akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 15·New Jersey

New Jersey 15th State House District has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential cycles.

A competitive suburban district where margins have tightened sharply in recent cycles.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
D+26
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
261,085
2024 ACS

New Jersey 15th State House District, New Jersey: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+26%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+26MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
261,0852024 5-year
Median household income
$106,5462024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.2%2024 5-year
Black
16.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+25.8%
72,98242,505118,317
D
+31.8%
82,36842,358125,836
D
+27.7%
69,03637,921112,233
D
+27.1%
68,22338,588109,215
D
+27.2%
71,11540,366112,858
D
+15.4%
60,57044,293105,845
D
+19.1%
54,40336,32494,814
D
+21.0%
50,30231,10391,231
D
+9.3%
45,80536,48799,720
R
−3.6%
43,77747,08091,730
R
−8.9%
41,63449,82191,867
D
+1.2%
38,16937,13885,001
D
+5.2%
43,96839,52185,320
R
−8.9%
38,63046,28886,065
D
+10.3%
39,15230,84780,640
D
+40.3%
54,74923,25878,098
D
+17.8%
45,52731,75477,392
R
−7.0%
32,24237,11869,612
D
+3.0%
35,44433,37769,127
D
+10.0%
30,66824,96956,866
D
+14.3%
32,30324,18456,581
D
+12.1%
31,30924,51255,963
D
+21.6%
30,38419,51250,247
R
−5.2%
19,71721,97843,455
R
−21.9%
17,38827,19544,808
R
−30.5%
9,95320,35834,119
R
−27.3%
10,85319,31130,993
R
−10.4%
7,4409,21717,072
D
+12.7%
5,6863,85614,453
R
−17.4%
6,7479,73317,175
R
−21.3%
6,1979,74416,668
R
−19.8%
6,0339,15515,739
R
−29.5%
4,8989,25214,784
D
+1.6%
6,8926,66914,075
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
11.5%
Irish
11.2%
German
9.6%
English
6.3%
Polish
5.1%
American
2.6%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.7%
65–74
5.2%
6.7%
55–64
6.9%
6.7%
45–54
6.7%
6.5%
35–44
6.4%
6.1%
25–34
5.8%
4.9%
18–24
4.9%
8.3%
5–17
7.9%
2.8%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$106,546
Assembly District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 15$106,546
New Jersey$103,556
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.8%
Working age (18–64)8.5%
Seniors (65+)9.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
67.4%
speak English only
Spanish17.1%
Other Indo-European8.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.3%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
28.3%
Other Christian
4.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Non-Christian
3.5%
Baptist
2.8%
Methodist
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in New Jersey's mid-Atlantic suburbs, Assembly District 15 split near evenly in 2024 at R+2.8, reflecting the competitive pressure that has redefined formerly safe territory across the region.

The Democratic margin in New Jersey 15th State House District reached its widest at forty points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was twenty-six points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $106,546, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 261,085 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 15, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 15, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 15, New Jersey voted Democratic by 25.8 points (D+26), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 118,317 votes cast, 72,982 went Democratic and 42,505 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 15, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 15, New Jersey as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 15, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 15, New Jersey voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Assembly District 15, New Jersey?
Assembly District 15, New Jersey has a population of 261,085 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 15, New Jersey?
Median household income in Assembly District 15, New Jersey is $106,546 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Assembly District 15, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 15, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.