- Lead
- 11,259
- Total
- 26,732
- vs nation
- R+40.6
- Turnout
- 66.8%
Venango County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.8% of 40,156 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,984
- Total
- 26,528
- vs nation
- R+45.9
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Lead
- 9,712
- Total
- 23,530
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- 55.9%
- Lead
- 5,870
- Total
- 22,257
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,480
- Total
- 23,307
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,448
- Total
- 23,659
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,446
- Total
- 20,541
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 19,549
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 49,8012024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,5222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Armstrong County, PA · twin score 87.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.8%26,811 participants ÷ 40,156 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.8%–54.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,733 | 42,437 | 55.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,778 | 41,856 | 44.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,674 | 41,326 | 64.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 21,026 | 40,776 | 51.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 26,811 | 40,156 | 66.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
92 precincts · 25,606 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0136421210136 | 381 | 951 | 13 | 1,345 | 28.3% | 70.7% | R+42.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0102421210102 | 432 | 863 | 10 | 1,305 | 33.1% | 66.1% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 0116421210116 | 296 | 954 | 7 | 1,257 | 23.5% | 75.9% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct 0650421210650 | 376 | 851 | 7 | 1,234 | 30.5% | 69.0% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 0225421210225 | 430 | 630 | 13 | 1,073 | 40.1% | 58.7% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct 0195421210195 | 423 | 541 | 9 | 973 | 43.5% | 55.6% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct 0126421210126 | 206 | 732 | 10 | 948 | 21.7% | 77.2% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct 0290421210290 | 241 | 611 | 6 | 858 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 0330421210330 | 193 | 654 | 7 | 854 | 22.6% | 76.6% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct 0040421210040 | 186 | 624 | 6 | 816 | 22.8% | 76.5% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct 0355421210355 | 329 | 477 | 8 | 814 | 40.4% | 58.6% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct 0675421210675 | 208 | 586 | 3 | 797 | 26.1% | 73.5% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct 0540421210540 | 117 | 625 | 4 | 746 | 15.7% | 83.8% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct 0300421210300 | 132 | 600 | 6 | 738 | 17.9% | 81.3% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct 0265421210265 | 280 | 428 | 10 | 718 | 39.0% | 59.6% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct 0695421210695 | 164 | 499 | 4 | 667 | 24.6% | 74.8% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct 0395421210395 | 279 | 365 | 7 | 651 | 42.9% | 56.1% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct 0445421210445 | 274 | 352 | 4 | 630 | 43.5% | 55.9% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct 0560421210560 | 117 | 459 | 4 | 580 | 20.2% | 79.1% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct 0310421210310 | 98 | 463 | 6 | 567 | 17.3% | 81.7% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 0030421210030 | 96 | 462 | 5 | 563 | 17.1% | 82.1% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct 0690421210690 | 143 | 395 | 4 | 542 | 26.4% | 72.9% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct 0425421210425 | 182 | 332 | 7 | 521 | 34.9% | 63.7% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 0375421210375 | 198 | 316 | 4 | 518 | 38.2% | 61.0% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct 0405421210405 | 196 | 281 | 9 | 486 | 40.3% | 57.8% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 0550421210550 | 107 | 372 | 3 | 482 | 22.2% | 77.2% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct 0465421210465 | 217 | 260 | 2 | 479 | 45.3% | 54.3% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct 0530421210530 | 86 | 389 | 1 | 476 | 18.1% | 81.7% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct 0660421210660 | 101 | 372 | 0 | 473 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct 0575421210575 | 65 | 362 | 5 | 432 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct 0050421210050 | 80 | 312 | 5 | 397 | 20.2% | 78.6% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct 0680421210680 | 111 | 272 | 5 | 388 | 28.6% | 70.1% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct 0170421210170 | 115 | 241 | 3 | 359 | 32.0% | 67.1% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct 0596421210596 | 99 | 222 | 4 | 325 | 30.5% | 68.3% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct 0320421210320 | 43 | 270 | 3 | 316 | 13.6% | 85.4% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct 0070421210070 | 51 | 189 | 1 | 241 | 21.2% | 78.4% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct 0060421210060 | 52 | 165 | 1 | 218 | 23.9% | 75.7% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct 0570421210570 | 59 | 157 | 2 | 218 | 27.1% | 72.0% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct 0640421210640 | 60 | 150 | 3 | 213 | 28.2% | 70.4% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct 0010421210010 | 44 | 137 | 4 | 185 | 23.8% | 74.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct 0020421210020 | 22 | 79 | 1 | 102 | 21.6% | 77.5% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct 0730421210730 | 20 | 80 | 1 | 101 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| ALLEGHENY TWP Voting District42_4212110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BARKEYVILLE Voting District42_4212120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANAL TWP Voting District42_4212130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHERRYTREE TWP Voting District42_4212140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON TWP Voting District42_4212150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTONVILLE Voting District42_4212160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COOPERSTOWN Voting District42_4212170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CORNPLANTER TWP DIST 0142_42121100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CORNPLANTER TWP DIST 0242_42121105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRANBERRY TWP DIST 0142_42121115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRANBERRY TWP DIST 0242_42121125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRANBERRY TWP DIST 0342_42121135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRANBERRY TWP DIST 0442_42121140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EMLENTON Voting District42_42121170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN DIST 02 ED 0142_42121225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN DIST 02 ED 0242_42121250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN DIST 0342_42121265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRENCHCREEK TWP Voting District42_42121290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IRWIN TWP Voting District42_42121300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON TWP Voting District42_42121310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MINERAL TWP Voting District42_42121320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OAKLAND TWP Voting District42_42121330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0142_42121355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0242_42121375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0342_42121395 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0442_42121405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0542_42121425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0642_42121445 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CITY DIST 0742_42121465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OIL CREEK TWP Voting District42_42121530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEGROVE TWP Voting District42_42121540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANTVILLE Voting District42_42121550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLUM TWP Voting District42_42121560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK Voting District42_42121570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0580421210580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0740421210740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRESIDENT TWP Voting District42_42121580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICHLAND TWP Voting District42_42121575 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKLAND TWP DIST 0142_42121595 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKLAND TWP DIST 0242_42121620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROUSEVILLE Voting District42_42121640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDYCREEK TWP Voting District42_42121650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCRUBGRASS TWP Voting District42_42121660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK VTD 0142_42121670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK VTD 0242_42121680 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK VTD 0342_42121690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK VTD 0442_42121700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK VTD 0542_42121695 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UTICA Voting District42_42121730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VICTORY TWP Voting District42_42121740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.8% |
| 1896 | −5.2% |
| 1900 | −17.0% |
| 1904 | −40.3% |
| 1908 | −21.0% |
| 1912 | +9.3% |
| 1916 | +0.9% |
| 1920 | −43.0% |
| 1924 | −61.4% |
| 1928 | −58.5% |
| 1932 | −31.7% |
| 1936 | −30.7% |
| 1940 | −44.0% |
| 1944 | −39.2% |
| 1948 | −38.6% |
| 1952 | −45.2% |
| 1956 | −50.7% |
| 1960 | −36.1% |
| 1964 | +13.9% |
| 1968 | −18.2% |
| 1972 | −37.0% |
| 1976 | −17.0% |
| 1980 | −18.2% |
| 1984 | −19.3% |
| 1988 | −14.0% |
| 1992 | −1.5% |
| 1996 | −1.0% |
| 2000 | −16.8% |
| 2004 | −23.0% |
| 2008 | −19.2% |
| 2012 | −26.4% |
| 2016 | −41.3% |
| 2020 | −41.4% |
| 2024 | −42.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.4%6,908 | 73.6%19,236 | 26,144 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.2 points more Democratic.
32,768 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+95 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,507 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,497 in average income, against $63,352 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+27.8 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Venango County, PA itself (R+42.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Crawford County, PA128R+39.2
- Mercer County, PA83R+30.2
- Butler County, PA72R+32.2
- Clarion County, PA70R+53.1
- Allegheny County, PA55D+20.3
- Erie County, PA41R+1.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Crawford County, PA128
- Allegheny County, PA77
- Mercer County, PA77
- Clarion County, PA69
- Erie County, PA69
- Butler County, PA62
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −162 |
| 2012 | −373 |
| 2013 | −300 |
| 2014 | −372 |
| 2015 | −260 |
| 2016 | −378 |
| 2017 | −543 |
| 2018 | −382 |
| 2019 | −306 |
| 2021 | +16 |
| 2022 | +134 |
| 2023 | +36 |
| 2024 | +288 |
| 2025 | +95 |
Venango County in northwestern Pennsylvania has shifted since the 1990s, when it was a competitive battleground; by 2024 it delivered a 42-point Republican margin, reflecting the broader rural realignment across the post-industrial Oil Region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.1 points.
A population of 49,801, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,522 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Armstrong County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Venango County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42121/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.