Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
New Jersey 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2008D+42.42012D+43.32016D+45.72020D+47.82024D+41.5
full record · 20082024
D+41.5
2024
median income$95,296U.S. $80,734 · NJ $103,556
median age39.8U.S. 39.1 · NJ 40.3
poverty rate12.5%U.S. 12.5% · NJ 9.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)47.1%U.S. 35.6% · NJ 43.5%
non-english32.6%U.S. 22.3% · NJ 33.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Italian9.8%
Irish9.6%
German8.2%
African American18.8%
Haitian1.4%
Jamaican1.1%
Guatemalan5.5%
Puerto Rican5.0%
Dominican2.7%
Asian Indian6.7%
Chinese2.1%
Filipino0.7%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Mercer County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

New Jersey 15th State Senate District

Akashic
New Jersey 15th State Senate DistrictHarrisD+41.5
2024
2024 presidential margin for New Jersey 15th State Senate DistrictThe boundary of New Jersey 15th State Senate District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+41.5), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.New Jersey 15th State Senate District · D+41.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic69.6%64,098
Donald TrumpRepublican28.1%25,856
Jill SteinGreen2.3%2,129
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 2 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for New Jersey 15th State Senate District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Hunterdon County, NJRepublicanR+6.6
Mercer County, NJDemocraticD+33.8
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). † 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
69.6%Harris64,098
28.1%Trump25,856
2.3%Stein2,129
+41.5%
92,083
D
73.5%Biden74,869
25.7%Trump26,200
0.8%Jorgensen790
+47.8%
101,859
D
71.1%Clinton65,714
25.5%Trump23,528
3.4%Johnson3,118
+45.7%
92,360
D
71.7%Obama65,338
28.3%Romney25,830
0.0%
+43.3%
91,168
D
70.6%Obama67,290
28.2%McCain26,841
1.2%Nader1,181
+42.4%
95,312
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +41.5% in 2024.+41.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+42.4%
2012+43.3%
2016+45.7%
2020+47.8%
2024+41.5%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DShirley TurnerState Senate · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

New Jersey's 15th Senate district, with over 234,000 residents, has shifted toward competitive territory, posting an R+2.8 presidential margin in 2024 — a signal that its suburban electorate remains genuinely contested.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.8 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.5 points.

A population of 234,229, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,296 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 20 and State Senate District 18.

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/34015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Jersey at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within New Jersey 15th State Senate District

Frequently asked questions

How did New Jersey 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey 15th State Senate District voted Democratic by 41.5 points (D+41.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 92,083 votes cast, 64,098 went Democratic and 25,856 went Republican.
How many people live in New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
New Jersey 15th State Senate District has a population of 234,229 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in New Jersey 15th State Senate District is $95,296 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in New Jersey 15th State Senate District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.