- Lead
- 8,998
- Total
- 34,674
- vs nation
- R+24.5
Pennsylvania 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,270
- Total
- 34,106
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Lead
- 7,573
- Total
- 30,709
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 2,476
- Total
- 27,593
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Lead
- 1,390
- Total
- 29,406
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 5,063
- Total
- 29,795
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Lead
- 4,097
- Total
- 26,475
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Lead
- 1,505
- Total
- 25,843
- vs nation
- R+14.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,1862024 5-year
- Population density
- 127 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 504 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,4562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 63, MI · twin score 91.9
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
58.1%
13,286 votes · D+16.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 47.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
76.0%
3,603 votes · R+58.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
13,846votes
47.1% of the vote · R+4.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 13,286 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,679votes
62.5% of the vote · R+26.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,928 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−6.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.5 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · −9.0 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+41.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.6 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +40.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+25.9, this district sits well outside competitive territory, reflecting the rural or small-town demographic patterns that have solidified Republican dominance across Pennsylvania's interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.0 points.
A population of 64,186, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,456 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 63 and State House District 65.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.