HarrisDemocratic32.8%15,440TrumpRepublican66.5%31,347OliverLibertarian0.4%179
R+33.8- Lead
- 15,907
- Total
- 47,110
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- 70.0%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.0% of 67,657 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic34.7%15,978TrumpRepublican64.2%29,597JorgensenLibertarian1.1%501
R+29.6- Lead
- 13,619
- Total
- 46,076
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- 67.7%
ClintonDemocratic34.1%14,009TrumpRepublican61.9%25,428JohnsonLibertarian2.1%870
R+27.8- Lead
- 11,419
- Total
- 41,076
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- 58.7%
ObamaDemocratic44.7%17,513RomneyRepublican53.7%21,047JohnsonLibertarian0.9%334
R+9.0- Lead
- 3,534
- Total
- 39,189
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.8%19,711McCainRepublican51.9%21,851OtherAll other candidates1.3%541
R+5.1- Lead
- 2,140
- Total
- 42,103
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.2%21,387BushRepublican50.5%21,938OtherAll other candidates0.3%117
R+1.3- Lead
- 551
- Total
- 43,442
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic52.0%20,593BushRepublican45.6%18,060NaderGreen1.6%653
D+6.4- Lead
- 2,533
- Total
- 39,640
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.4%18,993DoleRepublican36.1%13,088PerotReform11.0%4,002
D+16.3- Lead
- 5,905
- Total
- 36,259
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,9312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Beaver County, PA · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.0%47,391 participants ÷ 67,657 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.6%–56.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 41,202 | 70,164 | 58.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 32,397 | 69,539 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 46,453 | 68,593 | 67.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 36,444 | 68,407 | 53.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 47,391 | 67,657 | 70.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
154 precincts · 47,110 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0220420730220 | 302 | 739 | 7 | 1,048 | 28.8% | 70.5% | R+41.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1010420731010 | 262 | 748 | 6 | 1,016 | 25.8% | 73.6% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct 0215420730215 | 278 | 681 | 7 | 966 | 28.8% | 70.5% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct 0870420730870 | 181 | 752 | 2 | 935 | 19.4% | 80.4% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct 0880420730880 | 203 | 721 | 7 | 931 | 21.8% | 77.4% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct 0710420730710 | 216 | 700 | 6 | 922 | 23.4% | 75.9% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct 0244420730244 | 337 | 579 | 4 | 920 | 36.6% | 62.9% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct 0246420730246 | 337 | 560 | 8 | 905 | 37.2% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 0820420730820 | 192 | 682 | 7 | 881 | 21.8% | 77.4% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct 0355420730355 | 380 | 491 | 8 | 879 | 43.2% | 55.9% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct 0862420730862 | 271 | 587 | 10 | 868 | 31.2% | 67.6% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct 0140420730140 | 236 | 599 | 6 | 841 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 0690420730690 | 374 | 450 | 6 | 830 | 45.1% | 54.2% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct 0830420730830 | 237 | 565 | 3 | 805 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0864420730864 | 251 | 547 | 5 | 803 | 31.3% | 68.1% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct 0160420730160 | 213 | 581 | 6 | 800 | 26.6% | 72.6% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct 0255420730255 | 185 | 611 | 4 | 800 | 23.1% | 76.4% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct 0230420730230 | 282 | 501 | 3 | 786 | 35.9% | 63.7% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct 0170420730170 | 202 | 565 | 9 | 776 | 26.0% | 72.8% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct 0760420730760 | 195 | 575 | 6 | 776 | 25.1% | 74.1% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct 0950420730950 | 279 | 492 | 4 | 775 | 36.0% | 63.5% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct 1050420731050 | 186 | 569 | 10 | 765 | 24.3% | 74.4% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct 0700420730700 | 197 | 558 | 4 | 759 | 26.0% | 73.5% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct 1040420731040 | 160 | 592 | 6 | 758 | 21.1% | 78.1% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct 0960420730960 | 278 | 471 | 7 | 756 | 36.8% | 62.3% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct 0720420730720 | 156 | 591 | 6 | 753 | 20.7% | 78.5% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct 0814420730814 | 170 | 574 | 8 | 752 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct 0110420730110 | 307 | 439 | 5 | 751 | 40.9% | 58.5% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct 0790420730790 | 219 | 506 | 2 | 727 | 30.1% | 69.6% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 0930420730930 | 281 | 428 | 2 | 711 | 39.5% | 60.2% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 0240420730240 | 228 | 472 | 7 | 707 | 32.2% | 66.8% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct 0495420730495 | 311 | 383 | 3 | 697 | 44.6% | 54.9% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct 0150420730150 | 102 | 582 | 1 | 685 | 14.9% | 85.0% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct 0200420730200 | 253 | 428 | 1 | 682 | 37.1% | 62.8% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct 0130420730130 | 143 | 520 | 1 | 664 | 21.5% | 78.3% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct 0812420730812 | 141 | 515 | 7 | 663 | 21.3% | 77.7% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct 0625420730625 | 253 | 402 | 4 | 659 | 38.4% | 61.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct 0485420730485 | 288 | 366 | 2 | 656 | 43.9% | 55.8% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct 0940420730940 | 253 | 391 | 1 | 645 | 39.2% | 60.6% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct 0345420730345 | 272 | 369 | 3 | 644 | 42.2% | 57.3% | R+15.1 |
| Precinct 0020420730020 | 219 | 414 | 4 | 637 | 34.4% | 65.0% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct 0335420730335 | 303 | 310 | 2 | 615 | 49.3% | 50.4% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct 0325420730325 | 305 | 304 | 2 | 611 | 49.9% | 49.8% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct 0010420730010 | 174 | 413 | 1 | 588 | 29.6% | 70.2% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct 0190420730190 | 218 | 356 | 2 | 576 | 37.8% | 61.8% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct 0780420730780 | 114 | 447 | 2 | 563 | 20.2% | 79.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct 0850420730850 | 136 | 415 | 9 | 560 | 24.3% | 74.1% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct 0090420730090 | 191 | 347 | 3 | 541 | 35.3% | 64.1% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 0080420730080 | 168 | 362 | 2 | 532 | 31.6% | 68.0% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct 0920420730920 | 197 | 329 | 3 | 529 | 37.2% | 62.2% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 0800420730800 | 132 | 373 | 9 | 514 | 25.7% | 72.6% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct 0840420730840 | 154 | 350 | 5 | 509 | 30.3% | 68.8% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 1000420731000 | 169 | 335 | 2 | 506 | 33.4% | 66.2% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct 0475420730475 | 268 | 234 | 2 | 504 | 53.2% | 46.4% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct 0100420730100 | 198 | 293 | 3 | 494 | 40.1% | 59.3% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct 0425420730425 | 223 | 268 | 3 | 494 | 45.1% | 54.3% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct 0035420730035 | 170 | 317 | 5 | 492 | 34.6% | 64.4% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct 0315420730315 | 279 | 195 | 8 | 482 | 57.9% | 40.5% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct 0770420730770 | 74 | 400 | 6 | 480 | 15.4% | 83.3% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct 0990420730990 | 95 | 372 | 2 | 469 | 20.3% | 79.3% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct 0050420730050 | 194 | 259 | 2 | 455 | 42.6% | 56.9% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct 0565420730565 | 159 | 260 | 5 | 424 | 37.5% | 61.3% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 0555420730555 | 221 | 190 | 4 | 415 | 53.3% | 45.8% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct 0075420730075 | 158 | 242 | 5 | 405 | 39.0% | 59.8% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 0750420730750 | 129 | 271 | 2 | 402 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 0295420730295 | 208 | 190 | 3 | 401 | 51.9% | 47.4% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct 0415420730415 | 168 | 222 | 9 | 399 | 42.1% | 55.6% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct 0910420730910 | 113 | 229 | 6 | 348 | 32.5% | 65.8% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct 0980420730980 | 111 | 223 | 2 | 336 | 33.0% | 66.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct 0665420730665 | 145 | 166 | 1 | 312 | 46.5% | 53.2% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct 0596420730596 | 219 | 73 | 1 | 293 | 74.7% | 24.9% | D+49.8 |
| Precinct 0285420730285 | 151 | 120 | 3 | 274 | 55.1% | 43.8% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct 0120420730120 | 42 | 127 | 1 | 170 | 24.7% | 74.7% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0970420730970 | 20 | 56 | 0 | 76 | 26.3% | 73.7% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct 0900420730900 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 57.1% | 42.9% | D+14.3 |
| BESSEMER Voting District42_4207310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLPORT Voting District42_4207320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 01 PCT 0942_4207340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 02 PCT 0142_4207350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 03 PCT 0942_4207360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 04 PCT 0142_4207380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 04 PCT 0242_4207390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 05 PCT 0142_42073100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLWOOD CITY WD 05 PCT 0242_42073110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ENON VALLEY Voting District42_42073120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HICKORY TWP VTD 0142_42073130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HICKORY TWP VTD 0242_42073140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITTLE BEAVER TWP Voting District42_42073150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAHONING TWP VTD 0142_42073160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAHONING TWP VTD 0242_42073170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAHONING TWP VTD 0342_42073180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0142_42073190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0242_42073200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0342_42073215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0442_42073220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0542_42073230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0642_42073240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NESHANNOCK TWP VTD 0742_42073245 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW BEAVER Voting District42_42073250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 01 PCT 0142_42073280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 01 PCT 0242_42073285 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 02 PCT 0142_42073310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 02 PCT 0242_42073320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 02 PCT 0342_42073330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 02 PCT 0442_42073340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 02 PCT 0542_42073350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 03 PCT 0142_42073410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 03 PCT 0242_42073420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 04 PCT 0142_42073470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 04 PCT 0242_42073480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 04 PCT 0342_42073490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 05 PCT 0142_42073550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 05 PCT 0242_42073560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 06 PCT 0142_42073590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 06 PCT 0242_42073600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 07 Voting District42_42073650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW CASTLE WD 08 Voting District42_42073660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW WILMINGTON Voting District42_42073690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BEAVER TWP VTD 0142_42073700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BEAVER TWP VTD 0242_42073710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BEAVER TWP VTD 0342_42073720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BEAVER TWP VTD 0442_42073730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH BEAVER TWP VTD 0542_42073740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP VTD 0142_42073750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP VTD 0242_42073760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLAIN GROVE TWP Voting District42_42073770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PULASKI TWP VTD 0142_42073780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PULASKI TWP VTD 0242_42073790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PULASKI TWP VTD 0342_42073800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTT TWP Voting District42_42073810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHENANGO TWP VTD 0142_42073820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHENANGO TWP VTD 0242_42073830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHENANGO TWP VTD 0342_42073840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHENANGO TWP VTD 0442_42073850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHENANGO TWP VTD 0542_42073860 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SLIPPERY ROCK TWP VTD 0142_42073870 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SLIPPERY ROCK TWP VTD 0242_42073880 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SLIPPERY ROCK TWP VTD 0342_42073890 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SNPJ Voting District42_42073900 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH NEW CASTLE Voting District42_42073910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLOR TWP Voting District42_42073920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP VTD 0142_42073930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP VTD 0242_42073940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP VTD 0342_42073950 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP VTD 0442_42073960 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VOLANT Voting District42_42073970 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAMPUM Voting District42_42073980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_42073990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP VTD 0142_420731000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP VTD 0242_420731010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP VTD 0342_420731020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP VTD 0442_420731030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILMINGTON TWP VTD 0142_420731040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILMINGTON TWP VTD 0242_420731050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −28.1% |
| 1896 | −33.6% |
| 1900 | −34.7% |
| 1904 | −49.9% |
| 1908 | −27.2% |
| 1912 | −1.5% |
| 1916 | −11.2% |
| 1920 | −45.8% |
| 1924 | −54.9% |
| 1928 | −50.9% |
| 1932 | −15.5% |
| 1936 | +17.2% |
| 1940 | −1.4% |
| 1944 | −4.2% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −4.8% |
| 1956 | −11.4% |
| 1960 | +1.4% |
| 1964 | +29.0% |
| 1968 | +6.2% |
| 1972 | −14.5% |
| 1976 | +11.2% |
| 1980 | +2.7% |
| 1984 | +10.8% |
| 1988 | +16.0% |
| 1992 | +20.6% |
| 1996 | +16.3% |
| 2000 | +6.4% |
| 2004 | −1.3% |
| 2008 | −5.1% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −27.8% |
| 2020 | −29.6% |
| 2024 | −33.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+18.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+33.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic.
57,319 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+287 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,697 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,418 in average income, against $69,376 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.5 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, PA itself (R+33.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Beaver County, PA260R+20.7
- Butler County, PA219R+32.2
- Allegheny County, PA194D+20.3
- Mercer County, PA178R+30.2
- Mahoning County, OH79R+9.4
- Trumbull County, OH34R+16.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Beaver County, PA230
- Mercer County, PA173
- Butler County, PA162
- Allegheny County, PA156
- Mahoning County, OH116
- Trumbull County, OH42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −284 |
| 2012 | −489 |
| 2013 | −300 |
| 2014 | −409 |
| 2015 | −252 |
| 2016 | −543 |
| 2017 | −424 |
| 2018 | −222 |
| 2019 | −396 |
| 2021 | +135 |
| 2022 | −51 |
| 2023 | +198 |
| 2024 | +53 |
| 2025 | +287 |
Lawrence County's deindustrialized Rust Belt towns have shifted sharply rightward over two decades; its 2024 presidential margin of R+33.8 places it well outside Pennsylvania's statewide competitive range.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.8 points.
A population of 85,024, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,931 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Beaver County and Cambria County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Beaver County
Pennsylvania
92.3twin score
2000–2004 trajectoryItalian ancestryelasticity
Cambria County
Pennsylvania
89.2twin score
% Catholic2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend≠ elasticity
Niagara County
New York
86.8twin score
2000–2004 trajectoryItalian ancestry% Catholic≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lawrence County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lawrence County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 33.8 points (R+33.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 47,110 votes cast, 15,440 went Democratic and 31,347 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Pennsylvania?
Lawrence County, Pennsylvania has a population of 85,024 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Pennsylvania is $61,931 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.