Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Jefferson City, MO
presidential margin
2008R+27.52012R+36.52016R+43.32020R+42.62024R+43.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+43.5
2024
median income$73,899U.S. $80,734 · MO $70,702
median age39.7U.S. 39.1 · MO 39.2
poverty rate9.9%U.S. 12.5% · MO 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.0%U.S. 35.6% · MO 32.4%
non-english3.8%U.S. 22.3% · MO 6.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German30.0%
English10.9%
Irish9.4%
African American†5.8%
African0.2%
Mexican2.4%
Puerto Rican0.3%
Nicaraguan0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.9%
Latter-day Saints1.0%
Black Protestant0.9%
Other Christian0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Jefferson City, MO, Missouri

Akashic
Jefferson City, MOTrumpR+43.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Jefferson City, MO, MOA map of the constituent counties of Jefferson City, MO, MO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Callaway County, MO · R+43.3Cole County, MO · R+34.4Moniteau County, MO · R+62.7Osage County, MO · R+73.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.0%54,426
Kamala HarrisDemocratic27.6%21,122
Chase OliverLibertarian1.4%1,061
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (4 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Jefferson City, MO, MO — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Callaway County, MORepublicanR+43.3
Cole County, MORepublicanR+34.4
Moniteau County, MORepublicanR+62.7
Osage County, MORepublicanR+73.1
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
27.6%Harris21,122
71.0%Trump54,426
1.4%Oliver1,061
−43.5%
76,609
R
27.7%Biden20,909
70.3%Trump53,070
2.1%Jorgensen1,552
−42.6%
75,531
R
25.6%Clinton18,137
68.9%Trump48,876
5.5%Johnson3,896
−43.3%
70,909
R
30.8%Obama21,157
67.3%Romney46,268
2.0%Johnson1,359
−36.5%
68,784
R
35.6%Obama25,530
63.1%McCain45,303
1.4%Nader977
−27.5%
71,810
R
32.3%Kerry21,898
67.2%Bush45,578
0.5%Badnarik360
−34.9%
67,836
R
37.9%Gore22,878
60.2%Bush36,323
1.9%Nader1,125
−22.3%
60,326
R
39.1%Clinton20,911
50.8%Dole27,200
10.1%Perot5,401
−11.8%
53,512
R
34.6%Clinton19,878
44.4%Bush25,500
21.0%Perot12,068
−9.8%
57,446
R
34.9%Dukakis17,275
64.9%Bush32,097
0.2%Fulani118
−29.9%
49,490
R
27.3%Mondale13,986
72.7%Reagan37,206
0.0%
−45.4%
51,192
R
37.5%Carter19,099
59.4%Reagan30,237
3.1%Anderson1,578
−21.9%
50,914
R
39.8%Carter17,269
59.4%Ford25,786
0.8%McCarthy331
−19.6%
43,386
R
25.5%McGovern10,670
74.5%Nixon31,227
0.0%
−49.1%
41,897
R
33.1%Humphrey12,881
56.9%Nixon22,169
10.0%Wallace3,881
−23.9%
38,931
D
51.0%Johnson19,275
49.0%Goldwater18,521
0.0%
+2.0%
37,796
R
48.8%Kennedy19,047
51.2%Nixon19,948
0.0%
−2.3%
38,995
R
47.7%Stevenson17,550
52.3%Eisenhower19,211
0.0%
−4.5%
36,761
R
46.0%Stevenson17,598
53.9%Eisenhower20,580
0.1%Hallinan39
−7.8%
38,217
D
57.5%Truman19,565
42.4%Dewey14,424
0.1%Thurmond49
+15.1%
34,038
D
50.4%Roosevelt17,344
49.5%Dewey17,028
0.1%Thomas48
+0.9%
34,420
D
52.5%Roosevelt20,635
47.4%Willkie18,608
0.1%Thomas48
+5.2%
39,291
D
58.8%Roosevelt22,196
40.7%Landon15,366
0.5%Lemke202
+18.1%
37,764
D
66.2%Roosevelt23,444
33.5%Hoover11,844
0.3%Thomas116
+32.8%
35,404
D
51.7%Smith17,036
48.1%Hoover15,876
0.2%Thomas69
+3.5%
32,981
D
49.5%Davis15,524
46.7%Coolidge14,638
3.8%La Follette1,199
+2.8%
31,361
R
45.3%Cox13,725
54.1%Harding16,386
0.5%Debs159
−8.8%
30,270
D
53.9%Wilson9,855
45.2%Hughes8,272
0.8%Benson155
+8.7%
18,282
D
54.5%Wilson8,997
36.3%Taft5,984
9.2%Roosevelt1,516
+18.3%
16,497
D
54.3%Bryan9,574
44.4%Taft7,824
1.3%Debs236
+9.9%
17,634
D
54.1%Parker9,054
43.6%Roosevelt7,301
2.3%Debs393
+10.5%
16,748
D
55.6%Bryan9,725
42.5%McKinley7,436
1.9%Woolley328
+13.1%
17,489
D
57.9%Bryan10,108
41.0%McKinley7,162
1.1%Palmer184
+16.9%
17,454
D
53.9%Cleveland8,070
39.4%Harrison5,909
6.7%Weaver1,001
+14.4%
14,980
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −43.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−43.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+14.4%
1896+16.9%
1900+13.1%
1904+10.5%
1908+9.9%
1912+18.3%
1916+8.7%
1920−8.8%
1924+2.8%
1928+3.5%
1932+32.8%
1936+18.1%
1940+5.2%
1944+0.9%
1948+15.1%
1952−7.8%
1956−4.5%
1960−2.3%
1964+2.0%
1968−23.9%
1972−49.1%
1976−19.6%
1980−21.9%
1984−45.4%
1988−29.9%
1992−9.8%
1996−11.8%
2000−22.3%
2004−34.9%
2008−27.5%
2012−36.5%
2016−43.3%
2020−42.6%
2024−43.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Jefferson City, MOTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 104,215 in 2024.26.1K52.1K78.2K104.2K104.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Jefferson City, MO
YearTotal registered
2016101,412
201899,253
2020103,529
2022103,249
2024104,215
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Jefferson City anchors Cole County, one of Missouri's most reliably Republican metros, yet its government workforce and proximity to the University of Missouri create a distinct professional-class voter bloc that moderates margins relative to surrounding rural counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.5 points.

A population of 150,437, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,899 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Effingham, IL and Cape Girardeau, MO-IL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Effingham, IL
91.0twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
90.4twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Wapakoneta, OH
87.2twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ German ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Jefferson City, MO

counties4
Callaway CountyCole CountyMoniteau CountyOsage County

Frequently asked questions

How did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 43.5 points (R+43.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 76,609 votes cast, 21,122 went Democratic and 54,426 went Republican.
When did Jefferson City, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson City, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Jefferson City, MO, Missouri has a population of 150,437 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri is $73,899 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Jefferson City, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Jefferson City, MO, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.