- Lead
- 13,725
- Total
- 31,267
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- 61.3%
Jefferson County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.3% of 51,758 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 12,810
- Total
- 33,362
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- 63.5%
- Lead
- 11,442
- Total
- 32,904
- vs nation
- R+36.9
- Turnout
- 60.8%
- Lead
- 1,649
- Total
- 33,631
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 76
- Total
- 36,071
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,839
- Total
- 36,372
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,450
- Total
- 34,636
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,190
- Total
- 34,623
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,5182024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,0552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Belmont County, OH · twin score 95.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.3%31,727 participants ÷ 51,758 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.0%–44.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 32,904 | 54,098 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 25,200 | 53,734 | 46.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 33,694 | 53,087 | 63.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 23,214 | 52,522 | 44.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,727 | 51,758 | 61.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
146 precincts · 31,257 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT SHELLEYPRECINCT SHELLEY | 162 | 784 | 8 | 954 | 17.0% | 82.2% | R+65.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT EMERSONPRECINCT EMERSON | 270 | 671 | 9 | 950 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BANTAM RIDGEPRECINCT BANTAM RIDGE | 206 | 688 | 8 | 902 | 22.8% | 76.3% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GLEN ROBBINSPRECINCT GLEN ROBBINS | 256 | 577 | 3 | 836 | 30.6% | 69.0% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ELKPRECINCT ELK | 134 | 621 | 10 | 765 | 17.5% | 81.2% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TORONTO 1-APRECINCT TORONTO 1-A | 224 | 483 | 2 | 709 | 31.6% | 68.1% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-2 | 279 | 400 | 23 | 702 | 39.7% | 57.0% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WAYNEPRECINCT WAYNE | 105 | 579 | 5 | 689 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CROSS CREEKPRECINCT CROSS CREEK | 124 | 558 | 6 | 688 | 18.0% | 81.1% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-2 | 197 | 468 | 23 | 688 | 28.6% | 68.0% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT NEW SOMERSETPRECINCT NEW SOMERSET | 124 | 544 | 5 | 673 | 18.4% | 80.8% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-2 | 165 | 487 | 13 | 665 | 24.8% | 73.2% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-3PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-3 | 205 | 449 | 9 | 663 | 30.9% | 67.7% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 2PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 2 | 116 | 528 | 6 | 650 | 17.8% | 81.2% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE APRECINCT WINTERSVILLE A | 215 | 415 | 6 | 636 | 33.8% | 65.3% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TORONTO 2-APRECINCT TORONTO 2-A | 194 | 432 | 4 | 630 | 30.8% | 68.6% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TILTONSVILLEPRECINCT TILTONSVILLE | 209 | 413 | 7 | 629 | 33.2% | 65.7% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WEST PARKPRECINCT WEST PARK | 186 | 428 | 4 | 618 | 30.1% | 69.3% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-2 | 186 | 402 | 10 | 598 | 31.1% | 67.2% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-1 | 217 | 366 | 7 | 590 | 36.8% | 62.0% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 1PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 1 | 130 | 456 | 3 | 589 | 22.1% | 77.4% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-3PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-3 | 183 | 398 | 8 | 589 | 31.1% | 67.6% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE BPRECINCT WINTERSVILLE B | 199 | 381 | 9 | 589 | 33.8% | 64.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BRENTWOODPRECINCT BRENTWOOD | 185 | 395 | 3 | 583 | 31.7% | 67.8% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SALINEPRECINCT SALINE | 129 | 445 | 7 | 581 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TORONTO 3-APRECINCT TORONTO 3-A | 177 | 379 | 5 | 561 | 31.6% | 67.6% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-1 | 168 | 347 | 24 | 539 | 31.2% | 64.4% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LINCOLNPRECINCT LINCOLN | 202 | 329 | 6 | 537 | 37.6% | 61.3% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BRILLIANTPRECINCT BRILLIANT | 126 | 402 | 2 | 530 | 23.8% | 75.8% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE DPRECINCT WINTERSVILLE D | 161 | 365 | 2 | 528 | 30.5% | 69.1% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ISLAND CREEKPRECINCT ISLAND CREEK | 118 | 394 | 12 | 524 | 22.5% | 75.2% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-1 | 152 | 350 | 7 | 509 | 29.9% | 68.8% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SALEMPRECINCT SALEM | 69 | 424 | 4 | 497 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PINE VALLEYPRECINCT PINE VALLEY | 155 | 330 | 4 | 489 | 31.7% | 67.5% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TORONTO 4-APRECINCT TORONTO 4-A | 135 | 348 | 2 | 485 | 27.8% | 71.8% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-1 | 180 | 284 | 12 | 476 | 37.8% | 59.7% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BELVEDEREPRECINCT BELVEDERE | 80 | 390 | 4 | 474 | 16.9% | 82.3% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MINGO CPRECINCT MINGO C | 139 | 322 | 4 | 465 | 29.9% | 69.2% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MT TABORPRECINCT MT TABOR | 53 | 406 | 5 | 464 | 11.4% | 87.5% | R+76.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WELLS 2PRECINCT WELLS 2 | 107 | 341 | 3 | 451 | 23.7% | 75.6% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TWO RIDGEPRECINCT TWO RIDGE | 121 | 315 | 4 | 440 | 27.5% | 71.6% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GRANTPRECINCT GRANT | 98 | 310 | 6 | 414 | 23.7% | 74.9% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MINGO APRECINCT MINGO A | 105 | 280 | 4 | 389 | 27.0% | 72.0% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MINGO DPRECINCT MINGO D | 113 | 252 | 1 | 366 | 30.9% | 68.9% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE CPRECINCT WINTERSVILLE C | 145 | 205 | 4 | 354 | 41.0% | 57.9% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-1 | 149 | 198 | 1 | 348 | 42.8% | 56.9% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ROSSPRECINCT ROSS | 60 | 279 | 0 | 339 | 17.7% | 82.3% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MINGO BPRECINCT MINGO B | 105 | 211 | 4 | 320 | 32.8% | 65.9% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GEORGES RUNPRECINCT GEORGES RUN | 65 | 248 | 2 | 315 | 20.6% | 78.7% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PINEY FORKPRECINCT PINEY FORK | 67 | 228 | 3 | 298 | 22.5% | 76.5% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-1PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-1 | 185 | 108 | 1 | 294 | 62.9% | 36.7% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT YORKVILLEPRECINCT YORKVILLE | 92 | 181 | 2 | 275 | 33.5% | 65.8% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ADENAPRECINCT ADENA | 81 | 186 | 0 | 267 | 30.3% | 69.7% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-2 | 136 | 117 | 5 | 258 | 52.7% | 45.3% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT RICHMONDPRECINCT RICHMOND | 40 | 214 | 2 | 256 | 15.6% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WINTRINGERPRECINCT WINTRINGER | 41 | 185 | 4 | 230 | 17.8% | 80.4% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BRUSH CREEKPRECINCT BRUSH CREEK | 41 | 170 | 2 | 213 | 19.2% | 79.8% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WELLS 1PRECINCT WELLS 1 | 49 | 163 | 0 | 212 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WELSMARPRECINCT WELSMAR | 27 | 171 | 0 | 198 | 13.6% | 86.4% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT RAYLANDPRECINCT RAYLAND | 58 | 136 | 0 | 194 | 29.9% | 70.1% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-2PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-2 | 80 | 92 | 5 | 177 | 45.2% | 52.0% | R+6.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT AMSTERDAMPRECINCT AMSTERDAM | 44 | 119 | 1 | 164 | 26.8% | 72.6% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT STRATTONPRECINCT STRATTON | 45 | 83 | 3 | 131 | 34.4% | 63.4% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT NEW ALEXANDRIAPRECINCT NEW ALEXANDRIA | 23 | 87 | 0 | 110 | 20.9% | 79.1% | R+58.2 |
| PRECINCT ADENA39_39081081ADB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT AMSTERDAM39_39081081ADG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BANTAM RIDGE39_39081081ABJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BELVEDERE39_39081081AEB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BERGHOLZ39_39081081ADH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BLOOMINGDALE39_39081081AEC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BRENTWOOD39_39081081ABL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BRILLIANT39_39081081AEH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BRUSH CREEK39_39081081ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CONNORVILLE39_39081081ADS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CROSS CREEK39_39081081ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT DILLONVALE39_39081081ACT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ELK39_39081081ADI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EMERSON39_39081081ACP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EMPIRE39_39081081ACK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GEORGES RUN39_39081081ADK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GLEN ROBBINS39_39081081ADT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GRANT39_39081081ACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HANNA39_39081081ACR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT IRONDALE39_39081081ACZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ISLAND CREEK39_39081081ABY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LINCOLN39_39081081ADC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LINDUFF39_39081081ABN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MINGO A39_39081081ADM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MINGO B39_39081081ADN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MINGO C39_39081081ADO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MINGO D39_39081081ADP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MT PLEASANT39_39081081ACS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MT TABOR39_39081081ABZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NEW ALEXANDRIA39_39081081ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NEW SOMERSET39_39081081ACN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PINE VALLEY39_39081081ADD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PINEY FORK39_39081081ADE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 139_39081081ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLEASANT HILL 239_39081081ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RAYLAND39_39081081ADU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RICHMOND39_39081081ACV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ROSS39_39081081ACU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SALEM39_39081081ACW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SALINE39_39081081ADA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SHELLEY39_39081081ACX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SMITHFIELD39_39081081ADF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STARK39_39081081ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBEN39_39081081ADL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-139_39081081AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-239_39081081AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 1-339_39081081AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-139_39081081AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-239_39081081AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 2-339_39081081AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-139_39081081AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-239_39081081AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 3-339_39081081AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-139_39081081AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-239_39081081AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 4-339_39081081AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-139_39081081AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-239_39081081AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-339_39081081AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 5-439_39081081AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-139_39081081AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-239_39081081AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-339_39081081AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STEUBENVILLE 6-439_39081081AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STRATTON39_39081081ACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TILTONSVILLE39_39081081ADW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TORONTO 1-A39_39081081ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TORONTO 2-A39_39081081ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TORONTO 3-A39_39081081ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TORONTO 4-A39_39081081ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TWO RIDGE39_39081081ACE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WAYNE39_39081081AEE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WELLS 139_39081081AEF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WELLS 239_39081081AEG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WELSMAR39_39081081ACF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WEST PARK39_39081081ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE A39_39081081ABT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE B39_39081081ABU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE C39_39081081ABV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WINTERSVILLE D39_39081081ACI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WINTRINGER39_39081081ACH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT YORKVILLE39_39081081AEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.5% |
| 1896 | −23.1% |
| 1900 | −27.9% |
| 1904 | −44.6% |
| 1908 | −19.0% |
| 1912 | −14.1% |
| 1916 | −11.2% |
| 1920 | −22.8% |
| 1924 | −50.5% |
| 1928 | −37.2% |
| 1932 | +6.0% |
| 1936 | +35.2% |
| 1940 | +28.1% |
| 1944 | +23.1% |
| 1948 | +24.7% |
| 1952 | +16.8% |
| 1956 | −1.0% |
| 1960 | +12.0% |
| 1964 | +47.4% |
| 1968 | +23.2% |
| 1972 | −13.9% |
| 1976 | +19.8% |
| 1980 | +12.0% |
| 1984 | +14.2% |
| 1988 | +21.8% |
| 1992 | +26.3% |
| 1996 | +26.5% |
| 2000 | +7.1% |
| 2004 | +5.1% |
| 2008 | +0.2% |
| 2012 | −4.9% |
| 2016 | −34.8% |
| 2020 | −38.4% |
| 2024 | −43.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 47,714 |
| 2018 | 48,463 |
| 2020 | 48,167 |
| 2022 | 46,775 |
| 2024 | 45,726 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+191 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −831 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,045 in average income, against $67,287 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.6 on average — 8.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Jefferson County, OH itself (R+43.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Belmont County, OH123R+47.3
- Hancock County, WV92R+46.8
- Brooke County, WV75R+44.6
- Harrison County, OH67R+55.2
- Columbiana County, OH58R+49.0
- Allegheny County, PA50D+20.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Belmont County, OH114
- Hancock County, WV95
- Allegheny County, PA71
- Harrison County, OH65
- Brooke County, WV62
- Franklin County, OH59
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −244 |
| 2012 | −149 |
| 2013 | −74 |
| 2014 | −23 |
| 2015 | −44 |
| 2016 | −296 |
| 2017 | −261 |
| 2018 | −275 |
| 2019 | −140 |
| 2021 | +370 |
| 2022 | −334 |
| 2023 | +242 |
| 2024 | +206 |
| 2025 | +191 |
Jefferson County, a former steel-industry stronghold along the Pennsylvania border, has shifted decisively over the past two decades — its 2024 presidential margin of R+43.9 reflects a working-class electorate that moved away from its historically Democratic roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.9 points.
A population of 64,518, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,055 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Belmont County and Brooke County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Jefferson County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.