- Lead
- 10,455
- Total
- 31,385
- vs nation
- R+31.8
Pennsylvania 51st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,044
- Total
- 30,959
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 7,358
- Total
- 26,920
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Lead
- 1,202
- Total
- 24,192
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Lead
- 793
- Total
- 26,413
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Lead
- 3,139
- Total
- 27,526
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Lead
- 4,980
- Total
- 25,085
- vs nation
- D+19.3
- Lead
- 6,914
- Total
- 23,607
- vs nation
- D+20.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,7842024 5-year
- Population density
- 179 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 363 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,7872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 52, PA · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 51st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.1%
23,735 votes · D+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
66.4%
20,845 votes · R+33.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 64.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
25,343votes
69.8% of the vote · D+40.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 23,735 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,845votes
66.4% of the vote · R+33.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 19,887 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+46.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+27.9 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +43.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+33.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +31.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Pennsylvania 51st State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.3 points.
A population of 64,784, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,787 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 52 and State House District 50.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 51st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.