- Lead
- 1,178
- Total
- 2,650
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- 41.8%
Forest County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 41.8% of 6,376 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,154
- Total
- 2,646
- vs nation
- R+48.1
- Turnout
- 39.6%
- Lead
- 1,058
- Total
- 2,420
- vs nation
- R+45.8
- Turnout
- 34.2%
- Lead
- 487
- Total
- 2,324
- vs nation
- R+24.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 328
- Total
- 2,444
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 582
- Total
- 2,573
- vs nation
- R+20.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 528
- Total
- 2,283
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 2,201
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,7152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,1912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oscoda County, MI · twin score 80.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 41.8%2,667 participants ÷ 6,376 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +3.1 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -13.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.1%–38.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,435 | 7,125 | 34.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,955 | 6,554 | 29.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,670 | 6,749 | 39.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,205 | 6,050 | 36.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,667 | 6,376 | 41.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 2,650 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0080420530080 | 169 | 507 | 9 | 685 | 24.7% | 74.0% | R+49.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0100420530100 | 104 | 295 | 3 | 402 | 25.9% | 73.4% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct 0030420530030 | 78 | 202 | 1 | 281 | 27.8% | 71.9% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct 0110420530110 | 85 | 178 | 3 | 266 | 32.0% | 66.9% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct 0050420530050 | 78 | 179 | 1 | 258 | 30.2% | 69.4% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct 0020420530020 | 67 | 173 | 2 | 242 | 27.7% | 71.5% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct 0010420530010 | 50 | 183 | 2 | 235 | 21.3% | 77.9% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct 0090420530090 | 68 | 115 | 3 | 186 | 36.6% | 61.8% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 0060420530060 | 25 | 70 | 0 | 95 | 26.3% | 73.7% | R+47.4 |
| BARNETT TWP Voting District42_4205310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN TWP Voting District42_4205320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY TWP Voting District42_4205330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HICKORY TWP Voting District42_4205350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOWE TWP Voting District42_4205360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JENKS TWP Voting District42_4205380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KINGSLEY TWP Voting District42_4205390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIONESTA TWP Voting District42_42053100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIONESTA Voting District42_42053110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.1% |
| 1896 | −19.8% |
| 1900 | −27.8% |
| 1904 | −47.0% |
| 1908 | −33.0% |
| 1912 | +8.5% |
| 1916 | −11.7% |
| 1920 | −34.3% |
| 1924 | −53.6% |
| 1928 | −70.3% |
| 1932 | −30.3% |
| 1936 | −20.3% |
| 1940 | −32.6% |
| 1944 | −32.9% |
| 1948 | −26.9% |
| 1952 | −40.9% |
| 1956 | −42.3% |
| 1960 | −28.7% |
| 1964 | +16.2% |
| 1968 | −25.5% |
| 1972 | −45.2% |
| 1976 | −5.4% |
| 1980 | −18.0% |
| 1984 | −27.1% |
| 1988 | −12.8% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +2.8% |
| 2000 | −23.1% |
| 2004 | −22.6% |
| 2008 | −13.4% |
| 2012 | −21.0% |
| 2016 | −43.7% |
| 2020 | −43.6% |
| 2024 | −44.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.1 points more Democratic.
3,213 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+84 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −10 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,503 in average income, against $54,325 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +23 |
| 2012 | −34 |
| 2013 | 0 |
| 2014 | −28 |
| 2015 | −38 |
| 2016 | −8 |
| 2017 | +45 |
| 2018 | +25 |
| 2019 | +22 |
| 2021 | +10 |
| 2022 | −219 |
| 2023 | −73 |
| 2024 | +181 |
| 2025 | +84 |
Forest County's roughly 5,000 residents make it the smallest county in Pennsylvania by population, and its R+44.5 margin in 2024 reflects a pattern of lopsided results common to rural, heavily forested stretches of the northern tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 70.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.5 points.
A population of 6,715, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,191 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oscoda County and Harrison County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Forest County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.