- Lead
- 2,439
- Total
- 15,297
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- 73.4%
Manistee County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.4% of 21,000 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,214
- Total
- 14,655
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- 73.5%
- Lead
- 1,936
- Total
- 12,660
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- 64.4%
- Lead
- 736
- Total
- 12,402
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,725
- Total
- 13,009
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 23
- Total
- 12,740
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 238
- Total
- 11,428
- vs nation
- D+1.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,576
- Total
- 10,539
- vs nation
- D+6.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,3502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,5162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mason County, MI · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.4%15,410 participants ÷ 21,000 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.8%–66.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,819 | 19,897 | 64.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,338 | 19,956 | 61.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,777 | 20,109 | 73.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,730 | 20,552 | 61.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,410 | 21,000 | 73.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 15,297 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Manistee Township, Precinct 1Manistee Township, Precinct 1 | 875 | 1,051 | 29 | 1,955 | 44.8% | 53.8% | R+9.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Manistee, Precinct 1City of Manistee, Precinct 1 | 945 | 795 | 29 | 1,769 | 53.4% | 44.9% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -City of Manistee, Precinct 2City of Manistee, Precinct 2 | 811 | 867 | 29 | 1,707 | 47.5% | 50.8% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -Filer Township, Precinct 1Filer Township, Precinct 1 | 706 | 887 | 28 | 1,621 | 43.6% | 54.7% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Onekama Township, Precinct 1Onekama Township, Precinct 1 | 513 | 601 | 15 | 1,129 | 45.4% | 53.2% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -Bear Lake Township, Precinct 1Bear Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 380 | 703 | 19 | 1,102 | 34.5% | 63.8% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -Norman Township, Precinct 1Norman Township, Precinct 1 | 296 | 708 | 12 | 1,016 | 29.1% | 69.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1 | 271 | 488 | 14 | 773 | 35.1% | 63.1% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -Cleon Township, Precinct 1Cleon Township, Precinct 1 | 175 | 462 | 13 | 650 | 26.9% | 71.1% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -Dickson Township, Precinct 1Dickson Township, Precinct 1 | 201 | 404 | 9 | 614 | 32.7% | 65.8% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Springdale Township, Precinct 1Springdale Township, Precinct 1 | 186 | 375 | 6 | 567 | 32.8% | 66.1% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Stronach Township, Precinct 1Stronach Township, Precinct 1 | 223 | 331 | 9 | 563 | 39.6% | 58.8% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -Pleasanton Township, Precinct 1Pleasanton Township, Precinct 1 | 194 | 355 | 12 | 561 | 34.6% | 63.3% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -Arcadia Township, Precinct 1Arcadia Township, Precinct 1 | 289 | 253 | 4 | 546 | 52.9% | 46.3% | D+6.6 |
| Precinct -Brown Township, Precinct 1Brown Township, Precinct 1 | 175 | 300 | 10 | 485 | 36.1% | 61.9% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -Marilla Township, Precinct 1Marilla Township, Precinct 1 | 69 | 168 | 2 | 239 | 28.9% | 70.3% | R+41.4 |
| 1010332000001101-03320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1010648000001101-06480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1011116000001101-11160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1011638000001101-16380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1012232000001101-22320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1012804000001101-28040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015072000001101-50720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015072000002101-50720-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015074000001101-50740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015100000001101-51000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015158000001101-51580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1015790000001101-57900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1016076000001101-60760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1016486000001101-64860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1017568000001101-75680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1017684000001101-76840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +19.8% |
| 1896 | −3.9% |
| 1900 | −14.6% |
| 1904 | −41.0% |
| 1908 | −19.0% |
| 1912 | +11.7% |
| 1916 | −3.9% |
| 1920 | +0.1% |
| 1924 | −37.5% |
| 1928 | −22.1% |
| 1932 | +15.0% |
| 1936 | +12.4% |
| 1940 | −4.4% |
| 1944 | −9.3% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −25.3% |
| 1956 | −27.6% |
| 1960 | −8.3% |
| 1964 | +30.8% |
| 1968 | −4.0% |
| 1972 | −16.3% |
| 1976 | −10.4% |
| 1980 | −14.0% |
| 1984 | −23.4% |
| 1988 | −5.9% |
| 1992 | +14.6% |
| 1996 | +15.0% |
| 2000 | +2.1% |
| 2004 | −0.2% |
| 2008 | +13.3% |
| 2012 | +5.9% |
| 2016 | −15.3% |
| 2020 | −15.1% |
| 2024 | −15.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.8%5,758 | 60.2%8,709 | 14,467 |
| 2020 | R | 37.5%5,348 | 62.5%8,896 | 14,244 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,720 |
| 2018 | 19,712 |
| 2020 | 21,034 |
| 2022 | 21,597 |
| 2024 | 22,221 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+238 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,430 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,337 in average income, against $62,707 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.2 on average — 6.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Manistee County, MI itself (R+15.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mason County, MI62R+21.4
- Benzie County, MI57R+8.7
- Grand Traverse County, MI51R+1.7
- Kent County, MI36D+5.4
- Wexford County, MI25R+34.6
- Oakland County, MI23D+10.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mason County, MI68
- Grand Traverse County, MI46
- Benzie County, MI41
- Wexford County, MI25
- Kent County, MI24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +286 |
| 2012 | +12 |
| 2013 | −40 |
| 2014 | +50 |
| 2015 | +170 |
| 2016 | +51 |
| 2017 | +62 |
| 2018 | +170 |
| 2019 | +184 |
| 2021 | +494 |
| 2022 | +210 |
| 2023 | +337 |
| 2024 | +206 |
| 2025 | +238 |
Manistee sits along Lake Michigan's eastern shore with a shrinking manufacturing base and an aging population that has shifted the county's presidential margins steadily rightward over the past four election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.9 points.
A population of 25,350, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,516 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mason County and Oneida County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Manistee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.