- Lead
- 4,759
- Total
- 14,677
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Turnout
- 55.6%
Morgan County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.6% of 26,639 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,874
- Total
- 15,333
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- 75.0%
- Lead
- 4,380
- Total
- 14,800
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Turnout
- 56.0%
- Lead
- 2,166
- Total
- 14,142
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 124
- Total
- 15,353
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,742
- Total
- 15,180
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,159
- Total
- 14,334
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 202
- Total
- 14,238
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,0212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,3062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison County, IN · twin score 89.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.6%14,820 participants ÷ 26,639 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +32.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +10.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 23.2%–33.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,438 | 27,561 | 56.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,968 | 27,570 | 43.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,389 | 27,191 | 75.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,278 | 26,475 | 42.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,820 | 26,639 | 55.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 14,725 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 11-1JACKSONVILLE 11-1 | 366 | 454 | 14 | 834 | 43.9% | 54.4% | R+10.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -S JACKSONVILLE 1-1S JACKSONVILLE 1-1 | 273 | 414 | 15 | 702 | 38.9% | 59.0% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct -PISGAH-1/2/6PISGAH-1/2/6 | 162 | 483 | 16 | 661 | 24.5% | 73.1% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 07-1JACKSONVILLE 07-1 | 304 | 338 | 13 | 655 | 46.4% | 51.6% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -MURRVL-NORTNVL-3/4MURRVL-NORTNVL-3/4 | 130 | 496 | 9 | 635 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN-3/4FRANKLIN-3/4 | 122 | 483 | 8 | 613 | 19.9% | 78.8% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 09-1JACKSONVILLE 09-1 | 241 | 348 | 20 | 609 | 39.6% | 57.1% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -CHAPIN-CONCORD-1CHAPIN-CONCORD-1 | 119 | 468 | 17 | 604 | 19.7% | 77.5% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -S JACKSONVILLE 2-1S JACKSONVILLE 2-1 | 227 | 348 | 10 | 585 | 38.8% | 59.5% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct -WOODSON-3/5WOODSON-3/5 | 131 | 448 | 5 | 584 | 22.4% | 76.7% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 03-1JACKSONVILLE 03-1 | 222 | 315 | 11 | 548 | 40.5% | 57.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 04-1JACKSONVILLE 04-1 | 182 | 354 | 11 | 547 | 33.3% | 64.7% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 06-1JACKSONVILLE 06-1 | 255 | 269 | 13 | 537 | 47.5% | 50.1% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 08-1JACKSONVILLE 08-1 | 219 | 310 | 7 | 536 | 40.9% | 57.8% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 05-1JACKSONVILLE 05-1 | 249 | 269 | 9 | 527 | 47.2% | 51.0% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -MEREDOSIA-3MEREDOSIA-3 | 147 | 371 | 7 | 525 | 28.0% | 70.7% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 12-1JACKSONVILLE 12-1 | 180 | 326 | 15 | 521 | 34.5% | 62.6% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -ARCADIA-1ARCADIA-1 | 124 | 388 | 6 | 518 | 23.9% | 74.9% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -LITERBERRY-1LITERBERRY-1 | 107 | 360 | 7 | 474 | 22.6% | 75.9% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -WAVERLY 02-3/4WAVERLY 02-3/4 | 106 | 359 | 5 | 470 | 22.6% | 76.4% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 01-1JACKSONVILLE 01-1 | 192 | 266 | 5 | 463 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 02-1JACKSONVILLE 02-1 | 192 | 256 | 12 | 460 | 41.7% | 55.7% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -ALEX-PRENT-SINC-1/2ALEX-PRENT-SINC-1/2 | 118 | 328 | 8 | 454 | 26.0% | 72.2% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -LYNNVL-MARKM-1LYNNVL-MARKM-1 | 127 | 304 | 14 | 445 | 28.5% | 68.3% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -JACKSONVILLE 10-1JACKSONVILLE 10-1 | 148 | 234 | 8 | 390 | 37.9% | 60.0% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -S JACKSONVILLE 3-1S JACKSONVILLE 3-1 | 112 | 258 | 5 | 375 | 29.9% | 68.8% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -WAVERLY 01-3WAVERLY 01-3 | 78 | 293 | 3 | 374 | 20.9% | 78.3% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -LYNNVL-MARKM-3LYNNVL-MARKM-3 | 14 | 63 | 2 | 79 | 17.7% | 79.7% | R+62.0 |
| ALEXANDER Voting District17_17137AX01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ARCADIA Voting District17_17137AR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHAPIN 1 Voting District17_17137CH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD Voting District17_17137CN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN 1 Voting District17_17137FR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 1 Voting District17_17137JK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 10 Voting District17_17137JK10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 11 Voting District17_17137JK11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 12 Voting District17_17137JK12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 13 Voting District17_17137JK13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 14 Voting District17_17137JK14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 15 Voting District17_17137JK15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 16 Voting District17_17137JK16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 17 Voting District17_17137JK17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 18 Voting District17_17137JK18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 2 Voting District17_17137JK02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 25 Voting District17_17137JK25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 26 Voting District17_17137JK26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 27 Voting District17_17137JK27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 28 Voting District17_17137JK28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 3 Voting District17_17137JK03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 4 Voting District17_17137JK04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 5 Voting District17_17137JK05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 6 Voting District17_17137JK06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 7 Voting District17_17137JK07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 8 Voting District17_17137JK08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSONVILLE 9 Voting District17_17137JK09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITERBERRY Voting District17_17137LT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNNVILLE Voting District17_17137LY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARKHAM Voting District17_17137MK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MEREDOSIA 1 Voting District17_17137MD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MEREDOSIA 2 Voting District17_17137MD02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MURRAYVILLE 1 Voting District17_17137MY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTONVILLE Voting District17_17137NT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PISGAH Voting District17_17137PG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRENTICE-SINCLAIR Voting District17_17137PS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAVERLY 1 Voting District17_17137WV01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAVERLY 2 Voting District17_17137WV02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAVERLY 3 Voting District17_17137WV03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODSON Voting District17_17137WD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.7% |
| 1896 | +0.1% |
| 1900 | −0.2% |
| 1904 | −11.0% |
| 1908 | −0.3% |
| 1912 | +28.8% |
| 1916 | −2.9% |
| 1920 | −28.6% |
| 1924 | −16.9% |
| 1928 | −27.3% |
| 1932 | +13.1% |
| 1936 | +5.1% |
| 1940 | −5.5% |
| 1944 | −12.3% |
| 1948 | −10.5% |
| 1952 | −22.1% |
| 1956 | −23.7% |
| 1960 | −14.8% |
| 1964 | +12.1% |
| 1968 | −16.1% |
| 1972 | −32.3% |
| 1976 | −9.0% |
| 1980 | −29.0% |
| 1984 | −33.1% |
| 1988 | −18.6% |
| 1992 | −1.3% |
| 1996 | −1.4% |
| 2000 | −15.1% |
| 2004 | −24.7% |
| 2008 | −0.8% |
| 2012 | −15.3% |
| 2016 | −29.6% |
| 2020 | −31.8% |
| 2024 | −32.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 22,984 |
| 2018 | 23,804 |
| 2020 | 23,239 |
| 2022 | 22,587 |
| 2024 | 45,757 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−8 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,320 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,299 in average income, against $73,139 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.3 on average — 2.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Morgan County, IL itself (R+32.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sangamon County, IL118R+4.9
- Cass County, IL49R+43.4
- Scott County, IL37R+61.2
- Greene County, IL35R+57.8
- Macoupin County, IL27R+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sangamon County, IL158
- Greene County, IL43
- Scott County, IL41
- Cass County, IL35
- Cook County, IL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −35 |
| 2012 | −156 |
| 2013 | −319 |
| 2014 | −337 |
| 2015 | −35 |
| 2016 | −39 |
| 2017 | −410 |
| 2018 | −220 |
| 2019 | −377 |
| 2021 | −88 |
| 2022 | −109 |
| 2023 | −147 |
| 2024 | −40 |
| 2025 | −8 |
Morgan County's rural, agricultural character has tracked a steady rightward shift over the past two decades, with its county seat of Jacksonville providing a small urban anchor that no longer offsets the broader regional realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 33.1 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.4 points.
A population of 33,021, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,306 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Wayne County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Morgan County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17137/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.