- Lead
- 9,425
- Total
- 20,038
- vs nation
- R+45.6
- Turnout
- 64.3%
Snyder County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.3% of 31,276 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,073
- Total
- 19,140
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- 60.5%
- Lead
- 7,723
- Total
- 16,486
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 53.2%
- Lead
- 5,386
- Total
- 15,068
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,518
- Total
- 15,479
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,218
- Total
- 14,983
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,427
- Total
- 12,841
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,337
- Total
- 11,642
- vs nation
- R+37.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,6682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,8762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Juniata County, PA · twin score 85.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.3%20,117 participants ÷ 31,276 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.8%–53.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,620 | 31,224 | 53.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,453 | 31,681 | 42.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,265 | 31,863 | 60.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,389 | 31,454 | 48.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,117 | 31,276 | 64.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 20,038 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0150421090150 | 406 | 956 | 12 | 1,374 | 29.5% | 69.6% | R+40.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0165421090165 | 413 | 805 | 12 | 1,230 | 33.6% | 65.4% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct 0040421090040 | 148 | 1,066 | 4 | 1,218 | 12.2% | 87.5% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct 0140421090140 | 485 | 715 | 12 | 1,212 | 40.0% | 59.0% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 0060421090060 | 175 | 1,031 | 2 | 1,208 | 14.5% | 85.3% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct 0130421090130 | 218 | 981 | 6 | 1,205 | 18.1% | 81.4% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct 0155421090155 | 360 | 614 | 13 | 987 | 36.5% | 62.2% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct 0220421090220 | 331 | 586 | 2 | 919 | 36.0% | 63.8% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct 0170421090170 | 130 | 770 | 5 | 905 | 14.4% | 85.1% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct 0250421090250 | 194 | 696 | 4 | 894 | 21.7% | 77.9% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct 0180421090180 | 459 | 384 | 9 | 852 | 53.9% | 45.1% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct 0230421090230 | 118 | 714 | 3 | 835 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct 0190421090190 | 432 | 379 | 8 | 819 | 52.7% | 46.3% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct 0090421090090 | 188 | 600 | 6 | 794 | 23.7% | 75.6% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct 0200421090200 | 337 | 378 | 8 | 723 | 46.6% | 52.3% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct 0110421090110 | 171 | 505 | 2 | 678 | 25.2% | 74.5% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct 0240421090240 | 104 | 510 | 4 | 618 | 16.8% | 82.5% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct 0260421090260 | 49 | 500 | 2 | 551 | 8.9% | 90.7% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct 0030421090030 | 93 | 448 | 4 | 545 | 17.1% | 82.2% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct 0270421090270 | 78 | 456 | 3 | 537 | 14.5% | 84.9% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct 0100421090100 | 76 | 396 | 2 | 474 | 16.0% | 83.5% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct 0010421090010 | 69 | 389 | 3 | 461 | 15.0% | 84.4% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct 0050421090050 | 75 | 317 | 2 | 394 | 19.0% | 80.5% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct 0080421090080 | 82 | 218 | 5 | 305 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct 0020421090020 | 48 | 250 | 2 | 300 | 16.0% | 83.3% | R+67.3 |
| ADAMS TWP Voting District42_4210910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAVER TWP Voting District42_4210920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAVERTOWN Voting District42_4210930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER TWP Voting District42_4210940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHAPMAN TWP Voting District42_4210950 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP Voting District42_4210960 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Freeburg Voting District42_4210980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON TWP Voting District42_4210990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC CLURE Voting District42_42109100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDDLEBURG Voting District42_42109110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDDLECREEK TWP Voting District42_42109130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP DIST 0142_42109140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP DIST 0242_42109150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PENN TWP VTD DIST 0142_42109PR28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PENN TWP VTD DIST 0242_42109PR26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP Voting District42_42109170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELINSGROVE VTD 0142_42109180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELINSGROVE VTD 0242_42109190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SELINSGROVE VTD 0342_42109200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAMOKIN DAM Voting District42_42109220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRING TWP Voting District42_42109230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42109240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_42109250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST BEAVER TWP Voting District42_42109260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST PERRY TWP Voting District42_42109270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −20.7% |
| 1896 | −30.7% |
| 1900 | −30.9% |
| 1904 | −44.1% |
| 1908 | −37.1% |
| 1912 | +11.0% |
| 1916 | −17.7% |
| 1920 | −46.9% |
| 1924 | −49.1% |
| 1928 | −74.9% |
| 1932 | −21.6% |
| 1936 | −29.7% |
| 1940 | −39.5% |
| 1944 | −51.9% |
| 1948 | −55.3% |
| 1952 | −60.3% |
| 1956 | −56.7% |
| 1960 | −60.3% |
| 1964 | −10.6% |
| 1968 | −50.6% |
| 1972 | −58.6% |
| 1976 | −34.8% |
| 1980 | −49.2% |
| 1984 | −57.8% |
| 1988 | −54.3% |
| 1992 | −31.6% |
| 1996 | −28.7% |
| 2000 | −42.3% |
| 2004 | −41.5% |
| 2008 | −29.2% |
| 2012 | −35.7% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −47.4% |
| 2024 | −47.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.6 points.
23,862 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−82 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −277 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,907 in average income, against $70,063 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.6 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Snyder County, PA itself (R+47.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Northumberland County, PA194R+39.9
- Union County, PA107R+23.4
- Juniata County, PA43R+61.4
- Mifflin County, PA27R+56.4
- Dauphin County, PA22D+5.9
- Montour County, PA20R+21.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Northumberland County, PA150
- Union County, PA104
- Mifflin County, PA33
- Juniata County, PA32
- Lycoming County, PA30
- Dauphin County, PA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −19 |
| 2012 | +15 |
| 2013 | +159 |
| 2014 | +82 |
| 2015 | +150 |
| 2016 | −213 |
| 2017 | +54 |
| 2018 | −126 |
| 2019 | −191 |
| 2021 | +8 |
| 2022 | −206 |
| 2023 | +146 |
| 2024 | −54 |
| 2025 | −82 |
Snyder County, anchored by Selinsgrove in the central Susquehanna Valley, recorded a nearly 47-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in a state defined by its competitive statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 74.9 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 39,668, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,876 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Juniata County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Snyder County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.