- Lead
- 3,925
- Total
- 7,110
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Turnout
- 63.8%
Harrison County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.8% of 11,288 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,024
- Total
- 7,655
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 64.9%
- Lead
- 3,410
- Total
- 7,231
- vs nation
- R+49.2
- Turnout
- 59.2%
- Lead
- 1,069
- Total
- 7,289
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 189
- Total
- 7,817
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 494
- Total
- 8,109
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 66
- Total
- 7,161
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,411
- Total
- 7,402
- vs nation
- D+10.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,4142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Belmont County, OH · twin score 86.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.8%7,200 participants ÷ 11,288 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.8%–49.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,231 | 12,217 | 59.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,951 | 12,029 | 49.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,726 | 11,900 | 64.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,267 | 11,462 | 46.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,200 | 11,288 | 63.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 7,109 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GREEN TWP/VILGREEN TWP/VIL | 208 | 681 | 9 | 898 | 23.2% | 75.8% | R+52.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CADIZ VIL SWCADIZ VIL SW | 217 | 547 | 8 | 772 | 28.1% | 70.9% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -CADIZ TWP/VIL NECADIZ TWP/VIL NE | 182 | 541 | 11 | 734 | 24.8% | 73.7% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -NORTH TWP/VILNORTH TWP/VIL | 146 | 482 | 7 | 635 | 23.0% | 75.9% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -SHORTCREEK TWP/VILSHORTCREEK TWP/VIL | 136 | 442 | 3 | 581 | 23.4% | 76.1% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -RUMLEY TWP/VILRUMLEY TWP/VIL | 85 | 473 | 7 | 565 | 15.0% | 83.7% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -MONROE TWP/VILMONROE TWP/VIL | 86 | 381 | 6 | 473 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -GERMAN TWPGERMAN TWP | 80 | 319 | 2 | 401 | 20.0% | 79.6% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -FREEPORT TWP/VILFREEPORT TWP/VIL | 78 | 294 | 1 | 373 | 20.9% | 78.8% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN TWP/VILFRANKLIN TWP/VIL | 73 | 260 | 0 | 333 | 21.9% | 78.1% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -STOCK TWPSTOCK TWP | 63 | 193 | 3 | 259 | 24.3% | 74.5% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON TWPWASHINGTON TWP | 66 | 187 | 0 | 253 | 26.1% | 73.9% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -ATHENS TWP/VILATHENS TWP/VIL | 58 | 188 | 6 | 252 | 23.0% | 74.6% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -MOOREFIELD TWPMOOREFIELD TWP | 27 | 202 | 0 | 229 | 11.8% | 88.2% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -ARCHER TWPARCHER TWP | 22 | 152 | 2 | 176 | 12.5% | 86.4% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -NOTTINGHAM TWPNOTTINGHAM TWP | 32 | 142 | 1 | 175 | 18.3% | 81.1% | R+62.9 |
| PRECINCT ARCHER TWP39_39067067AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ATHENS TWP/VIL39_39067067AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CADIZ TWP/VIL NE39_39067067AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CADIZ VIL SW39_39067067AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FRANKLIN TWP/VIL39_39067067AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FREEPORT TWP/VIL39_39067067AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GERMAN TWP39_39067067AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GREEN TWP/VIL39_39067067AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MONROE TWP/VIL39_39067067AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MOOREFIELD TWP39_39067067AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NORTH TWP/VIL39_39067067AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NOTTINGHAM TWP39_39067067ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RUMLEY TWP/VIL39_39067067ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SHORTCREEK TWP/VIL39_39067067ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STOCK TWP39_39067067ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP39_39067067ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.3% |
| 1896 | −16.5% |
| 1900 | −17.9% |
| 1904 | −31.3% |
| 1908 | −21.4% |
| 1912 | −5.1% |
| 1916 | −13.4% |
| 1920 | −34.0% |
| 1924 | −39.1% |
| 1928 | −59.7% |
| 1932 | −14.8% |
| 1936 | +4.5% |
| 1940 | −11.4% |
| 1944 | −21.1% |
| 1948 | −10.3% |
| 1952 | −19.0% |
| 1956 | −31.6% |
| 1960 | −17.5% |
| 1964 | +27.6% |
| 1968 | +0.8% |
| 1972 | −30.9% |
| 1976 | +7.3% |
| 1980 | −11.4% |
| 1984 | −11.7% |
| 1988 | +8.0% |
| 1992 | +19.7% |
| 1996 | +19.1% |
| 2000 | −0.9% |
| 2004 | −6.1% |
| 2008 | −2.4% |
| 2012 | −14.7% |
| 2016 | −47.2% |
| 2020 | −52.6% |
| 2024 | −55.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.0%1,718 | 75.0%5,166 | 6,884 |
| 2020 | R | 23.4%1,704 | 76.6%5,568 | 7,272 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,056 |
| 2018 | 10,277 |
| 2020 | 10,205 |
| 2022 | 10,035 |
| 2024 | 9,890 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+56 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −385 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,413 in average income, against $75,055 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.7 on average — 9.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Harrison County, OH itself (R+55.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, OH65R+43.9
- Tuscarawas County, OH53R+43.3
- Belmont County, OH33R+47.3
- Carroll County, OH21R+54.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, OH67
- Tuscarawas County, OH60
- Belmont County, OH37
- Carroll County, OH31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | −53 |
| 2014 | −43 |
| 2015 | −69 |
| 2016 | −107 |
| 2017 | −3 |
| 2018 | +11 |
| 2019 | −69 |
| 2021 | +69 |
| 2022 | +16 |
| 2023 | −75 |
| 2024 | −66 |
| 2025 | +56 |
Harrison County, a rural Appalachian-edge county in eastern Ohio, recorded an R+55.2 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader realignment of working-class, coal-country communities that has accelerated across the region over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.2 points.
A population of 14,306, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,414 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Belmont County and Perry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harrison County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.