- Lead
- 31,615
- Total
- 61,594
- vs nation
- R+49.9
Ohio 40th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 30,975
- Total
- 61,570
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Lead
- 29,211
- Total
- 58,579
- vs nation
- R+52.0
- Lead
- 24,506
- Total
- 57,347
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Lead
- 23,729
- Total
- 59,384
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Lead
- 26,007
- Total
- 60,509
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Lead
- 19,927
- Total
- 50,099
- vs nation
- R+40.3
- Lead
- 13,072
- Total
- 47,325
- vs nation
- R+36.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 114,4432024 5-year
- Population density
- 169 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 677 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,2402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.4 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 63, OH · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Ohio 40th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
45.4%
16,024 votes · R+9.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 44.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
77.9%
37,915 votes · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 76.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
17,380votes
29.3% of the vote · R+40.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 17,131 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46,369votes
75.3% of the vote · R+51.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 45,856 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
−4.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+30.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · −11.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+54.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +52.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.8%17,819 | 67.2%36,467 | 54,286 |
| 2020 | R | 34.0%19,327 | 66.0%37,495 | 56,822 |
Ohio 40th State House District sits in the Industrial Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.3 points.
A population of 114,443, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,240 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 63 and State House District 85.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Ohio 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/39040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.