- Lead
- 17,355
- Total
- 122,230
- vs nation
- D+15.7
New Jersey 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,443
- Total
- 129,771
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Lead
- 13,981
- Total
- 109,007
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Lead
- 10,462
- Total
- 100,906
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 11,678
- Total
- 106,205
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Lead
- 1,652
- Total
- 98,800
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 4,529
- Total
- 85,672
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Lead
- 6,272
- Total
- 81,446
- vs nation
- R+0.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 226,7612024 5-year
- Population density
- 789 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 288 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $160,2592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25.6 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 21, NJ · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
New Jersey 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.9%
37,084 votes · D+36.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.2%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
61.2%
43,594 votes · R+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 60.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
76,692votes
59.1% of the vote · D+20.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 68,334 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
50,979votes
41.7% of the vote · D+14.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 50,249 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+21.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.3 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +16.8 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+11.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+6.4 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +9.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 54.3%61,750 | 45.7%51,980 | 113,730 |
| 2018 | R | 49.3%25,415 | 50.7%26,135 | 51,550 |
Anchored in communities west of Newark, this district posted a 13.8-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting the broader suburban Essex pattern of college-educated voters and dense municipal cores.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 25.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.2 points.
A population of 226,761, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $160,259 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 21 and State Senate District 39.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Jersey 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/34016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.