HarrisDemocratic29.1%5,395TrumpRepublican70.0%12,965OliverLibertarian0.5%100
R+40.9- Lead
- 7,570
- Total
- 18,522
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- 62.2%
Akashiccounty
Clinton County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.2% of 29,957 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.2%5,502TrumpRepublican67.5%11,902JorgensenLibertarian1.3%221
R+36.3- Lead
- 6,400
- Total
- 17,625
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 57.8%
ClintonDemocratic30.6%4,744TrumpRepublican64.6%10,022JohnsonLibertarian3.0%470
R+34.0- Lead
- 5,278
- Total
- 15,505
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 50.0%
ObamaDemocratic43.1%5,734RomneyRepublican54.9%7,303JohnsonLibertarian1.3%171
R+11.8- Lead
- 1,569
- Total
- 13,311
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.0%7,097McCainRepublican50.7%7,504OtherAll other candidates1.3%190
R+2.8- Lead
- 407
- Total
- 14,791
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.7%5,823BushRepublican57.5%8,035OtherAll other candidates0.8%109
R+15.8- Lead
- 2,212
- Total
- 13,967
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.0%5,521BushRepublican50.6%6,064NaderGreen2.6%307
R+4.5- Lead
- 543
- Total
- 11,994
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.3%5,658DoleRepublican37.4%4,293PerotReform12.4%1,424
D+11.9- Lead
- 1,365
- Total
- 11,483
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,7982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,8162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Vermillion County, IN · twin score 88.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.2%18,629 participants ÷ 29,957 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.5%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,571 | 31,165 | 50.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,508 | 30,873 | 40.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,689 | 30,613 | 57.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,121 | 29,987 | 47.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 18,629 | 29,957 | 62.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 18,522 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0370420350370 | 469 | 918 | 9 | 1,396 | 33.6% | 65.8% | R+32.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0160420350160 | 341 | 964 | 12 | 1,317 | 25.9% | 73.2% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct 0030420350030 | 294 | 768 | 11 | 1,073 | 27.4% | 71.6% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct 0280420350280 | 261 | 806 | 4 | 1,071 | 24.4% | 75.3% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct 0210420350210 | 420 | 603 | 13 | 1,036 | 40.5% | 58.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 0290420350290 | 310 | 605 | 6 | 921 | 33.7% | 65.7% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct 0020420350020 | 195 | 604 | 5 | 804 | 24.3% | 75.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct 0300420350300 | 183 | 607 | 8 | 798 | 22.9% | 76.1% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct 0350420350350 | 208 | 570 | 6 | 784 | 26.5% | 72.7% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct 0250420350250 | 204 | 545 | 9 | 758 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct 0120420350120 | 232 | 488 | 5 | 725 | 32.0% | 67.3% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 0200420350200 | 352 | 342 | 5 | 699 | 50.4% | 48.9% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct 0140420350140 | 111 | 524 | 4 | 639 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct 0060420350060 | 198 | 430 | 2 | 630 | 31.4% | 68.3% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct 0100420350100 | 142 | 449 | 4 | 595 | 23.9% | 75.5% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct 0040420350040 | 133 | 452 | 5 | 590 | 22.5% | 76.6% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct 0070420350070 | 131 | 397 | 3 | 531 | 24.7% | 74.8% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct 0220420350220 | 178 | 320 | 7 | 505 | 35.2% | 63.4% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct 0090420350090 | 75 | 386 | 4 | 465 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct 0180420350180 | 192 | 258 | 8 | 458 | 41.9% | 56.3% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct 0050420350050 | 104 | 318 | 4 | 426 | 24.4% | 74.6% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct 0315420350315 | 132 | 281 | 7 | 420 | 31.4% | 66.9% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct 0230420350230 | 96 | 238 | 5 | 339 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct 0130420350130 | 52 | 224 | 1 | 277 | 18.8% | 80.9% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct 0190420350190 | 91 | 135 | 4 | 230 | 39.6% | 58.7% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 0240420350240 | 78 | 143 | 3 | 224 | 34.8% | 63.8% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct 0265420350265 | 43 | 156 | 1 | 200 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct 0340420350340 | 68 | 108 | 2 | 178 | 38.2% | 60.7% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 0010420350010 | 50 | 96 | 1 | 147 | 34.0% | 65.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 0080420350080 | 25 | 87 | 1 | 113 | 22.1% | 77.0% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct 0170420350170 | 20 | 90 | 3 | 113 | 17.7% | 79.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0150420350150 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 34 | 20.6% | 79.4% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct 0360420350360 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct 0110420350110 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| ALLISON TWP Voting District42_4203510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AVIS Voting District42_4203520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BALD EAGLE TWP Voting District42_4203530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEECH CREEK BOROUGH Voting District42_4203550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEECH CREEK TWP Voting District42_4203540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASTANEA TWP Voting District42_4203560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHAPMAN TWP Voting District42_4203570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLEBROOK TWP Voting District42_4203580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRAWFORD TWP Voting District42_4203590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNNSTABLE TWP Voting District42_42035100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST KEATING TWP Voting District42_42035110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLEMINGTON BOROUGH Voting District42_42035120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALLAGHER TWP Voting District42_42035130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENE TWP Voting District42_42035140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRUGAN TWP Voting District42_42035150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMAR TWP Voting District42_42035160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEIDY TWP Voting District42_42035170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0142_42035180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0242_42035190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0342_42035200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0442_42035210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0542_42035220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGAN TWP Voting District42_42035230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGANTON BOROUGH Voting District42_42035240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL HALL BOROUGH Voting District42_42035250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOYES TWP Voting District42_42035260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE CREEK TWP VTD 0142_42035280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE CREEK TWP VTD 0242_42035290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTER TWP Voting District42_42035300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RENOVO BOROUGH Voting District42_42035310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH RENOVO BOROUGH Voting District42_42035340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP Voting District42_42035350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST KEATING TWP Voting District42_42035360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODWARD TWP Voting District42_42035370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.6% |
| 1896 | −6.4% |
| 1900 | −4.5% |
| 1904 | −27.7% |
| 1908 | −14.6% |
| 1912 | +16.3% |
| 1916 | +2.8% |
| 1920 | −16.8% |
| 1924 | −34.0% |
| 1928 | −47.8% |
| 1932 | −12.5% |
| 1936 | +12.5% |
| 1940 | +8.2% |
| 1944 | −1.8% |
| 1948 | −5.7% |
| 1952 | −17.0% |
| 1956 | −20.8% |
| 1960 | −21.2% |
| 1964 | +39.9% |
| 1968 | −1.9% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | +5.4% |
| 1980 | −12.0% |
| 1984 | −19.1% |
| 1988 | +0.2% |
| 1992 | +7.4% |
| 1996 | +11.9% |
| 2000 | −4.5% |
| 2004 | −15.8% |
| 2008 | −2.8% |
| 2012 | −11.8% |
| 2016 | −34.0% |
| 2020 | −36.3% |
| 2024 | −40.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+32.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+40.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.8 points more Democratic.
22,514 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+127 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −110 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,278 in average income, against $65,840 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.4 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, PA itself (R+40.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lycoming County, PA181R+41.5
- Centre County, PA113D+2.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lycoming County, PA219
- Centre County, PA134
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +195 |
| 2012 | +184 |
| 2013 | +29 |
| 2014 | −376 |
| 2015 | −151 |
| 2016 | −417 |
| 2017 | −156 |
| 2018 | −160 |
| 2019 | −41 |
| 2021 | +754 |
| 2022 | −119 |
| 2023 | −19 |
| 2024 | +40 |
| 2025 | +127 |
Clinton County's population of under 40,000 is concentrated along the West Branch Susquehanna River, and its presidential margins have swung from competitive to R+40.9 over the past two decades—one of the steeper realignment arcs in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 47.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 37,798, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,816 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Vermillion County and Montgomery County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Vermillion County
Indiana
88.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% White≠ German ancestry
Montgomery County
Illinois
85.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% White≠ Scottish ancestry
Christian County
Illinois
82.9twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clinton County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clinton County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Clinton County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clinton County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 40.9 points (R+40.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,522 votes cast, 5,395 went Democratic and 12,965 went Republican.
When did Clinton County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clinton County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Clinton County, Pennsylvania?
Clinton County, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clinton County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Clinton County, Pennsylvania is $60,816 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Clinton County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clinton County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.