- Lead
- 1,565
- Total
- 4,898
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- 74.2%
Schoolcraft County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.2% of 6,655 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,501
- Total
- 4,745
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 71.9%
- Lead
- 1,187
- Total
- 4,177
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- 63.8%
- Lead
- 277
- Total
- 4,061
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 126
- Total
- 4,326
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 130
- Total
- 4,441
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 52
- Total
- 4,198
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 987
- Total
- 3,871
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,7822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Delta County, MI · twin score 90.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.2%4,937 participants ÷ 6,655 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.4%–65.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,232 | 6,638 | 63.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,846 | 6,623 | 58.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,781 | 6,654 | 71.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,923 | 6,640 | 59.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,937 | 6,655 | 74.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 4,898 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Manistique, Precinct 1City of Manistique, Precinct 1 | 524 | 819 | 18 | 1,361 | 38.5% | 60.2% | R+21.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Hiawatha Township, Precinct 1Hiawatha Township, Precinct 1 | 332 | 609 | 9 | 950 | 34.9% | 64.1% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -Manistique Township, Precinct 1Manistique Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 407 | 11 | 631 | 33.8% | 64.5% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -Thompson Township, Precinct 1Thompson Township, Precinct 1 | 202 | 350 | 10 | 562 | 35.9% | 62.3% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Inwood Township, Precinct 1Inwood Township, Precinct 1 | 158 | 290 | 7 | 455 | 34.7% | 63.7% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -Doyle Township, Precinct 1Doyle Township, Precinct 1 | 106 | 302 | 9 | 417 | 25.4% | 72.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -Germfask Township, Precinct 1Germfask Township, Precinct 1 | 29 | 232 | 1 | 262 | 11.1% | 88.5% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -Mueller Township, Precinct 1Mueller Township, Precinct 1 | 56 | 117 | 6 | 179 | 31.3% | 65.4% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -Seney Township, Precinct 1Seney Township, Precinct 1 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 81 | 13.6% | 86.4% | R+72.8 |
| 1532296000001153-22960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1533194000001153-31940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1533794000001153-37940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1534084000001153-40840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1535076000001153-50760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1535076000002153-50760-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1535076000003153-50760-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1535078000001153-50780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1535606000001153-56060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1537250000001153-72500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1537958000001153-79580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +5.9% |
| 1896 | −27.5% |
| 1900 | −41.7% |
| 1904 | −70.7% |
| 1908 | −62.6% |
| 1912 | −16.5% |
| 1916 | −22.0% |
| 1920 | −54.1% |
| 1924 | −53.6% |
| 1928 | −34.7% |
| 1932 | −1.8% |
| 1936 | +23.2% |
| 1940 | +7.3% |
| 1944 | +0.6% |
| 1948 | −1.8% |
| 1952 | −16.3% |
| 1956 | −17.5% |
| 1960 | −1.8% |
| 1964 | +31.4% |
| 1968 | +3.2% |
| 1972 | −13.4% |
| 1976 | +5.4% |
| 1980 | −3.0% |
| 1984 | −5.4% |
| 1988 | +6.9% |
| 1992 | +21.5% |
| 1996 | +25.5% |
| 2000 | −1.2% |
| 2004 | −2.9% |
| 2008 | +2.9% |
| 2012 | −6.8% |
| 2016 | −28.4% |
| 2020 | −31.6% |
| 2024 | −32.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.7%1,679 | 64.3%3,020 | 4,699 |
| 2020 | R | 30.4%1,395 | 69.6%3,201 | 4,596 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,791 |
| 2018 | 6,748 |
| 2020 | 7,254 |
| 2022 | 7,367 |
| 2024 | 7,529 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+75 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +427 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,303 in average income, against $62,679 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Delta County, MI37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +39 |
| 2012 | −108 |
| 2013 | −54 |
| 2014 | −50 |
| 2015 | +33 |
| 2016 | −117 |
| 2017 | +107 |
| 2018 | +63 |
| 2019 | +94 |
| 2021 | +62 |
| 2022 | +181 |
| 2023 | +36 |
| 2024 | +66 |
| 2025 | +75 |
Schoolcraft County's 8,900 residents are spread across forested lake country in Michigan's Upper Peninsula, and its presidential margins have run heavily Republican for over a decade, reaching R+31.9 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 70.7 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 32.0 points.
A population of 8,128, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,782 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Delta County and Menominee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Schoolcraft County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.