- Lead
- 4,462
- Total
- 14,870
- vs nation
- R+28.5
- Turnout
- 73.2%
Oceana County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.2% of 20,446 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,948
- Total
- 14,062
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- 73.0%
- Lead
- 3,255
- Total
- 11,930
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- 64.0%
- Lead
- 1,176
- Total
- 11,450
- vs nation
- R+14.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 545
- Total
- 12,509
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,236
- Total
- 12,297
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,316
- Total
- 10,772
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 472
- Total
- 9,742
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,9152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cass County, MI · twin score 82.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.2%14,964 participants ÷ 20,446 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.5%–64.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,108 | 18,928 | 64.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,969 | 19,122 | 57.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,153 | 19,375 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,193 | 19,865 | 61.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,964 | 20,446 | 73.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 14,870 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Shelby Township, Precinct 1Shelby Township, Precinct 1 | 666 | 1,158 | 29 | 1,853 | 35.9% | 62.5% | R+26.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Grant Township, Precinct 1Grant Township, Precinct 1 | 456 | 1,029 | 26 | 1,511 | 30.2% | 68.1% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Newfield Township, Precinct 1Newfield Township, Precinct 1 | 453 | 892 | 25 | 1,370 | 33.1% | 65.1% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -Pentwater Township, Precinct 1Pentwater Township, Precinct 1 | 686 | 630 | 13 | 1,329 | 51.6% | 47.4% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -Golden Township, Precinct 1Golden Township, Precinct 1 | 355 | 779 | 18 | 1,152 | 30.8% | 67.6% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Benona Township, Precinct 1Benona Township, Precinct 1 | 424 | 702 | 9 | 1,135 | 37.4% | 61.9% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -Hart Township, Precinct 1Hart Township, Precinct 1 | 332 | 718 | 30 | 1,080 | 30.7% | 66.5% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -City of Hart, Precinct 1City of Hart, Precinct 1 | 387 | 449 | 21 | 857 | 45.2% | 52.4% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct -Weare Township, Precinct 1Weare Township, Precinct 1 | 228 | 477 | 15 | 720 | 31.7% | 66.3% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Ferry Township, Precinct 1Ferry Township, Precinct 1 | 187 | 496 | 11 | 694 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Claybanks Township, Precinct 1Claybanks Township, Precinct 1 | 204 | 394 | 5 | 603 | 33.8% | 65.3% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -Greenwood Township, Precinct 1Greenwood Township, Precinct 1 | 161 | 401 | 7 | 569 | 28.3% | 70.5% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -Elbridge Township, Precinct 1Elbridge Township, Precinct 1 | 142 | 396 | 11 | 549 | 25.9% | 72.1% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -Otto Township, Precinct 1Otto Township, Precinct 1 | 136 | 308 | 4 | 448 | 30.4% | 68.8% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Leavitt Township, Precinct 1Leavitt Township, Precinct 1 | 98 | 294 | 9 | 401 | 24.4% | 73.3% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -Crystal Township, Precinct 1Crystal Township, Precinct 1 | 98 | 243 | 3 | 344 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -Colfax Township, Precinct 1Colfax Township, Precinct 1 | 72 | 181 | 2 | 255 | 28.2% | 71.0% | R+42.7 |
| 1270730000001127-07300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1271620000001127-16200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1271718000001127-17180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1271910000001127-19100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1272520000001127-25200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1272794000001127-27940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1273278000001127-32780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1273440000001127-34400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1273516000001127-35160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1273692000001127-36920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1273694000001127-36940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1274656000001127-46560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1275730000001127-57300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1276178000001127-61780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1276356000001127-63560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1277286000001127-72860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1277286000002127-72860-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1278504000001127-85040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.3% |
| 1896 | −20.6% |
| 1900 | −31.7% |
| 1904 | −58.8% |
| 1908 | −46.1% |
| 1912 | −1.6% |
| 1916 | −15.8% |
| 1920 | −60.6% |
| 1924 | −60.3% |
| 1928 | −60.1% |
| 1932 | +10.0% |
| 1936 | +4.1% |
| 1940 | −21.7% |
| 1944 | −33.7% |
| 1948 | −25.1% |
| 1952 | −43.9% |
| 1956 | −41.0% |
| 1960 | −25.0% |
| 1964 | +12.1% |
| 1968 | −25.3% |
| 1972 | −31.7% |
| 1976 | −20.6% |
| 1980 | −21.7% |
| 1984 | −38.0% |
| 1988 | −25.6% |
| 1992 | −0.9% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −12.2% |
| 2004 | −10.1% |
| 2008 | +4.4% |
| 2012 | −10.3% |
| 2016 | −27.3% |
| 2020 | −28.1% |
| 2024 | −30.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.0%4,616 | 67.0%9,361 | 13,977 |
| 2020 | R | 31.4%4,198 | 68.6%9,178 | 13,376 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,526 |
| 2018 | 19,388 |
| 2020 | 21,247 |
| 2022 | 22,108 |
| 2024 | 22,676 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+243 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −155 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,107 in average income, against $63,985 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.6 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Oceana County, MI itself (R+30.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Muskegon County, MI187R+1.8
- Mason County, MI68R+21.4
- Newaygo County, MI62R+42.8
- Ottawa County, MI47R+20.4
- Kent County, MI45D+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Muskegon County, MI208
- Newaygo County, MI70
- Mason County, MI58
- Kent County, MI55
- Ottawa County, MI37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −168 |
| 2012 | −261 |
| 2013 | −116 |
| 2014 | 0 |
| 2015 | −60 |
| 2016 | −94 |
| 2017 | +68 |
| 2018 | +92 |
| 2019 | −118 |
| 2021 | +182 |
| 2022 | +69 |
| 2023 | +34 |
| 2024 | −26 |
| 2025 | +243 |
Oceana County hugs Lake Michigan's eastern shore and ranks among Michigan's top producers of asparagus and tart cherries. Its rural, agricultural character aligns with a presidential margin that has widened steadily rightward over the past three election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.0 points.
A population of 26,915, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,417 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cass County and Mason County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oceana County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.