akashic
1876–2024
State House District 40·Ohio

Ohio 40th State House District delivered R+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Ohio's most lopsided presidential margins outside major metros

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
308,609
2024 ACS

Ohio 40th State House District, Ohio: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+30 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
308,6092024 5-year
Median household income
$69,8232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.5%2024 5-year
Black
15.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1924MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.7%
63,31683,681149,148
R
−11.5%
67,08284,793154,287
R
−13.3%
60,16080,047149,167
R
−6.5%
68,37978,188150,074
R
−4.2%
73,11879,691155,389
R
−8.8%
70,63084,277155,603
R
−7.6%
57,36867,051128,151
D
+1.7%
57,48355,318124,718
R
−3.7%
52,94858,128138,749
R
−21.5%
46,70772,594120,175
R
−25.9%
44,30775,504120,554
R
−5.6%
50,39656,875115,393
R
−0.8%
51,89752,759106,935
R
−24.1%
38,04863,067103,798
R
−0.5%
44,03144,537102,924
D
+24.0%
62,42638,247100,672
R
−9.3%
48,04957,930105,979
R
−19.5%
37,42255,56192,983
R
−10.0%
40,10949,06189,170
D
+8.0%
37,72532,07170,321
D
+8.2%
40,41634,30274,719
D
+14.7%
43,36932,25275,622
D
+21.4%
40,20125,45768,832
D
+3.8%
29,32827,08258,868
R
−29.9%
20,66438,45559,469
R
−29.9%
14,22028,09546,391
R
−8.1%
22,18126,30950,763
D
+11.4%
14,37611,28727,141
D
+14.3%
10,0216,61123,861
D
+1.2%
12,62412,31525,992
R
−16.6%
9,28413,18123,475
R
−4.9%
10,81511,95423,261
R
−2.9%
10,57411,21022,042
D
+3.2%
9,3158,71218,751
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.3%
English
11.8%
Irish
11.7%
American
6.2%
Italian
3.2%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
20.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.5%
Baptist
8.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Methodist
2.6%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+41, this district ranks among the most reliably Republican constituencies in the state, reflecting a rural or exurban base where statewide and national contests rarely generate competitive outcomes.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached thirty points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 308,609, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,823 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 40, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/39040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 40, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 40, Ohio voted Republican by 13.7 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 149,148 votes cast, 63,316 went Democratic and 83,681 went Republican.
What is State House District 40, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 40, Ohio as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 40, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 40, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State House District 40, Ohio?
State House District 40, Ohio has a population of 308,609 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 40, Ohio?
Median household income in State House District 40, Ohio is $69,823 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of State House District 40, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 40, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.