HarrisDemocratic30.8%19,548TrumpRepublican68.7%43,633OliverLibertarian0.3%169
R+37.9- Lead
- 24,085
- Total
- 63,472
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Akashiccounty
Fayette County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 101,016 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.9%20,444TrumpRepublican66.3%41,227JorgensenLibertarian0.8%468
R+33.4- Lead
- 20,783
- Total
- 62,139
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- 59.8%
ClintonDemocratic33.2%17,946TrumpRepublican63.9%34,590JohnsonLibertarian1.6%853
R+30.8- Lead
- 16,644
- Total
- 54,099
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- 51.1%
ObamaDemocratic45.2%21,971RomneyRepublican53.5%26,018JohnsonLibertarian0.8%365
R+8.3- Lead
- 4,047
- Total
- 48,649
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.2%25,866McCainRepublican49.6%26,081OtherAll other candidates1.2%613
R+0.4- Lead
- 215
- Total
- 52,560
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.2%29,120BushRepublican45.8%25,045OtherAll other candidates1.0%542
D+7.4- Lead
- 4,075
- Total
- 54,707
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic56.8%28,152BushRepublican40.4%20,013NaderGreen1.6%798
D+16.4- Lead
- 8,139
- Total
- 49,532
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.6%26,359DoleRepublican30.1%14,019PerotReform12.3%5,722
D+26.5- Lead
- 12,340
- Total
- 46,532
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 125,9972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,2362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson County, OH · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.1%63,717 participants ÷ 101,016 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.2%–50.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 54,880 | 107,353 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 41,511 | 105,884 | 39.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 62,325 | 104,206 | 59.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 47,200 | 102,723 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 63,717 | 101,016 | 63.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
176 precincts · 63,472 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0860420510860 | 1,090 | 1,752 | 18 | 2,860 | 38.1% | 61.3% | R+23.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0100420510100 | 457 | 1,854 | 11 | 2,322 | 19.7% | 79.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 0221420510221 | 662 | 1,542 | 7 | 2,211 | 29.9% | 69.7% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct 1072420511072 | 679 | 1,436 | 11 | 2,126 | 31.9% | 67.5% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct 0640420510640 | 557 | 1,426 | 10 | 1,993 | 27.9% | 71.6% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 1111420511111 | 458 | 1,278 | 8 | 1,744 | 26.3% | 73.3% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct 0811420510811 | 358 | 1,265 | 11 | 1,634 | 21.9% | 77.4% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct 0880420510880 | 553 | 1,045 | 5 | 1,603 | 34.5% | 65.2% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct 0660420510660 | 560 | 1,010 | 5 | 1,575 | 35.6% | 64.1% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct 0870420510870 | 553 | 917 | 9 | 1,479 | 37.4% | 62.0% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 0536420510536 | 482 | 931 | 5 | 1,418 | 34.0% | 65.7% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct 0211420510211 | 305 | 1,098 | 2 | 1,405 | 21.7% | 78.1% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct 0692420510692 | 417 | 891 | 9 | 1,317 | 31.7% | 67.7% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct 0915420510915 | 300 | 990 | 4 | 1,294 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct 0630420510630 | 434 | 780 | 6 | 1,220 | 35.6% | 63.9% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct 0331420510331 | 302 | 886 | 4 | 1,192 | 25.3% | 74.3% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct 0320420510320 | 303 | 874 | 4 | 1,181 | 25.7% | 74.0% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct 0190420510190 | 289 | 862 | 3 | 1,154 | 25.0% | 74.7% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct 0435420510435 | 294 | 817 | 3 | 1,114 | 26.4% | 73.3% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct 0350420510350 | 323 | 773 | 1 | 1,097 | 29.4% | 70.5% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct 0570420510570 | 325 | 717 | 7 | 1,049 | 31.0% | 68.4% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct 0730420510730 | 381 | 640 | 5 | 1,026 | 37.1% | 62.4% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct 0131420510131 | 346 | 653 | 5 | 1,004 | 34.5% | 65.0% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct 0270420510270 | 247 | 686 | 2 | 935 | 26.4% | 73.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct 0761420510761 | 346 | 575 | 6 | 927 | 37.3% | 62.0% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct 0601420510601 | 215 | 701 | 8 | 924 | 23.3% | 75.9% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct 0420420510420 | 202 | 716 | 5 | 923 | 21.9% | 77.6% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct 0850420510850 | 236 | 680 | 2 | 918 | 25.7% | 74.1% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct 1045420511045 | 191 | 710 | 3 | 904 | 21.1% | 78.5% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct 0140420510140 | 314 | 581 | 5 | 900 | 34.9% | 64.6% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct 0751420510751 | 298 | 549 | 5 | 852 | 35.0% | 64.4% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct 0110420510110 | 163 | 674 | 6 | 843 | 19.3% | 80.0% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct 0890420510890 | 108 | 706 | 0 | 814 | 13.3% | 86.7% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct 0120420510120 | 232 | 571 | 7 | 810 | 28.6% | 70.5% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct 0470420510470 | 295 | 484 | 0 | 779 | 37.9% | 62.1% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct 0310420510310 | 184 | 587 | 4 | 775 | 23.7% | 75.7% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct 0290420510290 | 162 | 594 | 0 | 756 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct 0945420510945 | 331 | 398 | 8 | 737 | 44.9% | 54.0% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct 0460420510460 | 223 | 453 | 2 | 678 | 32.9% | 66.8% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct 0161420510161 | 235 | 429 | 9 | 673 | 34.9% | 63.7% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 1020420511020 | 278 | 372 | 5 | 655 | 42.4% | 56.8% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct 0450420510450 | 116 | 513 | 4 | 633 | 18.3% | 81.0% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct 0560420510560 | 200 | 430 | 1 | 631 | 31.7% | 68.1% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct 0995420510995 | 319 | 289 | 7 | 615 | 51.9% | 47.0% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct 0650420510650 | 149 | 454 | 1 | 604 | 24.7% | 75.2% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 0900420510900 | 104 | 459 | 2 | 565 | 18.4% | 81.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct 0300420510300 | 152 | 378 | 1 | 531 | 28.6% | 71.2% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct 0955420510955 | 301 | 226 | 2 | 529 | 56.9% | 42.7% | D+14.2 |
| Precinct 0370420510370 | 162 | 350 | 3 | 515 | 31.5% | 68.0% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct 0366420510366 | 201 | 303 | 3 | 507 | 39.6% | 59.8% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct 0970420510970 | 276 | 222 | 3 | 501 | 55.1% | 44.3% | D+10.8 |
| Precinct 0250420510250 | 108 | 386 | 2 | 496 | 21.8% | 77.8% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct 0010420510010 | 168 | 306 | 4 | 478 | 35.1% | 64.0% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 0580420510580 | 182 | 291 | 1 | 474 | 38.4% | 61.4% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct 0740420510740 | 144 | 313 | 1 | 458 | 31.4% | 68.3% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct 0156420510156 | 129 | 326 | 0 | 455 | 28.4% | 71.6% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct 0840420510840 | 97 | 322 | 2 | 421 | 23.0% | 76.5% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct 1015420511015 | 204 | 207 | 4 | 415 | 49.2% | 49.9% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct 0930420510930 | 84 | 295 | 0 | 379 | 22.2% | 77.8% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct 0980420510980 | 258 | 104 | 0 | 362 | 71.3% | 28.7% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct 0670420510670 | 106 | 253 | 0 | 359 | 29.5% | 70.5% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct 0085420510085 | 183 | 154 | 0 | 337 | 54.3% | 45.7% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct 0260420510260 | 81 | 223 | 1 | 305 | 26.6% | 73.1% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 0480420510480 | 131 | 167 | 3 | 301 | 43.5% | 55.5% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct 0780420510780 | 88 | 198 | 2 | 288 | 30.6% | 68.8% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct 0770420510770 | 74 | 203 | 0 | 277 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 0055420510055 | 120 | 152 | 1 | 273 | 44.0% | 55.7% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct 0020420510020 | 127 | 142 | 1 | 270 | 47.0% | 52.6% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct 0280420510280 | 81 | 171 | 0 | 252 | 32.1% | 67.9% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct 0590420510590 | 115 | 134 | 2 | 251 | 45.8% | 53.4% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct 0035420510035 | 123 | 111 | 1 | 235 | 52.3% | 47.2% | D+5.1 |
| Precinct 0490420510490 | 66 | 146 | 3 | 215 | 30.7% | 67.9% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct 1060420511060 | 67 | 141 | 2 | 210 | 31.9% | 67.1% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0381420510381 | 61 | 147 | 1 | 209 | 29.2% | 70.3% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct 0200420510200 | 42 | 126 | 0 | 168 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0520420510520 | 29 | 83 | 3 | 115 | 25.2% | 72.2% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct 0680420510680 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 70.6% | 29.4% | D+41.2 |
| BELLE VERNON Voting District42_4205110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWNSVILLE TWP Voting District42_4205120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWNSVILLE WD 0142_4205135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWNSVILLE WD 0242_4205155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWNSVILLE WD 0342_4205185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BULLSKIN TWP DIST 0142_42051100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BULLSKIN TWP DIST 0242_42051110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BULLSKIN TWP DIST 0342_42051120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE TWP Voting District42_42051190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0142_42051130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0242_42051140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0342_42051150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0442_42051160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0542_42051170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONNELLSVILLE WD 0642_42051180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DAWSON Voting District42_42051200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNBAR TWP DIST 0142_42051210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNBAR TWP DIST 0242_42051220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNBAR TWP DIST 0342_42051230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNBAR TWP DIST 0442_42051240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNBAR Voting District42_42051250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVERSON Voting District42_42051260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRCHANCE Voting District42_42051270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAYETTE CITY Voting District42_42051280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP DIST 0142_42051290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP DIST 0242_42051300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GEORGES TWP DIST 0142_42051310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GEORGES TWP DIST 0242_42051320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GEORGES TWP DIST 0342_42051330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GEORGES TWP DIST 0442_42051340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0142_42051350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0242_42051360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0342_42051370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0442_42051380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0542_42051390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN TWP DIST 0642_42051400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HENRY CLAY TWP Voting District42_42051420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON TWP DIST 0142_42051430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON TWP DIST 0242_42051440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOWER TYRONE TWP Voting District42_42051450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0142_42051460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0242_42051470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0342_42051480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0442_42051490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0542_42051500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUZERNE TWP DIST 0642_42051510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARKLEYSBURG Voting District42_42051520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASONTOWN DIST 0142_42051530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASONTOWN DIST 0242_42051540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MENALLEN TWP DIST 0142_42051560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MENALLEN TWP DIST 0242_42051570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MENALLEN TWP DIST 0342_42051580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWELL Voting District42_42051590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NICHOLSON TWP DIST 0142_42051600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NICHOLSON TWP DIST 0242_42051610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH UNION TWP DIST 0142_42051630 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH UNION TWP DIST 0242_42051640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH UNION TWP DIST 0342_42051650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH UNION TWP DIST 0442_42051660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH UNION TWP DIST 0542_42051670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIOPYLE Voting District42_42051680 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP DIST 0142_42051690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP DIST 0242_42051700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP DIST 0342_42051710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRYOPOLIS Voting District42_42051730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POINT MARION Voting District42_42051740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0142_42051750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0242_42051760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0342_42051770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0442_42051780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0542_42051790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDSTONE TWP DIST 0642_42051800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALTLICK TWP DIST 0142_42051810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALTLICK TWP DIST 0242_42051820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALTLICK TWP DIST 0342_42051830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SMITHFIELD Voting District42_42051840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH CONNELLSVILLE Voting District42_42051850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH UNION TWP DIST 0142_42051860 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH UNION TWP DIST 0242_42051870 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH UNION TWP DIST 0342_42051880 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGFIELD TWP DIST 0142_42051890 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGFIELD TWP DIST 0242_42051900 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGHILL TWP DIST 0142_42051910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGHILL TWP DIST 0242_42051920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEWART TWP Voting District42_42051930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0142_42051945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0242_42051955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0342_42051970 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0442_42051980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0542_42051995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0642_420511015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNIONTOWN WD 0742_420511020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPPER TYRONE Voting District42_420511050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VANDERBILT Voting District42_420511060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP DIST 0142_420511070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP DIST 0242_420511080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP DIST 0342_420511090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHARTON TWP DIST 0142_420511110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHARTON TWP DIST 0242_420511120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +4.4% |
| 1896 | −5.1% |
| 1900 | −11.0% |
| 1904 | −23.4% |
| 1908 | −9.0% |
| 1912 | +16.9% |
| 1916 | +2.7% |
| 1920 | −19.2% |
| 1924 | −28.7% |
| 1928 | −18.3% |
| 1932 | +26.0% |
| 1936 | +37.0% |
| 1940 | +27.3% |
| 1944 | +22.9% |
| 1948 | +25.8% |
| 1952 | +23.1% |
| 1956 | +15.8% |
| 1960 | +21.0% |
| 1964 | +47.2% |
| 1968 | +25.9% |
| 1972 | −9.5% |
| 1976 | +22.9% |
| 1980 | +17.6% |
| 1984 | +24.4% |
| 1988 | +32.1% |
| 1992 | +33.0% |
| 1996 | +26.5% |
| 2000 | +16.4% |
| 2004 | +7.4% |
| 2008 | −0.4% |
| 2012 | −8.3% |
| 2016 | −30.8% |
| 2020 | −33.4% |
| 2024 | −37.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+14.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+37.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 23 points more Democratic.
79,566 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+230 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −4,099 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,954 in average income, against $66,208 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.0 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Fayette County, PA itself (R+37.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Westmoreland County, PA443R+28.4
- Washington County, PA223R+25.5
- Allegheny County, PA214D+20.3
- Monongalia County, WV94R+4.4
- Greene County, PA85R+44.8
- Somerset County, PA52R+57.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Westmoreland County, PA535
- Allegheny County, PA219
- Washington County, PA209
- Monongalia County, WV88
- Greene County, PA81
- Somerset County, PA51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +3 |
| 2012 | −291 |
| 2013 | −312 |
| 2014 | −308 |
| 2015 | −434 |
| 2016 | −586 |
| 2017 | −514 |
| 2018 | −470 |
| 2019 | −476 |
| 2021 | −539 |
| 2022 | −448 |
| 2023 | −139 |
| 2024 | +185 |
| 2025 | +230 |
Fayette County's coalfield heritage shaped decades of Democratic dominance, but a long decline in mining employment has coincided with a dramatic partisan realignment — the 2024 presidential margin reached R+38, one of the widest swings in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.9 points.
A population of 125,997, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,236 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson County and Belmont County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jefferson County
Ohio
92.5twin score
2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trendelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Belmont County
Ohio
92.2twin score
2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ Scottish ancestry
Mercer County
Pennsylvania
91.2twin score
12-yr trendItalian ancestry2004–2008 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayette County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Fayette County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fayette County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayette County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 37.9 points (R+37.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 63,472 votes cast, 19,548 went Democratic and 43,633 went Republican.
When did Fayette County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayette County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Fayette County, Pennsylvania?
Fayette County, Pennsylvania has a population of 125,997 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayette County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Fayette County, Pennsylvania is $58,236 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Fayette County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayette County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.