- Lead
- 5,805
- Total
- 13,203
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Montgomery County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 22,252 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,639
- Total
- 13,761
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- 60.5%
- Lead
- 5,126
- Total
- 12,978
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- 55.7%
- Lead
- 1,718
- Total
- 12,188
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 341
- Total
- 12,871
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 872
- Total
- 12,930
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 316
- Total
- 13,093
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,568
- Total
- 12,631
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,9422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,6202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Macoupin County, IL · twin score 93.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%13,350 participants ÷ 22,252 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.6%–51.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,978 | 23,304 | 55.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,772 | 23,166 | 50.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,761 | 22,729 | 60.5% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,859 | 22,567 | 48.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,350 | 22,252 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
80 precincts · 12,896 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 6NORTH LITCHFIELD 6 | 212 | 435 | 26 | 673 | 31.5% | 64.6% | R+33.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RAYMONDRAYMOND | 139 | 468 | 21 | 628 | 22.1% | 74.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 1NORTH LITCHFIELD 1 | 155 | 401 | 20 | 576 | 26.9% | 69.6% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 5HILLSBORO 5 | 201 | 341 | 13 | 555 | 36.2% | 61.4% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 3HILLSBORO 3 | 193 | 331 | 19 | 543 | 35.5% | 61.0% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -EAST FORK 1EAST FORK 1 | 132 | 386 | 11 | 529 | 25.0% | 73.0% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 6HILLSBORO 6 | 174 | 326 | 17 | 517 | 33.7% | 63.1% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -SOUTH LITCHFIELD 2SOUTH LITCHFIELD 2 | 147 | 325 | 22 | 494 | 29.8% | 65.8% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -EAST FORK 3EAST FORK 3 | 143 | 333 | 10 | 486 | 29.4% | 68.5% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -IRVINGIRVING | 105 | 367 | 13 | 485 | 21.6% | 75.7% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -BOIS D'ARCBOIS D'ARC | 124 | 324 | 14 | 462 | 26.8% | 70.1% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -BUTLER GROVEBUTLER GROVE | 135 | 298 | 19 | 452 | 29.9% | 65.9% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -NOKOMIS 2NOKOMIS 2 | 93 | 335 | 11 | 439 | 21.2% | 76.3% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 2NORTH LITCHFIELD 2 | 125 | 279 | 12 | 416 | 30.0% | 67.1% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -SOUTH LITCHFIELD 1SOUTH LITCHFIELD 1 | 99 | 278 | 9 | 386 | 25.6% | 72.0% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 3NORTH LITCHFIELD 3 | 108 | 261 | 8 | 377 | 28.6% | 69.2% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 1HILLSBORO 1 | 112 | 227 | 11 | 350 | 32.0% | 64.9% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -NOKOMIS 4NOKOMIS 4 | 83 | 253 | 9 | 345 | 24.1% | 73.3% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -SOUTH LITCHFIELD 4SOUTH LITCHFIELD 4 | 86 | 236 | 9 | 331 | 26.0% | 71.3% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 2HILLSBORO 2 | 100 | 212 | 17 | 329 | 30.4% | 64.4% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -NOKOMIS 3NOKOMIS 3 | 68 | 225 | 9 | 302 | 22.5% | 74.5% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -WITT 1WITT 1 | 51 | 234 | 9 | 294 | 17.3% | 79.6% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 5NORTH LITCHFIELD 5 | 84 | 201 | 6 | 291 | 28.9% | 69.1% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH LITCHFIELD 4NORTH LITCHFIELD 4 | 75 | 204 | 10 | 289 | 26.0% | 70.6% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -AUDUBONAUDUBON | 48 | 226 | 8 | 282 | 17.0% | 80.1% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -ZANESVILLEZANESVILLE | 37 | 215 | 8 | 260 | 14.2% | 82.7% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO 4HILLSBORO 4 | 66 | 175 | 7 | 248 | 26.6% | 70.6% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -PITMANPITMAN | 54 | 149 | 6 | 209 | 25.8% | 71.3% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -SOUTH LITCHFIELD 3SOUTH LITCHFIELD 3 | 50 | 139 | 8 | 197 | 25.4% | 70.6% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -WALSHVILLEWALSHVILLE | 43 | 138 | 2 | 183 | 23.5% | 75.4% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -GRISHAM 1GRISHAM 1 | 50 | 118 | 10 | 178 | 28.1% | 66.3% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -WITT 2WITT 2 | 40 | 126 | 4 | 170 | 23.5% | 74.1% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -NOKOMIS 1NOKOMIS 1 | 35 | 115 | 3 | 153 | 22.9% | 75.2% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -GRISHAM 2GRISHAM 2 | 34 | 100 | 2 | 136 | 25.0% | 73.5% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -ROUNTREEROUNTREE | 16 | 111 | 1 | 128 | 12.5% | 86.7% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -HARVELHARVEL | 36 | 67 | 3 | 106 | 34.0% | 63.2% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -EAST FORK 2EAST FORK 2 | 32 | 63 | 2 | 97 | 33.0% | 64.9% | R+32.0 |
| AUDUBON 1 Voting District17_1713500101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOIS D'ARC 1 Voting District17_1713500201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUTLER GROVE Voting District17_1713500301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST FORK 1 Voting District17_1713500401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST FORK 2 Voting District17_1713500402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST FORK 3 Voting District17_1713500403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST FORK 4 Voting District17_1713500404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FILLMORE Voting District17_1713500501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRISHAM 1 Voting District17_1713500601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRISHAM 2 Voting District17_1713500602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARVEL Voting District17_1713500701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 1 Voting District17_1713500801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 2 Voting District17_1713500802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 3 Voting District17_1713500803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 4 Voting District17_1713500804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 5 Voting District17_1713500805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILLSBORO 6 Voting District17_1713500806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IRVING 1 Voting District17_1713500901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOKOMIS 1 Voting District17_1713501001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOKOMIS 2 Voting District17_1713501002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOKOMIS 3 Voting District17_1713501003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOKOMIS 4 Voting District17_1713501004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOKOMIS 5 Voting District17_1713501005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 1 Voting District17_1713501101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 2 Voting District17_1713501102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 3 Voting District17_1713501103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 4 Voting District17_1713501104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 5 Voting District17_1713501105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH LITCHFIELD 6 Voting District17_1713501106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PITMAN Voting District17_1713501201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -FILLMORE CONSOLIDATEDFILLMORE CONSOLIDATED | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAYMOND Voting District17_1713501301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROUNTREE Voting District17_1713501401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH FILLMORE Voting District17_1713501501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH LITCHFIELD 1 Voting District17_1713501601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH LITCHFIELD 2 Voting District17_1713501602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH LITCHFIELD 3 Voting District17_1713501603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH LITCHFIELD 4 Voting District17_1713501604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALSHVILLE Voting District17_1713501701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WITT 1 Voting District17_1713501801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WITT 2 Voting District17_1713501802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WITT 3 Voting District17_1713501803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ZANESVILLE Voting District17_1713501901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +10.8% |
| 1896 | +6.3% |
| 1900 | +6.3% |
| 1904 | −4.2% |
| 1908 | +1.5% |
| 1912 | +18.6% |
| 1916 | +5.3% |
| 1920 | −19.0% |
| 1924 | −14.1% |
| 1928 | −9.7% |
| 1932 | +26.3% |
| 1936 | +10.5% |
| 1940 | −4.1% |
| 1944 | −6.7% |
| 1948 | −2.7% |
| 1952 | −10.0% |
| 1956 | −12.8% |
| 1960 | −2.0% |
| 1964 | +24.4% |
| 1968 | −1.4% |
| 1972 | −13.6% |
| 1976 | +6.0% |
| 1980 | −20.9% |
| 1984 | −12.5% |
| 1988 | +6.6% |
| 1992 | +20.3% |
| 1996 | +12.4% |
| 2000 | +2.4% |
| 2004 | −6.7% |
| 2008 | +2.6% |
| 2012 | −14.1% |
| 2016 | −39.5% |
| 2020 | −41.0% |
| 2024 | −44.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,194 |
| 2018 | 17,971 |
| 2020 | 18,088 |
| 2022 | 16,866 |
| 2024 | 17,509 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+335 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −690 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,596 in average income, against $73,076 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.4 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Montgomery County, IL itself (R+44.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Macoupin County, IL81R+39.2
- Madison County, IL44R+13.2
- Sangamon County, IL40R+4.9
- Christian County, IL33R+46.7
- Bond County, IL30R+44.7
- Fayette County, IL25R+64.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Macoupin County, IL90
- Sangamon County, IL51
- Madison County, IL41
- Christian County, IL30
- Bond County, IL24
- Fayette County, IL21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −171 |
| 2012 | −228 |
| 2013 | −208 |
| 2014 | +156 |
| 2015 | −180 |
| 2016 | −66 |
| 2017 | −226 |
| 2018 | −41 |
| 2019 | −213 |
| 2021 | +96 |
| 2022 | +8 |
| 2023 | −81 |
| 2024 | +129 |
| 2025 | +335 |
Montgomery County's R+44 presidential margin in 2024 places it among the most lopsided counties in a state that tilts heavily Democratic statewide, reflecting a largely rural, agricultural population concentrated around the small city of Hillsboro.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.0 points.
A population of 27,942, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,620 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Macoupin County and Vermillion County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.