HarrisDemocratic25.9%4,026TrumpRepublican72.6%11,278KennedyIndependent1.5%230
R+46.7- Lead
- 7,252
- Total
- 15,545
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- 57.8%
Akashiccounty
Christian County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.8% of 26,892 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.7%4,335TrumpRepublican71.2%11,563JorgensenLibertarian1.3%210
R+44.5- Lead
- 7,228
- Total
- 16,231
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Turnout
- 73.2%
ClintonDemocratic25.8%3,992TrumpRepublican68.1%10,543JohnsonLibertarian4.3%662
R+42.3- Lead
- 6,551
- Total
- 15,477
- vs nation
- R+44.4
- Turnout
- 58.1%
ObamaDemocratic37.3%5,494RomneyRepublican60.3%8,885JOHNSONLibertarian1.4%205
R+23.0- Lead
- 3,391
- Total
- 14,727
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.8%6,918McCainRepublican52.1%7,872OtherAll other candidates2.1%310
R+6.3- Lead
- 954
- Total
- 15,100
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.0%6,112BushRepublican59.2%9,044OtherAll other candidates0.7%111
R+19.2- Lead
- 2,932
- Total
- 15,267
- vs nation
- R+16.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.0%6,799BushRepublican51.0%7,537NaderGreen1.8%269
R+5.0- Lead
- 738
- Total
- 14,771
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.1%7,431DoleRepublican37.5%5,563PerotReform11.6%1,727
D+12.6- Lead
- 1,868
- Total
- 14,837
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,5382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,6112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sullivan County, IN · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.8%15,545 participants ÷ 26,892 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.5%–41.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,477 | 26,633 | 58.1% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,244 | 26,197 | 50.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,004 | 25,947 | 73.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,773 | 26,625 | 48.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,545 | 26,892 | 57.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
59 precincts · 15,683 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MAYMAY | 267 | 738 | 24 | 1,029 | 25.9% | 71.7% | R+45.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PANA 2PANA 2 | 247 | 713 | 32 | 992 | 24.9% | 71.9% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -BUCKHARTBUCKHART | 219 | 743 | 22 | 984 | 22.3% | 75.5% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 4TAYLORVILLE 4 | 204 | 514 | 24 | 742 | 27.5% | 69.3% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 5TAYLORVILLE 5 | 224 | 482 | 18 | 724 | 30.9% | 66.6% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -PANA 4PANA 4 | 161 | 520 | 23 | 704 | 22.9% | 73.9% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -SOUTH FORK 2SOUTH FORK 2 | 162 | 488 | 16 | 666 | 24.3% | 73.3% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 8TAYLORVILLE 8 | 178 | 444 | 12 | 634 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -RICKSRICKS | 117 | 503 | 8 | 628 | 18.6% | 80.1% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -ASSUMPTIONASSUMPTION | 135 | 480 | 12 | 627 | 21.5% | 76.6% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 3TAYLORVILLE 3 | 200 | 403 | 16 | 619 | 32.3% | 65.1% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 6TAYLORVILLE 6 | 191 | 407 | 15 | 613 | 31.2% | 66.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 1TAYLORVILLE 1 | 192 | 396 | 16 | 604 | 31.8% | 65.6% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 2TAYLORVILLE 2 | 202 | 372 | 13 | 587 | 34.4% | 63.4% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -STONINGTONSTONINGTON | 133 | 407 | 19 | 559 | 23.8% | 72.8% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 7TAYLORVILLE 7 | 179 | 353 | 7 | 539 | 33.2% | 65.5% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -SOUTH FORK 1SOUTH FORK 1 | 142 | 376 | 11 | 529 | 26.8% | 71.1% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -MT AUBURNMT AUBURN | 115 | 404 | 9 | 528 | 21.8% | 76.5% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -PANA 3PANA 3 | 138 | 373 | 14 | 525 | 26.3% | 71.0% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -JOHNSONJOHNSON | 84 | 366 | 8 | 458 | 18.3% | 79.9% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -PANA 1PANA 1 | 115 | 319 | 7 | 441 | 26.1% | 72.3% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -TAYLORVILLE 9TAYLORVILLE 9 | 130 | 275 | 13 | 418 | 31.1% | 65.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -LOCUSTLOCUST | 91 | 226 | 11 | 328 | 27.7% | 68.9% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -BEAR CREEKBEAR CREEK | 65 | 217 | 6 | 288 | 22.6% | 75.3% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIETONPRAIRIETON | 38 | 233 | 8 | 279 | 13.6% | 83.5% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -MOSQUITOMOSQUITO | 42 | 164 | 4 | 210 | 20.0% | 78.1% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -ROSAMONDROSAMOND | 27 | 165 | 5 | 197 | 13.7% | 83.8% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -GREENWOODGREENWOOD | 14 | 100 | 3 | 117 | 12.0% | 85.5% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -KINGKING | 14 | 97 | 3 | 114 | 12.3% | 85.1% | R+72.8 |
| ASSUMPTION 1 Voting District17_17021AP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAR CREEK Voting District17_17021BC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUCKHART 1 Voting District17_17021BH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENWOOD Voting District17_17021GR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSON Voting District17_17021JN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KING Voting District17_17021KN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCUST Voting District17_17021LT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAY Voting District17_17021MA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOSQUITO Voting District17_17021MQ01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT AUBURN 1 Voting District17_17021MT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PANA 1 Voting District17_17021PN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PANA 2 Voting District17_17021PN02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PANA 3 Voting District17_17021PN03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PANA 4 Voting District17_17021PN04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PANA 5 Voting District17_17021PN05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIETON Voting District17_17021PR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICKS 1 Voting District17_17021RK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROSAMOND Voting District17_17021RM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH FORK 1 Voting District17_17021SF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH FORK 2 Voting District17_17021SF02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH FORK 3 Voting District17_17021SF03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STONINGTON 1 Voting District17_17021ST01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 1 Voting District17_17021TL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 2 Voting District17_17021TL02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 3 Voting District17_17021TL03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 4 Voting District17_17021TL04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 5 Voting District17_17021TL05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 6 Voting District17_17021TL06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 7 Voting District17_17021TL07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLORVILLE 8 Voting District17_17021TL08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +9.7% |
| 1896 | +9.1% |
| 1900 | +9.8% |
| 1904 | −7.1% |
| 1908 | +5.6% |
| 1912 | +23.2% |
| 1916 | +6.8% |
| 1920 | −15.0% |
| 1924 | −9.8% |
| 1928 | −14.6% |
| 1932 | +29.7% |
| 1936 | +15.9% |
| 1940 | +5.5% |
| 1944 | +2.0% |
| 1948 | +10.5% |
| 1952 | −0.3% |
| 1956 | −6.1% |
| 1960 | +4.8% |
| 1964 | +31.8% |
| 1968 | +5.5% |
| 1972 | −14.2% |
| 1976 | +11.0% |
| 1980 | −13.4% |
| 1984 | −6.1% |
| 1988 | +8.1% |
| 1992 | +22.5% |
| 1996 | +12.6% |
| 2000 | −5.0% |
| 2004 | −19.2% |
| 2008 | −6.3% |
| 2012 | −23.0% |
| 2016 | −42.3% |
| 2020 | −44.5% |
| 2024 | −46.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,376 |
| 2018 | 22,775 |
| 2020 | 39,692 |
| 2022 | 21,912 |
| 2024 | 10,767 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+86 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,767 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,827 in average income, against $74,930 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.9 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Christian County, IL itself (R+46.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sangamon County, IL160R+4.9
- Shelby County, IL67R+60.2
- Macon County, IL65R+18.9
- Montgomery County, IL30R+44.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sangamon County, IL144
- Macon County, IL62
- Shelby County, IL58
- Montgomery County, IL33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −14 |
| 2012 | −162 |
| 2013 | −319 |
| 2014 | −263 |
| 2015 | −271 |
| 2016 | −153 |
| 2017 | −142 |
| 2018 | −279 |
| 2019 | −275 |
| 2021 | −69 |
| 2022 | +82 |
| 2023 | −4 |
| 2024 | +16 |
| 2025 | +86 |
Christian County, anchored by the small city of Taylorville, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, with 2024 margins exceeding 46 points in a county once competitive enough to elect Democrats statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.7 points.
A population of 33,538, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,611 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sullivan County and Randolph County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sullivan County
Indiana
92.5twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated2000 margin
Randolph County
Indiana
90.1twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ Italian ancestry
Blackford County
Indiana
89.4twin score
% unaffiliated% White2020 margin≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Christian County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Christian County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Christian County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Christian County, Illinois voted Republican by 46.7 points (R+46.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,545 votes cast, 4,026 went Democratic and 11,278 went Republican.
When did Christian County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Christian County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Christian County, Illinois?
Christian County, Illinois has a population of 33,538 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Christian County, Illinois?
Median household income in Christian County, Illinois is $62,611 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Christian County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Christian County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.