- Lead
- 1,002
- Total
- 1,452
- vs nation
- R+67.5
- Turnout
- 69.5%
Decatur County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.5% of 2,120 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,042
- Total
- 1,498
- vs nation
- R+74.0
- Turnout
- 65.1%
- Lead
- 1,032
- Total
- 1,457
- vs nation
- R+72.9
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 952
- Total
- 1,532
- vs nation
- R+66.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 846
- Total
- 1,548
- vs nation
- R+61.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,000
- Total
- 1,740
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 831
- Total
- 1,759
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 838
- Total
- 1,844
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,7262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Republic County, KS · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.5%1,474 participants ÷ 2,120 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.1%–57.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,499 | 2,316 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,182 | 2,274 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,460 | 2,242 | 65.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,160 | 2,185 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,474 | 2,120 | 69.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 1,452 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS03900019AKS03900019A | 70 | 345 | 8 | 423 | 16.5% | 81.6% | R+65.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS039000180KS039000180 | 63 | 285 | 5 | 353 | 17.8% | 80.7% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -KS039000150KS039000150 | 7 | 76 | 1 | 84 | 8.3% | 90.5% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -KS039000130KS039000130 | 15 | 46 | 0 | 61 | 24.6% | 75.4% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -KS039000080KS039000080 | 10 | 49 | 1 | 60 | 16.7% | 81.7% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000200KS039000200 | 7 | 43 | 1 | 51 | 13.7% | 84.3% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -KS039000210KS039000210 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 38 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -KS039000050KS039000050 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 36 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Precinct -KS039000140KS039000140 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 32 | 21.9% | 78.1% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -KS039000040KS039000040 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 31 | 19.4% | 80.6% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -KS039000070KS039000070 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 24 | 8.3% | 91.7% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -KS039000160KS039000160 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000230KS039000230 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000250KS039000250 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 4.2% | 95.8% | R+91.7 |
| Precinct -KS039000100KS039000100 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 26.1% | 73.9% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -KS039000090KS039000090 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 9.1% | 90.9% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -KS039000270KS039000270 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 5.3% | 94.7% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -KS039000010KS039000010 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 0.0% | 93.8% | R+93.8 |
| Precinct -KS039000220KS039000220 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000020KS039000020 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 6.7% | 86.7% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000260KS039000260 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -KS039000120KS039000120 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 0.0% | 92.9% | R+92.9 |
| Precinct -KS039000060KS039000060 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000030KS039000030 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 10.0% | 90.0% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000170KS039000170 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 30.0% | 60.0% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000240KS039000240 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS039000110KS039000110 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Allison Township Voting District20_20039000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Altory Township Voting District20_20039000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bassettville Township Voting District20_20039000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Township Voting District20_20039000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Township Voting District20_20039000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cook Township Voting District20_20039000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Custer Township Voting District20_20039000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dresden Township Voting District20_20039000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Finley Township Voting District20_20039000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garfield Township Voting District20_20039000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20039000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harlan Township Voting District20_20039000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jennings Township Voting District20_20039000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20039000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20039000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township Voting District20_20039000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyon Township Voting District20_20039000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oberlin City Precinct 120_20039000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oberlin City Precinct 220_2003900019A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oberlin City Precinct 2 Exclave20_2003900019B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oberlin Township Voting District20_20039000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Olive Township Voting District20_20039000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Valley Township Voting District20_20039000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prairie Dog Township Voting District20_20039000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt Township Voting District20_20039000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sappa Township Voting District20_20039000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Township Voting District20_20039000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Summit Township Voting District20_20039000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −38.6% |
| 1896 | +26.8% |
| 1900 | +15.3% |
| 1904 | −39.5% |
| 1908 | +15.4% |
| 1912 | +40.6% |
| 1916 | +39.2% |
| 1920 | −8.1% |
| 1924 | −11.7% |
| 1928 | −34.1% |
| 1932 | +24.8% |
| 1936 | +15.5% |
| 1940 | −13.1% |
| 1944 | −20.4% |
| 1948 | −4.8% |
| 1952 | −49.6% |
| 1956 | −37.5% |
| 1960 | −27.9% |
| 1964 | −2.5% |
| 1968 | −39.8% |
| 1972 | −44.9% |
| 1976 | −9.5% |
| 1980 | −53.3% |
| 1984 | −57.5% |
| 1988 | −23.2% |
| 1992 | −17.4% |
| 1996 | −45.4% |
| 2000 | −47.2% |
| 2004 | −57.5% |
| 2008 | −54.7% |
| 2012 | −62.1% |
| 2016 | −70.8% |
| 2020 | −69.6% |
| 2024 | −69.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.7 points more Democratic.
2,024 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+18 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +12 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,647 in average income, against $62,613 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +4 |
| 2012 | −12 |
| 2013 | +28 |
| 2014 | −8 |
| 2015 | +26 |
| 2016 | −84 |
| 2017 | +51 |
| 2018 | −2 |
| 2019 | −29 |
| 2021 | +29 |
| 2022 | −49 |
| 2023 | +53 |
| 2024 | −13 |
| 2025 | +18 |
Decatur County, anchored by the small city of Oberlin in the state's northwest corner, recorded an R+69 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in a state already defined by its rural Republican tilt.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 70.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.0 points.
A population of 2,726, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,870 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Republic County and Harlan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Decatur County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.