HarrisDemocratic29.4%6,892TrumpRepublican68.6%16,065KennedyIndependent1.9%446
R+39.2- Lead
- 9,173
- Total
- 23,425
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- 67.4%
Akashiccounty
Macoupin County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.4% of 35,064 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.6%7,365TrumpRepublican67.1%16,153JorgensenLibertarian1.5%350
R+36.5- Lead
- 8,788
- Total
- 24,070
- vs nation
- R+41.0
- Turnout
- 77.3%
ClintonDemocratic29.9%6,689TrumpRepublican64.0%14,322JohnsonLibertarian4.2%934
R+34.1- Lead
- 7,633
- Total
- 22,391
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- 61.7%
ObamaDemocratic44.9%9,464RomneyRepublican51.9%10,946JOHNSONLibertarian2.0%426
R+7.0- Lead
- 1,482
- Total
- 21,083
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.0%12,090McCainRepublican44.2%9,891OtherAll other candidates1.8%392
D+9.8- Lead
- 2,199
- Total
- 22,373
- vs nation
- D+2.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.1%11,193BushRepublican50.1%11,413OtherAll other candidates0.8%179
R+1.0- Lead
- 220
- Total
- 22,785
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.5%11,015BushRepublican45.6%9,749NaderGreen2.0%426
D+5.9- Lead
- 1,266
- Total
- 21,389
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.7%11,107DoleRepublican34.3%7,235PerotReform12.0%2,532
D+18.4- Lead
- 3,872
- Total
- 21,075
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,3502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,8052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, IL · twin score 93.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.4%23,647 participants ÷ 35,064 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.9%–50.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,391 | 36,317 | 61.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,728 | 35,813 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,405 | 35,468 | 77.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,308 | 35,385 | 51.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,647 | 35,064 | 67.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
106 precincts · 23,646 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -STAUNTON 1STAUNTON 1 | 292 | 578 | 35 | 905 | 32.3% | 63.9% | R+31.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -VIRDEN 1VIRDEN 1 | 233 | 563 | 14 | 810 | 28.8% | 69.5% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -DORCHESTERDORCHESTER | 238 | 546 | 22 | 806 | 29.5% | 67.7% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -BRIGHTON 2BRIGHTON 2 | 170 | 609 | 18 | 797 | 21.3% | 76.4% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -CARLINVILLE 1CARLINVILLE 1 | 322 | 440 | 29 | 791 | 40.7% | 55.6% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -CAHOKIA 1CAHOKIA 1 | 239 | 525 | 25 | 789 | 30.3% | 66.5% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -GILLESPIE 2GILLESPIE 2 | 276 | 462 | 24 | 762 | 36.2% | 60.6% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -VIRDEN 2VIRDEN 2 | 239 | 482 | 33 | 754 | 31.7% | 63.9% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -STAUNTON 3STAUNTON 3 | 264 | 463 | 22 | 749 | 35.2% | 61.8% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -CARLINVILLE 3CARLINVILLE 3 | 237 | 484 | 21 | 742 | 31.9% | 65.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -SHIPMANSHIPMAN | 141 | 564 | 19 | 724 | 19.5% | 77.9% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -BRIGHTON 1BRIGHTON 1 | 129 | 560 | 18 | 707 | 18.2% | 79.2% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -CAHOKIA 2CAHOKIA 2 | 240 | 438 | 24 | 702 | 34.2% | 62.4% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -BRIGHTON 3BRIGHTON 3 | 156 | 488 | 22 | 666 | 23.4% | 73.3% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -STAUNTON 4STAUNTON 4 | 213 | 406 | 22 | 641 | 33.2% | 63.3% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -CARLINVILLE 2CARLINVILLE 2 | 231 | 354 | 19 | 604 | 38.2% | 58.6% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -MT OLIVE 2MT OLIVE 2 | 218 | 365 | 15 | 598 | 36.5% | 61.0% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -GILLESPIE 1GILLESPIE 1 | 203 | 352 | 27 | 582 | 34.9% | 60.5% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -CARLINVILLE 4CARLINVILLE 4 | 183 | 366 | 21 | 570 | 32.1% | 64.2% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -BUNKER HILL 2BUNKER HILL 2 | 131 | 419 | 18 | 568 | 23.1% | 73.8% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -BUNKER HILL 3BUNKER HILL 3 | 157 | 390 | 16 | 563 | 27.9% | 69.3% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH OTTERNORTH OTTER | 161 | 385 | 15 | 561 | 28.7% | 68.6% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -GILLESPIE 3GILLESPIE 3 | 209 | 319 | 14 | 542 | 38.6% | 58.9% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -STAUNTON 2STAUNTON 2 | 174 | 346 | 19 | 539 | 32.3% | 64.2% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -BUNKER HILL 1BUNKER HILL 1 | 127 | 392 | 19 | 538 | 23.6% | 72.9% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -GIRARD 1GIRARD 1 | 156 | 356 | 10 | 522 | 29.9% | 68.2% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -MT OLIVE 1MT OLIVE 1 | 167 | 323 | 15 | 505 | 33.1% | 64.0% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -CARLINVILLE 5CARLINVILLE 5 | 170 | 282 | 21 | 473 | 35.9% | 59.6% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -GIRARD 2GIRARD 2 | 156 | 308 | 9 | 473 | 33.0% | 65.1% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -BRUSHY MOUNDBRUSHY MOUND | 114 | 331 | 15 | 460 | 24.8% | 72.0% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH PALMYRANORTH PALMYRA | 90 | 339 | 11 | 440 | 20.5% | 77.0% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -SOUTH PALMYRASOUTH PALMYRA | 57 | 323 | 4 | 384 | 14.8% | 84.1% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -POLKPOLK | 97 | 277 | 9 | 383 | 25.3% | 72.3% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -CHESTERFIELDCHESTERFIELD | 76 | 291 | 8 | 375 | 20.3% | 77.6% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -HILYARDHILYARD | 90 | 230 | 7 | 327 | 27.5% | 70.3% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -SHAWS POINTSHAWS POINT | 100 | 216 | 9 | 325 | 30.8% | 66.5% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -NILWOODNILWOOD | 65 | 245 | 4 | 314 | 20.7% | 78.0% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -MT OLIVE 3MT OLIVE 3 | 75 | 212 | 8 | 295 | 25.4% | 71.9% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -MT OLIVE 4MT OLIVE 4 | 99 | 177 | 8 | 284 | 34.9% | 62.3% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -SOUTH OTTERSOUTH OTTER | 55 | 220 | 7 | 282 | 19.5% | 78.0% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -BIRDBIRD | 38 | 141 | 4 | 183 | 20.8% | 77.0% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -SCOTTVILLESCOTTVILLE | 25 | 149 | 0 | 174 | 14.4% | 85.6% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -BARRBARR | 28 | 143 | 2 | 173 | 16.2% | 82.7% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -WESTERN MOUNDWESTERN MOUND | 28 | 130 | 5 | 163 | 17.2% | 79.8% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -HONEY POINTHONEY POINT | 23 | 76 | 2 | 101 | 22.8% | 75.2% | R+52.5 |
| BARR 1 Voting District17_17117BR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIRD Voting District17_17117BD00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIGHTON 1 Voting District17_17117BT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIGHTON 2 Voting District17_17117BT02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRIGHTON 3 Voting District17_17117BT03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRUSHY MOUND Voting District17_17117BM00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUNKER HILL 1 Voting District17_17117BH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUNKER HILL 2 Voting District17_17117BH02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUNKER HILL 3 Voting District17_17117BH03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAHOKIA 1 Voting District17_17117CK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAHOKIA 2 Voting District17_17117CK02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAHOKIA 3 Voting District17_17117CK03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAHOKIA 4 Voting District17_17117CK04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAHOKIA 5 Voting District17_17117CK05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 1 Voting District17_17117CN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 2 Voting District17_17117CN02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 3 Voting District17_17117CN03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 4 Voting District17_17117CN04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 5 Voting District17_17117CN05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARLINVILLE 6 Voting District17_17117CN06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTERFIELD 1 Voting District17_17117CF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DORCHESTER 1 Voting District17_17117DH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DORCHESTER 2 Voting District17_17117DH02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 1 Voting District17_17117GP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 2 Voting District17_17117GP02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 3 Voting District17_17117GP03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 4 Voting District17_17117GP04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 5 Voting District17_17117GP05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLESPIE 6 Voting District17_17117GP06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GIRARD 1 Voting District17_17117GD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GIRARD 2 Voting District17_17117GD02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HILYARD Voting District17_17117HY00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HONEY POINT Voting District17_17117HP00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 1 Voting District17_17117MO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 2 Voting District17_17117MO02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 3 Voting District17_17117MO03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 4 Voting District17_17117MO04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 5 Voting District17_17117MO05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT OLIVE 6 Voting District17_17117MO06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NILWOOD 1 Voting District17_17117NW01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NILWOOD 2 Voting District17_17117NW02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH OTTER Voting District17_17117NO00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH PALMYRA 1 Voting District17_17117NP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK Voting District17_17117PK00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTTVILLE Voting District17_17117ST00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWS POINT Voting District17_17117SP00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPMAN 1 Voting District17_17117SH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPMAN 2 Voting District17_17117SH02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPMAN 3 Voting District17_17117SH03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH OTTER Voting District17_17117SO00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH PALMYRA 1 Voting District17_17117SP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STAUNTON 1 Voting District17_17117ST01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STAUNTON 2 Voting District17_17117ST02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STAUNTON 3 Voting District17_17117ST03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STAUNTON 4 Voting District17_17117ST04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STAUNTON 5 Voting District17_17117ST05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIRDEN 1 Voting District17_17117VD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIRDEN 2 Voting District17_17117VD02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIRDEN 3 Voting District17_17117VD03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIRDEN 4 Voting District17_17117VD04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTERN MOUND Voting District17_17117WM00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.4% |
| 1896 | +5.6% |
| 1900 | +6.2% |
| 1904 | −4.5% |
| 1908 | +6.7% |
| 1912 | +26.4% |
| 1916 | +5.6% |
| 1920 | −14.2% |
| 1924 | −11.2% |
| 1928 | +2.6% |
| 1932 | +32.9% |
| 1936 | +20.9% |
| 1940 | +4.9% |
| 1944 | +1.6% |
| 1948 | +6.9% |
| 1952 | +2.4% |
| 1956 | +0.1% |
| 1960 | +5.6% |
| 1964 | +28.7% |
| 1968 | +2.1% |
| 1972 | −16.8% |
| 1976 | +7.4% |
| 1980 | −13.5% |
| 1984 | −7.3% |
| 1988 | +13.1% |
| 1992 | +23.4% |
| 1996 | +18.4% |
| 2000 | +5.9% |
| 2004 | −1.0% |
| 2008 | +9.8% |
| 2012 | −7.0% |
| 2016 | −34.1% |
| 2020 | −36.5% |
| 2024 | −39.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 33,570 |
| 2018 | 34,607 |
| 2020 | 33,438 |
| 2022 | 33,379 |
| 2024 | 32,567 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+22 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,091 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,431 in average income, against $73,512 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.6 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Macoupin County, IL itself (R+39.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, IL293R+13.2
- Sangamon County, IL131R+4.9
- Montgomery County, IL90R+44.0
- Jersey County, IL54R+50.2
- St. Clair County, IL23D+7.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, IL275
- Sangamon County, IL134
- Montgomery County, IL81
- Jersey County, IL55
- St. Clair County, IL34
- Morgan County, IL27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −28 |
| 2012 | −593 |
| 2013 | −281 |
| 2014 | −341 |
| 2015 | −232 |
| 2016 | −78 |
| 2017 | −61 |
| 2018 | −96 |
| 2019 | −282 |
| 2021 | −67 |
| 2022 | −200 |
| 2023 | +105 |
| 2024 | +41 |
| 2025 | +22 |
Macoupin's shift mirrors the broader realignment of rural Illinois: a county that sent Democrats to Springfield for generations recorded a 39-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting rapid change among white working-class voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 39.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 44,350, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,805 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Tuscarawas County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Montgomery County
Illinois
93.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000–2008 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Tuscarawas County
Ohio
89.1twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2008 margin
Fulton County
Illinois
86.6twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000–2008 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Macoupin County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Macoupin County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Macoupin County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Macoupin County, Illinois voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,425 votes cast, 6,892 went Democratic and 16,065 went Republican.
When did Macoupin County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Macoupin County, Illinois voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Macoupin County, Illinois?
Macoupin County, Illinois has a population of 44,350 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Macoupin County, Illinois?
Median household income in Macoupin County, Illinois is $70,805 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Macoupin County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Macoupin County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.