- Lead
- 5,561
- Total
- 15,312
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 74.9%
Dickinson County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.9% of 20,588 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,873
- Total
- 14,589
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- 72.5%
- Lead
- 4,657
- Total
- 13,232
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 2,736
- Total
- 12,851
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,054
- Total
- 13,311
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,084
- Total
- 13,549
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,399
- Total
- 12,832
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,206
- Total
- 11,591
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,9542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,1562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iron County, MI · twin score 85.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.9%15,424 participants ÷ 20,588 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.4%–64.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,359 | 20,606 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,760 | 20,361 | 57.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,677 | 20,242 | 72.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,212 | 20,692 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,424 | 20,588 | 74.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 15,312 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Breitung Township, Precinct 3Breitung Township, Precinct 3 | 467 | 1,239 | 18 | 1,724 | 27.1% | 71.9% | R+44.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Kingsford, Precinct 2City of Kingsford, Precinct 2 | 481 | 1,050 | 25 | 1,556 | 30.9% | 67.5% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -City of Norway, Precinct 1City of Norway, Precinct 1 | 600 | 894 | 31 | 1,525 | 39.3% | 58.6% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -City of Iron Mountain, Ward 1, Precinct 3City of Iron Mountain, Ward 1, Precinct 3 | 465 | 880 | 8 | 1,353 | 34.4% | 65.0% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -City of Iron Mountain, Ward 3, Precinct 2City of Iron Mountain, Ward 3, Precinct 2 | 462 | 844 | 22 | 1,328 | 34.8% | 63.6% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -City of Iron Mountain, Ward 2, Precinct 2City of Iron Mountain, Ward 2, Precinct 2 | 470 | 794 | 34 | 1,298 | 36.2% | 61.2% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -City of Kingsford, Precinct 1City of Kingsford, Precinct 1 | 444 | 821 | 19 | 1,284 | 34.6% | 63.9% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -Breitung Township, Precinct 1Breitung Township, Precinct 1 | 292 | 822 | 18 | 1,132 | 25.8% | 72.6% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -Norway Township, Precinct 1Norway Township, Precinct 1 | 315 | 671 | 16 | 1,002 | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Breitung Township, Precinct 2Breitung Township, Precinct 2 | 282 | 700 | 11 | 993 | 28.4% | 70.5% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -Sagola Township, Precinct 1Sagola Township, Precinct 1 | 167 | 542 | 6 | 715 | 23.4% | 75.8% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -Waucedah Township, Precinct 1Waucedah Township, Precinct 1 | 163 | 396 | 9 | 568 | 28.7% | 69.7% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -Felch Township, Precinct 1Felch Township, Precinct 1 | 88 | 379 | 5 | 472 | 18.6% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -Breen Township, Precinct 1Breen Township, Precinct 1 | 55 | 268 | 2 | 325 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -West Branch Township, Precinct 1West Branch Township, Precinct 1 | 12 | 24 | 1 | 37 | 32.4% | 64.9% | R+32.4 |
| 0431020000001043-10200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0431022000001043-10220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0431022000002043-10220-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0431022000003043-10220-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0432766000001043-27660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0434096001003043-40960-01003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0434096002002043-40960-02002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0434096003002043-40960-03002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0434330000001043-43300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0434330000002043-43300-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0435922000001043-59220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0435924000001043-59240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0437060000001043-70600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0438470000001043-84700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0438552000001043-85520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −11.2% |
| 1896 | −64.3% |
| 1900 | −71.2% |
| 1904 | −79.5% |
| 1908 | −59.6% |
| 1912 | −30.1% |
| 1916 | −27.9% |
| 1920 | −64.1% |
| 1924 | −62.6% |
| 1928 | −11.6% |
| 1932 | +11.3% |
| 1936 | +26.2% |
| 1940 | +10.1% |
| 1944 | +14.8% |
| 1948 | +16.6% |
| 1952 | −2.8% |
| 1956 | −9.6% |
| 1960 | +10.9% |
| 1964 | +40.3% |
| 1968 | +7.2% |
| 1972 | −5.5% |
| 1976 | +1.7% |
| 1980 | −7.0% |
| 1984 | −10.1% |
| 1988 | −0.2% |
| 1992 | +10.9% |
| 1996 | +10.4% |
| 2000 | −10.9% |
| 2004 | −15.4% |
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −21.3% |
| 2016 | −35.2% |
| 2020 | −33.4% |
| 2024 | −36.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.2%4,733 | 67.8%9,963 | 14,696 |
| 2020 | R | 30.4%4,322 | 69.6%9,893 | 14,215 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 22,250 |
| 2018 | 21,898 |
| 2020 | 23,426 |
| 2022 | 23,517 |
| 2024 | 23,831 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+61 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +183 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,239 in average income, against $69,202 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.1 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Dickinson County, MI itself (R+36.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marquette County, MI48D+8.7
- Marinette County, WI39R+37.9
- Iron County, MI34R+29.3
- Delta County, MI28R+30.4
- Menominee County, MI27R+33.6
- Brown County, WI22R+7.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marinette County, WI44
- Florence County, WI40
- Marquette County, MI35
- Brown County, WI30
- Menominee County, MI29
- Iron County, MI28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +28 |
| 2012 | +141 |
| 2013 | −90 |
| 2014 | −82 |
| 2015 | −126 |
| 2016 | −111 |
| 2017 | −50 |
| 2018 | −11 |
| 2019 | −64 |
| 2021 | +47 |
| 2022 | +249 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +34 |
| 2025 | +61 |
Dickinson County, anchored by Iron Mountain in Michigan's Upper Peninsula, has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade, posting a 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 that reflects broader UP trends away from its old union-Democrat roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 79.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 25,954, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,156 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iron County and Delta County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dickinson County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.