HarrisDemocratic25.1%12,221TrumpRepublican73.8%36,021OtherAll other candidates1.1%543
R+48.8- Lead
- 23,800
- Total
- 48,785
- vs nation
- R+47.3
Akashicmetro area
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic25.7%12,624TrumpRepublican72.5%35,560OtherAll other candidates1.7%846
R+46.8- Lead
- 22,936
- Total
- 49,030
- vs nation
- R+51.2
ClintonDemocratic22.8%10,459TrumpRepublican72.8%33,340OtherAll other candidates4.4%2,008
R+50.0- Lead
- 22,881
- Total
- 45,807
- vs nation
- R+52.0
ObamaDemocratic28.8%12,906RomneyRepublican69.1%30,952OtherAll other candidates2.1%928
R+40.3- Lead
- 18,046
- Total
- 44,786
- vs nation
- R+44.1
ObamaDemocratic34.2%16,087McCainRepublican64.6%30,432OtherAll other candidates1.2%557
R+30.5- Lead
- 14,345
- Total
- 47,076
- vs nation
- R+37.7
KerryDemocratic32.3%14,338BushRepublican67.1%29,747OtherAll other candidates0.6%248
R+34.8- Lead
- 15,409
- Total
- 44,333
- vs nation
- R+32.3
GoreDemocratic34.2%13,383BushRepublican63.6%24,907OtherAll other candidates2.3%885
R+29.4- Lead
- 11,524
- Total
- 39,175
- vs nation
- R+29.9
ClintonDemocratic39.9%14,754DoleRepublican51.9%19,189OtherAll other candidates8.2%3,030
R+12.0- Lead
- 4,435
- Total
- 36,973
- vs nation
- R+20.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 98,1692024 5-year
- Population density
- 69 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,432 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,9002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson City, MO · twin score 90.4
presidential history
Party record book
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.9%
18,986 votes · D+15.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 56.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.8%
36,021 votes · R+48.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 72.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
18,986votes
57.9% of the vote · D+15.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 18,680 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
36,021votes
73.8% of the vote · R+48.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 35,560 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+12.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.9 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +3.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+52.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +51.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 69,378 |
| 2018 | 67,217 |
| 2020 | 70,399 |
| 2022 | 68,046 |
| 2024 | 70,296 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+484 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −473 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +275 |
| 2012 | −158 |
| 2013 | −305 |
| 2014 | −56 |
| 2015 | −374 |
| 2016 | −392 |
| 2017 | −522 |
| 2018 | −162 |
| 2019 | −362 |
| 2021 | +384 |
| 2022 | +594 |
| 2023 | −109 |
| 2024 | +230 |
| 2025 | +484 |
Anchored by Cape Girardeau, Missouri, this small Mississippi River metro draws its political character from rural Bootheel counties and a regional university town that hasn't bucked the area's deepening rightward trend.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.8 points.
A population of 98,169, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,900 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson City, MO and Joplin, MO-KS.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jefferson City, MO
90.4twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Joplin, MO-KS
89.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Woodward, OK
88.0twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ 2008 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/16020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri voted Republican by 48.8 points (R+48.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 48,785 votes cast, 12,221 went Democratic and 36,021 went Republican.
When did Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri has a population of 98,169 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Median household income in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri is $66,900 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.