 51.1% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 01Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 01 | 298 | 375 | 6 | 679 | 43.9% | 55.2% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 02Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 02 | 236 | 413 | 23 | 672 | 35.1% | 61.5% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 06Readington Township Ward 00 District 06 | 265 | 399 | 8 | 672 | 39.4% | 59.4% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 03Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 03 | 358 | 288 | 25 | 671 | 53.4% | 42.9% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 04Readington Township Ward 00 District 04 | 280 | 372 | 15 | 667 | 42.0% | 55.8% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 03Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 03 | 277 | 360 | 26 | 663 | 41.8% | 54.3% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 03Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 03 | 203 | 447 | 10 | 660 | 30.8% | 67.7% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 03Readington Township Ward 00 District 03 | 232 | 408 | 10 | 650 | 35.7% | 62.8% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 16Raritan Township Ward 00 District 16 | 324 | 304 | 16 | 644 | 50.3% | 47.2% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct -Holland Township Ward 00 District 03Holland Township Ward 00 District 03 | 271 | 361 | 11 | 643 | 42.1% | 56.1% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 02Raritan Township Ward 00 District 02 | 286 | 338 | 18 | 642 | 44.5% | 52.6% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 03Clinton Township Ward 00 District 03 | 301 | 329 | 9 | 639 | 47.1% | 51.5% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 12Raritan Township Ward 00 District 12 | 269 | 357 | 13 | 639 | 42.1% | 55.9% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 02Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 02 | 223 | 404 | 11 | 638 | 35.0% | 63.3% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 06Clinton Township Ward 00 District 06 | 239 | 385 | 13 | 637 | 37.5% | 60.4% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 10Clinton Township Ward 00 District 10 | 289 | 329 | 15 | 633 | 45.7% | 52.0% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 02Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 02 | 367 | 234 | 26 | 627 | 58.5% | 37.3% | D+21.2 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 18Raritan Township Ward 00 District 18 | 302 | 311 | 13 | 626 | 48.2% | 49.7% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Holland Township Ward 00 District 05Holland Township Ward 00 District 05 | 223 | 384 | 14 | 621 | 35.9% | 61.8% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township Ward 00 District 03Delaware Township Ward 00 District 03 | 336 | 265 | 15 | 616 | 54.5% | 43.0% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township Ward 00 District 02Delaware Township Ward 00 District 02 | 223 | 374 | 11 | 608 | 36.7% | 61.5% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 01Raritan Township Ward 00 District 01 | 260 | 328 | 18 | 606 | 42.9% | 54.1% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 09Clinton Township Ward 00 District 09 | 289 | 305 | 11 | 605 | 47.8% | 50.4% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 07Clinton Township Ward 00 District 07 | 283 | 296 | 23 | 602 | 47.0% | 49.2% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 02Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 02 | 226 | 352 | 24 | 602 | 37.5% | 58.5% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Lambertville City Ward 00 District 03Lambertville City Ward 00 District 03 | 442 | 147 | 11 | 600 | 73.7% | 24.5% | D+49.2 |
| Precinct -Lambertville City Ward 00 District 04Lambertville City Ward 00 District 04 | 495 | 81 | 20 | 596 | 83.1% | 13.6% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 05East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 05 | 319 | 260 | 11 | 590 | 54.1% | 44.1% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 10Raritan Township Ward 00 District 10 | 292 | 283 | 14 | 589 | 49.6% | 48.0% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township Ward 00 District 04Delaware Township Ward 00 District 04 | 263 | 314 | 10 | 587 | 44.8% | 53.5% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 04Bethlehem Township Ward 00 District 04 | 206 | 355 | 15 | 576 | 35.8% | 61.6% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 06Raritan Township Ward 00 District 06 | 286 | 281 | 8 | 575 | 49.7% | 48.9% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 11Clinton Township Ward 00 District 11 | 293 | 259 | 18 | 570 | 51.4% | 45.4% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 13Raritan Township Ward 00 District 13 | 262 | 289 | 16 | 567 | 46.2% | 51.0% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township Ward 00 District 05Delaware Township Ward 00 District 05 | 336 | 220 | 10 | 566 | 59.4% | 38.9% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct -Bloomsbury Borough Ward 00 District 01Bloomsbury Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 257 | 295 | 13 | 565 | 45.5% | 52.2% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 06Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 06 | 185 | 358 | 16 | 559 | 33.1% | 64.0% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 12Clinton Township Ward 00 District 12 | 277 | 274 | 5 | 556 | 49.8% | 49.3% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 22Raritan Township Ward 00 District 22 | 289 | 247 | 19 | 555 | 52.1% | 44.5% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 16Readington Township Ward 00 District 16 | 250 | 288 | 16 | 554 | 45.1% | 52.0% | R+6.9 |
| Precinct -East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 02East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 02 | 242 | 295 | 14 | 551 | 43.9% | 53.5% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 08Clinton Township Ward 00 District 08 | 227 | 312 | 11 | 550 | 41.3% | 56.7% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 08Raritan Township Ward 00 District 08 | 194 | 343 | 13 | 550 | 35.3% | 62.4% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 04Raritan Township Ward 00 District 04 | 266 | 267 | 13 | 546 | 48.7% | 48.9% | R+0.2 |
| Precinct -East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 04East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 04 | 232 | 306 | 6 | 544 | 42.6% | 56.3% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 12Readington Township Ward 00 District 12 | 233 | 282 | 10 | 525 | 44.4% | 53.7% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township Ward 00 District 01Clinton Township Ward 00 District 01 | 239 | 269 | 9 | 517 | 46.2% | 52.0% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 05Lebanon Township Ward 00 District 05 | 179 | 311 | 14 | 504 | 35.5% | 61.7% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 01Flemington Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 284 | 195 | 10 | 489 | 58.1% | 39.9% | D+18.2 |
| Precinct -East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 01East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 01 | 220 | 253 | 14 | 487 | 45.2% | 52.0% | R+6.8 |
| Precinct -Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 04Kingwood Township Ward 00 District 04 | 176 | 304 | 4 | 484 | 36.4% | 62.8% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 14Readington Township Ward 00 District 14 | 188 | 289 | 6 | 483 | 38.9% | 59.8% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 03East Amwell Township Ward 00 District 03 | 179 | 289 | 14 | 482 | 37.1% | 60.0% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 09Readington Township Ward 00 District 09 | 191 | 276 | 15 | 482 | 39.6% | 57.3% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -Raritan Township Ward 00 District 11Raritan Township Ward 00 District 11 | 223 | 244 | 13 | 480 | 46.5% | 50.8% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -Readington Township Ward 00 District 15Readington Township Ward 00 District 15 | 176 | 265 | 13 | 454 | 38.8% | 58.4% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -Stockton Borough Ward 00 District 01Stockton Borough Ward 00 District 01 | 238 | 138 | 8 | 384 | 62.0% | 35.9% | D+26.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.0% |
| 1896 | +7.5% |
| 1900 | +13.5% |
| 1904 | +5.8% |
| 1908 | +11.6% |
| 1912 | +27.7% |
| 1916 | +13.2% |
| 1920 | −10.1% |
| 1924 | −26.0% |
| 1928 | −47.2% |
| 1932 | −5.8% |
| 1936 | +3.8% |
| 1940 | −13.3% |
| 1944 | −18.4% |
| 1948 | −23.6% |
| 1952 | −35.3% |
| 1956 | −45.9% |
| 1960 | −28.2% |
| 1964 | +19.5% |
| 1968 | −25.9% |
| 1972 | −39.7% |
| 1976 | −21.3% |
| 1980 | −31.2% |
| 1984 | −45.7% |
| 1988 | −39.3% |
| 1992 | −18.0% |
| 1996 | −15.3% |
| 2000 | −19.2% |
| 2004 | −20.8% |
| 2008 | −13.3% |
| 2012 | −17.7% |
| 2016 | −13.7% |
| 2020 | −4.4% |
| 2024 | −6.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 44.3%35,080 | 55.7%44,053 | 79,133 |
| 2018 | R | 44.9%27,654 | 55.1%33,904 | 61,558 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.6 points more Republican.
108,078 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+459 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,658 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $109,351 in average income, against $172,105 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+10.5 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Hunterdon County, NJ itself (R+6.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Somerset County, NJ689D+13.9
- Middlesex County, NJ354D+8.0
- Warren County, NJ231R+20.7
- Morris County, NJ190R+2.7
- Union County, NJ169D+24.2
- Mercer County, NJ152D+33.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Somerset County, NJ400
- Warren County, NJ291
- Middlesex County, NJ173
- Bucks County, PA163
- Morris County, NJ133
- Mercer County, NJ132
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −277 |
| 2012 | −946 |
| 2013 | −280 |
| 2014 | −636 |
| 2015 | −527 |
| 2016 | −859 |
| 2017 | −181 |
| 2018 | −5 |
| 2019 | −460 |
| 2021 | +773 |
| 2022 | −89 |
| 2023 | +41 |
| 2024 | +329 |
| 2025 | +459 |
Hunterdon's affluent, low-density exurbs west of the Raritan River have trended measurably toward Democrats over three presidential cycles, narrowing a margin that once reached double digits, though Republicans held a 6.7-point edge in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 47.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.7 points.
A population of 130,160, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $141,715 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morris County and Chester County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hunterdon County, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/34019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.