akashic
1876–2024
State House District 4·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 4th State House District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Pennsylvania's most reliably Republican state house seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
168,539
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 4th State House District, Pennsylvania: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
168,5392024 5-year
Median household income
$63,3542024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.7%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.0%
42,25643,13986,432
D
+1.0%
42,77641,88885,871
R
−1.6%
36,40237,62878,383
D
+16.0%
42,61930,71074,615
D
+19.9%
47,46731,54179,988
D
+8.4%
42,54735,93978,865
D
+9.2%
37,20930,71170,369
D
+16.2%
36,02424,98468,149
D
+14.5%
35,31824,60873,794
D
+5.4%
33,77230,26064,709
R
−3.1%
32,86934,99268,446
R
−2.9%
28,78130,64364,622
D
+5.3%
34,69431,09667,302
R
−18.5%
26,32338,55166,220
D
+8.5%
32,32627,02062,546
D
+39.6%
45,69319,66565,702
D
+2.1%
33,65332,27666,114
R
−23.3%
21,17434,09655,472
R
−14.2%
22,93930,59253,775
R
−8.9%
17,63921,17739,618
R
−3.4%
20,61722,07942,958
R
−7.1%
19,87922,93243,044
D
+11.4%
20,69816,04140,940
D
+3.0%
12,27311,50825,334
R
−22.5%
12,07619,13231,382
R
−50.3%
2,19412,20319,910
R
−43.0%
3,95312,19319,149
D
+3.4%
6,0395,59612,923
O
+3.7%
3,5293,10611,531
R
−24.0%
3,8676,78312,164
R
−35.9%
3,2077,48611,913
R
−22.4%
4,5617,40212,658
R
−12.1%
5,7697,40413,526
R
−7.4%
4,7545,58611,227
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.4%
Irish
13.2%
Italian
10.6%
Polish
10.1%
English
8.5%
American
3.9%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.4%
2.5%
75–84
3.2%
5.7%
65–74
6.2%
6.6%
55–64
6.8%
5.8%
45–54
5.8%
6.1%
35–44
6.0%
6.4%
25–34
6.1%
5.2%
18–24
4.8%
8.0%
5–17
7.6%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,354
State House District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 4$63,354
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.0%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.1%
Spanish2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.5%
Other Christian
6.9%
Mainline Protestant
4.3%
Methodist
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Baptist
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+25.9, this district sits well outside competitive territory, reflecting the rural or small-town demographic patterns that have solidified Republican dominance across Pennsylvania's interior.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 168,539, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $63,354 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 4, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 4, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 4, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 1.0 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,432 votes cast, 42,256 went Democratic and 43,139 went Republican.
What is State House District 4, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 4, Pennsylvania as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 18 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 4, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 4, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District 4, Pennsylvania?
State House District 4, Pennsylvania has a population of 168,539 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 4, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in State House District 4, Pennsylvania is $63,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of State House District 4, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 4, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.