- Lead
- 16,518
- Total
- 42,229
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Turnout
- 63.0%
Indiana County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.0% of 67,045 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,455
- Total
- 41,198
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 13,360
- Total
- 38,122
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 54.0%
- Lead
- 6,784
- Total
- 36,444
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,662
- Total
- 37,302
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,423
- Total
- 36,248
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,132
- Total
- 31,401
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 994
- Total
- 30,583
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,0422024 5-year
- Population density
- 100 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 827 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,2082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Schuylkill County, PA · twin score 83.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.0%42,271 participants ÷ 67,045 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.9%–51.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 38,225 | 70,723 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 29,543 | 69,380 | 42.6% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 41,417 | 68,218 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 32,860 | 67,635 | 48.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 42,271 | 67,045 | 63.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Indiana County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.9%
17,568 votes · D+20.0
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 52.0%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
77.2%
6,878 votes · R+59.7
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
17,568votes
59.9% of the vote · D+20.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 17,065 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
29,215votes
69.2% of the vote · R+39.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,089 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+12.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.8 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +9.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1900
+42.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.8 · U.S. R+7.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +42.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.7 points more Republican than the rolls.
49,142 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−172 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,602 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,185 in average income, against $68,038 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.8 on average — 9.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Indiana County, PA itself (R+39.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Westmoreland County, PA233R+28.4
- Cambria County, PA138R+39.7
- Allegheny County, PA120D+20.3
- Armstrong County, PA119R+53.2
- Jefferson County, PA87R+58.5
- Clearfield County, PA39R+51.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Westmoreland County, PA261
- Allegheny County, PA188
- Cambria County, PA110
- Armstrong County, PA104
- Jefferson County, PA76
- Clearfield County, PA35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −244 |
| 2012 | −398 |
| 2013 | −147 |
| 2014 | −796 |
| 2015 | −608 |
| 2016 | −1,625 |
| 2017 | −251 |
| 2018 | −175 |
| 2019 | −281 |
| 2021 | +182 |
| 2022 | +189 |
| 2023 | +318 |
| 2024 | +406 |
| 2025 | −172 |
Indiana County's economy long centered on coal and Indiana University of Pennsylvania, but population loss and deindustrialization have accompanied a steady rightward shift, with the 2024 presidential margin reaching R+39.1.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.1 points.
A population of 83,042, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,208 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Schuylkill County and Cambria County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Indiana County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.