Akashic

county

Branch County, MI

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German22.1%17.7%12.5%

English12.1%10.5%9.5%

Irish10.7%9.9%9.4%

American5.6%4.2%5.3%

Polish5.1%7.2%2.2%

Dutch2.2%3.0%—

Italian2.0%4.2%4.8%

French1.6%3.0%1.6%

Mexican4.8%4.0%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%

Venezuelan0.4%——

Salvadoran0.3%—0.7%

Dominican0.2%—0.7%

Panamanian0.2%——

African American†1.3%12.2%9.9%

African0.3%0.5%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Branch County	Michigan	United States
Median age	40.6	40.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.6%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.5%	18.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Branch County	Michigan	United States
Median household income	$63,724	$72,875	$84,427
Poverty rate	16.4%	13.2%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.3%	32.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Branch County	Michigan	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	11.7%	10.4%	22.3%
Spanish	4.0%	3.1%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	4.0%	0.5%	0.5%
Arabic	2.8%	1.8%	0.4%

Religious landscape

Measure	Branch County	Michigan	United States
Catholic	10.6%	14.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	16.9%	12.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	65.9%	60.3%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 63.1% of 33,635 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic28.0%5,911TrumpRepublican70.4%14,848KennedyIndependent0.5%113

R+42.4

Lead: 8,937
Total: 21,089
vs nation: R+40.9
Turnout: 63.1%

BidenDemocratic30.0%6,159TrumpRepublican68.5%14,064JorgensenLibertarian1.1%216

R+38.5

Lead: 7,905
Total: 20,536
vs nation: R+42.9
Turnout: 64.1%

ClintonDemocratic28.7%5,061TrumpRepublican66.7%11,786JohnsonLibertarian3.3%582

R+38.1

Lead: 6,725
Total: 17,663
vs nation: R+40.2
Turnout: 54.9%

ObamaDemocratic40.3%6,913RomneyRepublican58.5%10,035SteinGreen0.5%92

R+18.2

Lead: 3,122
Total: 17,147
vs nation: R+22.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic46.0%8,413McCainRepublican52.1%9,534OtherAll other candidates1.8%338

R+6.1

Lead: 1,121
Total: 18,285
vs nation: R+13.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic39.0%7,004BushRepublican60.0%10,784OtherAll other candidates1.0%179

R+21.0

Lead: 3,780
Total: 17,967
vs nation: R+18.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic42.4%6,691BushRepublican55.4%8,743NaderGreen1.8%279

R+13.0

Lead: 2,052
Total: 15,783
vs nation: R+13.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic44.4%6,567DoleRepublican42.7%6,321PerotReform12.0%1,779

D+1.7

Lead: 246
Total: 14,805
vs nation: R+6.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+42.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 45,3002024 5-year
Median household income: $63,7242024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Newaygo County, MI · twin score 96.3

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 63.1%21,240 participants ÷ 33,635 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +15.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 48.1%–51.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	17,932	32,644	54.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	15,448	32,724	47.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	20,668	32,248	64.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	16,256	33,160	49.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	21,240	33,635	63.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

43 precincts · 21,089 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Branch County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Coldwater Township, Precinct 1Coldwater Township, Precinct 1	520	1,480	17	2,017	25.8%	73.4%	R+47.6
Precinct -Quincy Township, Precinct 1Quincy Township, Precinct 1	547	1,441	28	2,016	27.1%	71.5%	R+44.3
Precinct -Ovid Township, Precinct 1Ovid Township, Precinct 1	429	1,160	9	1,598	26.8%	72.6%	R+45.7
Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1	575	897	34	1,506	38.2%	59.6%	R+21.4
Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 1Union Township, Precinct 1	414	1,038	29	1,481	28.0%	70.1%	R+42.1
Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1	492	799	19	1,310	37.6%	61.0%	R+23.4
Precinct -Girard Township, Precinct 1Girard Township, Precinct 1	289	780	20	1,089	26.5%	71.6%	R+45.1
Precinct -Sherwood Township, Precinct 1Sherwood Township, Precinct 1	254	773	14	1,041	24.4%	74.3%	R+49.9
Precinct -Algansee Township, Precinct 1Algansee Township, Precinct 1	225	778	7	1,010	22.3%	77.0%	R+54.8
Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1	338	613	32	983	34.4%	62.4%	R+28.0
Precinct -Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1	258	690	11	959	26.9%	71.9%	R+45.0
Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1	298	570	33	901	33.1%	63.3%	R+30.2
Precinct -City of Bronson, Precinct 1City of Bronson, Precinct 1	261	574	16	851	30.7%	67.5%	R+36.8
Precinct -Bronson Township, Precinct 1Bronson Township, Precinct 1	146	585	7	738	19.8%	79.3%	R+59.5
Precinct -Matteson Township, Precinct 1Matteson Township, Precinct 1	217	473	6	696	31.2%	68.0%	R+36.8
Precinct -Batavia Township, Precinct 1Batavia Township, Precinct 1	171	502	18	691	24.7%	72.6%	R+47.9
Precinct -Bethel Township, Precinct 1Bethel Township, Precinct 1	138	522	8	668	20.7%	78.1%	R+57.5
Precinct -Butler Township, Precinct 1Butler Township, Precinct 1	143	492	12	647	22.1%	76.0%	R+53.9
Precinct -Gilead Township, Precinct 1Gilead Township, Precinct 1	87	261	3	351	24.8%	74.4%	R+49.6
Precinct -California Township, Precinct 1California Township, Precinct 1	51	221	2	274	18.6%	80.7%	R+62.0
Precinct -Noble Township, Precinct 1Noble Township, Precinct 1	58	199	5	262	22.1%	76.0%	R+53.8
0230112000001023-01120-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0230580000001023-05800-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0230806000001023-08060-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231086000001023-10860-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231088000001023-10880-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231214000001023-12140-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231256000001023-12560-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231702001001023-17020-01001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231702002001023-17020-02001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231702003001023-17020-03001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231702004001023-17020-04001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0231704000001023-17040-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0233212000001023-32120-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0233228000001023-32280-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0234326000001023-43260-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0235240000001023-52400-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0235786000001023-57860-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0236184000001023-61840-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0236666000001023-66660-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0236666000002023-66660-00002	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0237344000001023-73440-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
0238128000001023-81280-00001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−16.9%
1896	+4.9%
1900	−11.1%
1904	−44.3%
1908	−20.3%
1912	+5.2%
1916	−0.6%
1920	−43.1%
1924	−40.5%
1928	−49.7%
1932	+9.6%
1936	−0.9%
1940	−26.2%
1944	−35.3%
1948	−29.1%
1952	−43.9%
1956	−39.5%
1960	−29.4%
1964	+21.1%
1968	−20.2%
1972	−25.9%
1976	−13.2%
1980	−34.4%
1984	−47.8%
1988	−27.5%
1992	−0.8%
1996	+1.7%
2000	−13.0%
2004	−21.0%
2008	−6.1%
2012	−18.2%
2016	−38.1%
2020	−38.5%
2024	−42.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	28.0%Harris5,911	70.4%Trump14,848	0.5%Kennedy113 +6	R+42.4	R+3.9	R+40.9	21,089
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican70.4%14,848 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic28.0%5,911 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%113 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%77 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%77 Randall TerryIndependent0.2%39 Cornel WestIndependent0.1%12 Joseph KishoreIndependent0.1%11 Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%1
2020	R	30.0%Biden6,159	68.5%Trump14,064	1.1%Jorgensen216	R+38.5	R+0.4	R+42.9	20,536
2016	R	28.7%Clinton5,061	66.7%Trump11,786	3.3%Johnson582	R+38.1	R+19.9	R+40.2	17,663
2012	R	40.3%Obama6,913	58.5%Romney10,035	0.5%Stein92	R+18.2	R+12.1	R+22.1	17,147
2008	R	46.0%Obama8,413	52.1%McCain9,534	1.8%	R+6.1	D+14.9	R+13.4	18,285
2004	R	39.0%Kerry7,004	60.0%Bush10,784	1.0%	R+21.0	R+8.0	R+18.6	17,967
2000	R	42.4%Gore6,691	55.4%Bush8,743	1.8%Nader279	R+13.0	R+14.7	R+13.5	15,783
1996	D	44.4%Clinton6,567	42.7%Dole6,321	12.0%Perot1,779	D+1.7	D+2.4	R+6.9	14,805
1992	R	35.3%Clinton5,850	36.0%Bush5,976	28.2%Perot4,683	R+0.8	D+26.7	R+6.3	16,593
1988	R	36.0%Dukakis5,231	63.5%Bush9,225	0.5%	R+27.5	D+20.3	R+19.8	14,531
1984	R	25.8%Mondale3,860	73.6%Reagan11,004	0.5%	R+47.8	R+13.4	R+29.6	14,945
1980	R	28.6%Carter4,635	63.0%Reagan10,224	8.4%	R+34.4	R+21.3	R+24.7	16,230
1976	R	42.6%Carter6,301	55.7%Ford8,251	1.7%	R+13.2	D+12.7	R+15.2	14,802
1972	R	36.1%McGovern4,887	62.0%Nixon8,388	1.9%	R+25.9	R+5.7	R+2.7	13,526
1968	R	35.7%Humphrey4,518	55.9%Nixon7,071	8.4%	R+20.2	R+41.3	R+19.5	12,654
1964	D	60.3%Johnson7,858	39.2%Goldwater5,110	0.5%	D+21.1	D+50.5	R+1.5	13,034
1960	R	35.0%Kennedy4,759	64.4%Nixon8,752	0.6%	R+29.4	D+10.1	R+29.6	13,587
1956	R	30.0%Stevenson3,827	69.5%Eisenhower8,856	0.5%	R+39.5	D+4.4	R+24.1	12,744
1952	R	27.7%Stevenson3,564	71.5%Eisenhower9,215	0.8%	R+43.9	R+14.8	R+33.1	12,884
1948	R	34.0%Truman3,405	63.1%Dewey6,323	3.0%	R+29.1	D+6.2	R+33.6	10,027
1944	R	32.1%Roosevelt3,406	67.4%Dewey7,155	0.5%	R+35.3	R+9.1	R+42.8	10,609
1940	R	36.7%Roosevelt4,318	62.9%Willkie7,400	0.4%	R+26.2	R+25.3	R+36.1	11,764
1936	R	47.7%Roosevelt5,425	48.6%Landon5,528	3.7%	R+0.9	R+10.5	R+25.2	11,375
1932	D	53.4%Roosevelt5,685	43.8%Hoover4,663	2.7%	D+9.6	D+59.4	R+8.2	10,640
1928	R	24.8%Smith2,266	74.5%Hoover6,818	0.7%	R+49.7	R+9.3	R+32.3	9,150
1924	R	24.2%Davis2,253	64.7%Coolidge6,016	10.1%La Follette943	R+40.5	D+2.6	R+15.3	9,302
1920	R	26.7%Cox2,181	69.7%Harding5,704	3.6%	R+43.1	R+42.5	R+16.9	8,181
1916	R	48.2%Wilson3,062	48.8%Hughes3,100	3.1%	R+0.6	R+5.8	R+3.7	6,356
1912	D	35.3%Wilson2,185	30.1%Taft1,865	34.6%	D+5.2	D+25.5	R+14.4	6,193
1908	R	37.2%Bryan2,402	57.5%Taft3,715	5.4%	R+20.3	D+24.0	R+10.8	6,463
1904	R	25.4%Parker1,598	69.7%Roosevelt4,385	4.9%	R+44.3	R+33.2	R+24.6	6,289
1900	R	43.6%Bryan3,419	54.7%McKinley4,293	1.7%	R+11.1	R+16.1	R+3.6	7,844
1896	D	51.5%Bryan3,976	46.6%McKinley3,596	1.9%	D+4.9	D+21.8	D+11.0	7,720
1892	R	32.8%Cleveland2,161	49.7%Harrison3,271	17.5%	R+16.9	—	R+18.5	6,584
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	25.1%5,103	74.9%15,266	20,369
2020	R	29.4%5,929	70.6%14,223	20,152

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	28.5%5,923	68.2%14,181	20,792
2020Class II	R	30.2%Gary Peters6,119	67.5%John James13,682	20,280
2018Class I	R	33.8%Debbie Stabenow5,144	63.6%John James9,666	15,199
2014Class II	R	40.1%Gary Peters4,475	54.6%Terri Lynn Land6,099	11,173
2012Class I	R	46.1%Debbie Stabenow7,775	50.2%Pete Hoekstra8,470	16,856
2008Class II	D	51.9%Carl Levin9,136	44.5%Jack Hoogendyk Jr.7,834	17,616
2006Class I	D	49.1%Debbie Stabenow7,014	48.1%Michael Bouchard6,872	14,285
2002Class II	D	51.4%Carl Levin5,540	47.4%Andrew Raczkowki5,106	10,783
2000Class I	R	39.0%Debbie Stabenow6,043	58.5%Spencer Abraham9,057	15,483
1996Class II	D	49.2%Carl Levin6,955	48.9%Ronna Romney6,908	14,139
1994Class I	R	31.8%Bob Carr3,661	65.3%Spencer Abraham7,513	11,513
1990Class II	R	48.2%Carl Levin4,643	51.2%Bill Schuette4,931	9,625
1988Class I	R	46.9%Donald Riegle Jr.6,327	52.4%Jim Dunn7,066	13,493
1984Class II	R	37.0%Carl Levin5,301	61.6%Jack Lousma8,825	14,323
1982Class I	R	47.2%Donald Riegle Jr.5,475	51.4%Philip E. Ruppe5,969	11,604
1978Class II	R	36.9%Carl Levin4,250	63.1%Robert P. Griffin7,256	11,507
1976Class I	R	46.6%Donald Riegle Jr.6,565	52.9%Marvin L. Esch7,458	14,099
1972Class II	R	40.1%Frank J. Kelley5,274	59.0%Robert P. Griffin7,771	13,162
1970Class I	D	59.6%Philip A. Hart5,827	40.3%Lenore Romney3,943	9,784
1966Class II	R	34.3%G. Mennen Williams3,241	65.5%Robert P. Griffin6,185	9,437
1964Class I	D	55.3%Philip A. Hart7,033	44.4%Elly M. Peterson5,648	12,719
1960Class II	R	37.5%Patrick McNamara4,919	62.0%Alvin Bentley8,126	13,109
1958Class I	R	38.7%Philip A. Hart3,606	60.7%Charles Potter5,655	9,311
1954Class II	R	36.1%Patrick McNamara3,357	63.4%Homer Ferguson5,903	9,311
1952Class I	R	33.5%Blair Moody4,287	65.9%Charles Potter8,426	12,784
1948Class II	R	31.2%Frank E. Hook3,048	66.5%Homer Ferguson6,502	9,780
1946Class I	R	22.4%James H. Lee1,899	76.3%Arthur Vandenberg6,469	8,482
1942Class II	R	25.2%Prentiss Brown1,471	69.9%Homer Ferguson4,073	5,827
1940Class I	R	34.4%Frank Fitzgerald3,885	65.4%Arthur Vandenberg7,396	11,302
1936Class II	R	44.6%Prentiss Brown4,913	52.7%Wilber M. Brucker5,797	11,005
1934Class I	R	38.6%Frank A. Picard3,250	60.7%Arthur Vandenberg5,119	8,429
1930Class II	R	32.1%Thomas Weadock1,788	67.4%James Couzens3,753	5,568
1928Class I	R	25.8%John W. Bailey2,368	73.7%Arthur Vandenberg6,766	9,176
1924Class II	R	43.9%Mortimer Cooley4,043	54.9%James Couzens5,050	9,201
1922Class I	D	52.5%Woodbridge Ferris3,118	46.6%Charles E. Townsend2,771	5,940
1918Class II	R	44.1%Henry Ford1,996	55.3%Truman H. Newberry2,504	4,527
1916Class I	R	45.7%Lawrence Price2,908	51.3%Charles E. Townsend3,264	6,358

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	35.2%Gretchen Whitmer5,676	62.8%Tudor M Dixon10,132	16,130
2018	R	35.0%Gretchen Whitmer5,324	61.7%Bill Schuette9,381	15,212
2014	R	34.6%Mark Schauer3,907	62.4%Rick Snyder7,050	11,291
2010	R	25.9%Virg Bernero3,306	71.9%Rick Snyder9,183	12,779
2006	R	48.0%Jennifer Granholm6,901	50.4%Dick DeVos7,248	14,383
2002	R	45.0%Jennifer Granholm5,001	54.1%Dick Posthumus6,012	11,104
1998	R	29.7%Geoffrey Fieger3,216	70.3%John Engler7,623	10,840
1994	R	28.5%Howard Wolpe3,438	71.5%John Engler8,629	12,067
1990	R	38.6%James Blanchard3,778	60.7%John Engler5,946	9,789
1986	D	60.3%James Blanchard5,723	39.5%William Lucas3,748	9,497
1982	R	37.7%James Blanchard4,474	58.3%Richard Headlee6,910	11,857
1978	R	40.0%William B. Fitzgerald Jr.4,651	60.0%William Milliken6,968	11,619

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Branch County, MI
Year	Total registered
2016	31,518
2018	31,382
2020	33,838
2022	34,470
2024	35,394

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−260 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −3,073 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $53,134 in average income, against $66,924 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+26.6 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Branch County, MI itself (R+42.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Calhoun County, MI126R+14.0
St. Joseph County, MI103R+34.0
Hillsdale County, MI97R+51.4
Steuben County, IN41R+42.1
Kalamazoo County, MI38D+17.7
Jackson County, MI29R+21.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Calhoun County, MI174
Hillsdale County, MI95
St. Joseph County, MI83
Steuben County, IN55
Kalamazoo County, MI53
Allen County, IN27

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Branch County, MI in Branch County, MI: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−1,423
2012	−218
2013	−360
2014	−30
2015	−181
2016	−311
2017	−190
2018	+64
2019	−172
2021	+269
2022	−876
2023	+557
2024	+58
2025	−260

Branch County, anchored by Coldwater, posts presidential margins that routinely exceed 40 points Republican — an outlier even within a state where rural counties trend heavily red. Its manufacturing and agricultural base has tracked rightward for more than a decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.4 points.

A population of 45,300, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,724 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Newaygo County and Hillsdale County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Newaygo County

Michigan

96.3twin score

elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated

Hillsdale County

Michigan

88.3twin score

elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry

Cass County

Michigan

87.1twin score

elasticity% unaffiliatedPolish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Branch County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Branch County

Coldwater

R+26

13.7K residents

Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Branch County, Michigan vote in 2024?

In 2024, Branch County, Michigan voted Republican by 42.4 points (R+42.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,089 votes cast, 5,911 went Democratic and 14,848 went Republican.

When did Branch County, Michigan last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Branch County, Michigan voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Branch County, Michigan?

Branch County, Michigan has a population of 45,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Branch County, Michigan?

Median household income in Branch County, Michigan is $63,724 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Branch County, Michigan?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Branch County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.

Measure

Branch County

Michigan

United States

Median age

40.6

40.3

39.1

Age 18–24

7.6%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.5%

18.5%

17.2%

Measure

Branch County

Michigan

United States

Median household income

$63,724

$72,875

$84,427

Poverty rate

16.4%

13.2%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

17.3%

32.6%

35.6%

Measure

Branch County

Michigan

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

11.7%

10.4%

22.3%

Spanish

4.0%

3.1%

13.6%

German or other West Germanic

4.0%

0.5%

Arabic

2.8%

1.8%

0.4%

Measure

Branch County

Michigan

United States

Catholic

10.6%

14.8%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

16.9%

12.1%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

65.9%

60.3%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+42.4MIT Election Lab

Population

45,3002024 5-year

Median household income

$63,7242024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

86.4%2024 5-year

Black

1.7%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

6.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+21.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+49.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Newaygo County, MI · twin score 96.3

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

17,932

32,644

54.9%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

15,448

32,724

47.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

20,668

32,248

64.1%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

16,256

33,160

49.0%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

21,240

33,635

63.1%

A/A

Branch County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Coldwater Township, Precinct 1Coldwater Township, Precinct 1

520

1,480

2,017

25.8%

73.4%

R+47.6

Precinct -Quincy Township, Precinct 1Quincy Township, Precinct 1

547

1,441

2,016

27.1%

71.5%

R+44.3

Precinct -Ovid Township, Precinct 1Ovid Township, Precinct 1

429

1,160

1,598

26.8%

72.6%

R+45.7

Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1

575

897

1,506

38.2%

59.6%

R+21.4

Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 1Union Township, Precinct 1

414

1,038

1,481

28.0%

70.1%

R+42.1

Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1

492

799

1,310

37.6%

61.0%

R+23.4

Precinct -Girard Township, Precinct 1Girard Township, Precinct 1

289

780

1,089

26.5%

71.6%

R+45.1

Precinct -Sherwood Township, Precinct 1Sherwood Township, Precinct 1

254

773

1,041

24.4%

74.3%

R+49.9

Precinct -Algansee Township, Precinct 1Algansee Township, Precinct 1

225

778

1,010

22.3%

77.0%

R+54.8

Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1

338

613

983

34.4%

62.4%

R+28.0

Precinct -Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1

258

690

959

26.9%

71.9%

R+45.0

Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1

298

570

901

33.1%

63.3%

R+30.2

Precinct -City of Bronson, Precinct 1City of Bronson, Precinct 1

261

574

851

30.7%

67.5%

R+36.8

Precinct -Bronson Township, Precinct 1Bronson Township, Precinct 1

146

585

738

19.8%

79.3%

R+59.5

Precinct -Matteson Township, Precinct 1Matteson Township, Precinct 1

217

473

696

31.2%

68.0%

R+36.8

Precinct -Batavia Township, Precinct 1Batavia Township, Precinct 1

171

502

691

24.7%

72.6%

R+47.9

Precinct -Bethel Township, Precinct 1Bethel Township, Precinct 1

138

522

668

20.7%

78.1%

R+57.5

Precinct -Butler Township, Precinct 1Butler Township, Precinct 1

143

492

647

22.1%

76.0%

R+53.9

Precinct -Gilead Township, Precinct 1Gilead Township, Precinct 1

261

351

24.8%

74.4%

R+49.6

Precinct -California Township, Precinct 1California Township, Precinct 1

221

274

18.6%

80.7%

R+62.0

Precinct -Noble Township, Precinct 1Noble Township, Precinct 1

199

262

22.1%

76.0%

R+53.8

0230112000001023-01120-00001

—

No votes

0230580000001023-05800-00001

—

No votes

0230806000001023-08060-00001

—

No votes

0231086000001023-10860-00001

—

No votes

0231088000001023-10880-00001

—

No votes

0231214000001023-12140-00001

—

No votes

0231256000001023-12560-00001

—

No votes

0231702001001023-17020-01001

—

No votes

0231702002001023-17020-02001

—

No votes

0231702003001023-17020-03001

—

No votes

0231702004001023-17020-04001

—

No votes

0231704000001023-17040-00001

—

No votes

0233212000001023-32120-00001

—

No votes

0233228000001023-32280-00001

—

No votes

0234326000001023-43260-00001

—

No votes

0235240000001023-52400-00001

—

No votes

0235786000001023-57860-00001

—

No votes

0236184000001023-61840-00001

—

No votes

0236666000001023-66660-00001

—

No votes

0236666000002023-66660-00002

—

No votes

0237344000001023-73440-00001

—

No votes

0238128000001023-81280-00001

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−16.9%
1896	+4.9%
1900	−11.1%
1904	−44.3%
1908	−20.3%
1912	+5.2%
1916	−0.6%
1920	−43.1%
1924	−40.5%
1928	−49.7%
1932	+9.6%
1936	−0.9%
1940	−26.2%
1944	−35.3%
1948	−29.1%
1952	−43.9%
1956	−39.5%
1960	−29.4%
1964	+21.1%
1968	−20.2%
1972	−25.9%
1976	−13.2%
1980	−34.4%
1984	−47.8%
1988	−27.5%
1992	−0.8%
1996	+1.7%
2000	−13.0%
2004	−21.0%
2008	−6.1%
2012	−18.2%
2016	−38.1%
2020	−38.5%
2024	−42.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

28.0%Harris5,911

70.4%Trump14,848

0.5%Kennedy113 +6

R+42.4

R+3.9

R+40.9

21,089

All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican70.4%14,848
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic28.0%5,911
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%113
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%77
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%77
Randall TerryIndependent0.2%39
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%12
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.1%11
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%1

2020

30.0%Biden6,159

68.5%Trump14,064

1.1%Jorgensen216

R+38.5

R+0.4

R+42.9

20,536

2016

28.7%Clinton5,061

66.7%Trump11,786

3.3%Johnson582

R+38.1

R+19.9

R+40.2

17,663

2012

40.3%Obama6,913

58.5%Romney10,035

0.5%Stein92

R+18.2

R+12.1

R+22.1

17,147

2008

46.0%Obama8,413

52.1%McCain9,534

1.8%

R+6.1

D+14.9

R+13.4

18,285

2004

39.0%Kerry7,004

60.0%Bush10,784

1.0%

R+21.0

R+8.0

R+18.6

17,967

2000

42.4%Gore6,691

55.4%Bush8,743

1.8%Nader279

R+13.0

R+14.7

R+13.5

15,783

1996

44.4%Clinton6,567

42.7%Dole6,321

12.0%Perot1,779

D+1.7

D+2.4

R+6.9

14,805

1992

35.3%Clinton5,850

36.0%Bush5,976

28.2%Perot4,683

R+0.8

D+26.7

R+6.3

16,593

1988

36.0%Dukakis5,231

63.5%Bush9,225

0.5%

R+27.5

D+20.3

R+19.8

14,531

1984

25.8%Mondale3,860

73.6%Reagan11,004

0.5%

R+47.8

R+13.4

R+29.6

14,945

1980

28.6%Carter4,635

63.0%Reagan10,224

8.4%

R+34.4

R+21.3

R+24.7

16,230

1976

42.6%Carter6,301

55.7%Ford8,251

1.7%

R+13.2

D+12.7

R+15.2

14,802

1972

36.1%McGovern4,887

62.0%Nixon8,388

1.9%

R+25.9

R+5.7

R+2.7

13,526

1968

35.7%Humphrey4,518

55.9%Nixon7,071

8.4%

R+20.2

R+41.3

R+19.5

12,654

1964

60.3%Johnson7,858

39.2%Goldwater5,110

0.5%

D+21.1

D+50.5

R+1.5

13,034

1960

35.0%Kennedy4,759

64.4%Nixon8,752

0.6%

R+29.4

D+10.1

R+29.6

13,587

1956

30.0%Stevenson3,827

69.5%Eisenhower8,856

0.5%

R+39.5

D+4.4

R+24.1

12,744

1952

27.7%Stevenson3,564

71.5%Eisenhower9,215

0.8%

R+43.9

R+14.8

R+33.1

12,884

1948

34.0%Truman3,405

63.1%Dewey6,323

3.0%

R+29.1

D+6.2

R+33.6

10,027

1944

32.1%Roosevelt3,406

67.4%Dewey7,155

0.5%

R+35.3

R+9.1

R+42.8

10,609

1940

36.7%Roosevelt4,318

62.9%Willkie7,400

0.4%

R+26.2

R+25.3

R+36.1

11,764

1936

47.7%Roosevelt5,425

48.6%Landon5,528

3.7%

R+0.9

R+10.5

R+25.2

11,375

1932

53.4%Roosevelt5,685

43.8%Hoover4,663

2.7%

D+9.6

D+59.4

R+8.2

10,640

1928

24.8%Smith2,266

74.5%Hoover6,818

0.7%

R+49.7

R+9.3

R+32.3

9,150

1924

24.2%Davis2,253

64.7%Coolidge6,016

10.1%La Follette943

R+40.5

D+2.6

R+15.3

9,302

1920

26.7%Cox2,181

69.7%Harding5,704

3.6%

R+43.1

R+42.5

R+16.9

8,181

1916

48.2%Wilson3,062

48.8%Hughes3,100

3.1%

R+0.6

R+5.8

R+3.7

6,356

1912

35.3%Wilson2,185

30.1%Taft1,865

34.6%

D+5.2

D+25.5

R+14.4

6,193

1908

37.2%Bryan2,402

57.5%Taft3,715

5.4%

R+20.3

D+24.0

R+10.8

6,463

1904

25.4%Parker1,598

69.7%Roosevelt4,385

4.9%

R+44.3

R+33.2

R+24.6

6,289

1900

43.6%Bryan3,419

54.7%McKinley4,293

1.7%

R+11.1

R+16.1

R+3.6

7,844

1896

51.5%Bryan3,976

46.6%McKinley3,596

1.9%

D+4.9

D+21.8

D+11.0

7,720

1892

32.8%Cleveland2,161

49.7%Harrison3,271

17.5%

R+16.9

—

R+18.5

6,584

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

25.1%5,103

74.9%15,266

20,369

2020

29.4%5,929

70.6%14,223

20,152

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

28.5%5,923

68.2%14,181

20,792

2020Class II

30.2%Gary Peters6,119

67.5%John James13,682

20,280

2018Class I

33.8%Debbie Stabenow5,144

63.6%John James9,666

15,199

2014Class II

40.1%Gary Peters4,475

54.6%Terri Lynn Land6,099

11,173

2012Class I

46.1%Debbie Stabenow7,775

50.2%Pete Hoekstra8,470

16,856

2008Class II

51.9%Carl Levin9,136

44.5%Jack Hoogendyk Jr.7,834

17,616

2006Class I

49.1%Debbie Stabenow7,014

48.1%Michael Bouchard6,872

14,285

2002Class II

51.4%Carl Levin5,540

47.4%Andrew Raczkowki5,106

10,783

2000Class I

39.0%Debbie Stabenow6,043

58.5%Spencer Abraham9,057

15,483

1996Class II

49.2%Carl Levin6,955

48.9%Ronna Romney6,908

14,139

1994Class I

31.8%Bob Carr3,661

65.3%Spencer Abraham7,513

11,513

1990Class II

48.2%Carl Levin4,643

51.2%Bill Schuette4,931

9,625

1988Class I

46.9%Donald Riegle Jr.6,327

52.4%Jim Dunn7,066

13,493

1984Class II

37.0%Carl Levin5,301

61.6%Jack Lousma8,825

14,323

1982Class I

47.2%Donald Riegle Jr.5,475

51.4%Philip E. Ruppe5,969

11,604

1978Class II

36.9%Carl Levin4,250

63.1%Robert P. Griffin7,256

11,507

1976Class I

46.6%Donald Riegle Jr.6,565

52.9%Marvin L. Esch7,458

14,099

1972Class II

40.1%Frank J. Kelley5,274

59.0%Robert P. Griffin7,771

13,162

1970Class I

59.6%Philip A. Hart5,827

40.3%Lenore Romney3,943

9,784

1966Class II

34.3%G. Mennen Williams3,241

65.5%Robert P. Griffin6,185

9,437

1964Class I

55.3%Philip A. Hart7,033

44.4%Elly M. Peterson5,648

12,719

1960Class II

37.5%Patrick McNamara4,919

62.0%Alvin Bentley8,126

13,109

1958Class I

38.7%Philip A. Hart3,606

60.7%Charles Potter5,655

9,311

1954Class II

36.1%Patrick McNamara3,357

63.4%Homer Ferguson5,903

9,311

1952Class I

33.5%Blair Moody4,287

65.9%Charles Potter8,426

12,784

1948Class II

31.2%Frank E. Hook3,048

66.5%Homer Ferguson6,502

9,780

1946Class I

22.4%James H. Lee1,899

76.3%Arthur Vandenberg6,469

8,482

1942Class II

25.2%Prentiss Brown1,471

69.9%Homer Ferguson4,073

5,827

1940Class I

34.4%Frank Fitzgerald3,885

65.4%Arthur Vandenberg7,396

11,302

1936Class II

44.6%Prentiss Brown4,913

52.7%Wilber M. Brucker5,797

11,005

1934Class I

38.6%Frank A. Picard3,250

60.7%Arthur Vandenberg5,119

8,429

1930Class II

32.1%Thomas Weadock1,788

67.4%James Couzens3,753

5,568

1928Class I

25.8%John W. Bailey2,368

73.7%Arthur Vandenberg6,766

9,176

1924Class II

43.9%Mortimer Cooley4,043

54.9%James Couzens5,050

9,201

1922Class I

52.5%Woodbridge Ferris3,118

46.6%Charles E. Townsend2,771

5,940

1918Class II

44.1%Henry Ford1,996

55.3%Truman H. Newberry2,504

4,527

1916Class I

45.7%Lawrence Price2,908

51.3%Charles E. Townsend3,264

6,358

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

35.2%Gretchen Whitmer5,676

62.8%Tudor M Dixon10,132

16,130

2018

35.0%Gretchen Whitmer5,324

61.7%Bill Schuette9,381

15,212

2014

34.6%Mark Schauer3,907

62.4%Rick Snyder7,050

11,291

2010

25.9%Virg Bernero3,306

71.9%Rick Snyder9,183

12,779

2006

48.0%Jennifer Granholm6,901

50.4%Dick DeVos7,248

14,383

2002

45.0%Jennifer Granholm5,001

54.1%Dick Posthumus6,012

11,104

1998

29.7%Geoffrey Fieger3,216

70.3%John Engler7,623

10,840

1994

28.5%Howard Wolpe3,438

71.5%John Engler8,629

12,067

1990

38.6%James Blanchard3,778

60.7%John Engler5,946

9,789

1986

60.3%James Blanchard5,723

39.5%William Lucas3,748

9,497

1982

37.7%James Blanchard4,474

58.3%Richard Headlee6,910

11,857

1978

40.0%William B. Fitzgerald Jr.4,651

60.0%William Milliken6,968

11,619

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Branch County, MI
Year	Total registered
2016	31,518
2018	31,382
2020	33,838
2022	34,470
2024	35,394

How did Branch County, Michigan vote in 2024?

In 2024, Branch County, Michigan voted Republican by 42.4 points (R+42.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,089 votes cast, 5,911 went Democratic and 14,848 went Republican.

When did Branch County, Michigan last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Branch County, Michigan voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Branch County, Michigan?

Branch County, Michigan has a population of 45,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Branch County, Michigan?

Median household income in Branch County, Michigan is $63,724 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Branch County, Michigan?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Branch County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.