- Lead
- 5,441
- Total
- 13,505
- vs nation
- R+38.8
- Turnout
- 53.6%
Cowley County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.6% of 25,583 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,383
- Total
- 14,231
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Turnout
- 54.9%
- Lead
- 4,719
- Total
- 12,621
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Turnout
- 49.0%
- Lead
- 3,762
- Total
- 12,710
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,480
- Total
- 13,787
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,589
- Total
- 14,447
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,545
- Total
- 14,210
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,284
- Total
- 15,499
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,4112024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,8782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Neosho County, KS · twin score 73.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.6%13,704 participants ÷ 25,583 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.1%–42.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,056 | 26,632 | 49.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,675 | 26,576 | 40.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,430 | 26,278 | 54.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,993 | 25,896 | 42.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,704 | 25,583 | 53.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
134 precincts · 13,505 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS03500013AKS03500013A | 201 | 408 | 14 | 623 | 32.3% | 65.5% | R+33.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS035000201KS035000201 | 91 | 492 | 11 | 594 | 15.3% | 82.8% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -KS03500053AKS03500053A | 231 | 250 | 13 | 494 | 46.8% | 50.6% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -KS035000270KS035000270 | 108 | 374 | 7 | 489 | 22.1% | 76.5% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000150KS035000150 | 153 | 325 | 6 | 484 | 31.6% | 67.1% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -KS035000550KS035000550 | 174 | 290 | 11 | 475 | 36.6% | 61.1% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000300KS035000300 | 132 | 332 | 6 | 470 | 28.1% | 70.6% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000260KS035000260 | 89 | 365 | 10 | 464 | 19.2% | 78.7% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -KS035000480KS035000480 | 156 | 283 | 4 | 443 | 35.2% | 63.9% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -KS035000400KS035000400 | 91 | 292 | 5 | 388 | 23.5% | 75.3% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -KS035000211KS035000211 | 88 | 281 | 8 | 377 | 23.3% | 74.5% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -KS035000500KS035000500 | 121 | 232 | 5 | 358 | 33.8% | 64.8% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000050KS035000050 | 88 | 258 | 6 | 352 | 25.0% | 73.3% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000570KS035000570 | 130 | 203 | 6 | 339 | 38.3% | 59.9% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -KS035000210KS035000210 | 75 | 258 | 2 | 335 | 22.4% | 77.0% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -KS03500042AKS03500042A | 62 | 258 | 11 | 331 | 18.7% | 77.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -KS035000440KS035000440 | 146 | 148 | 8 | 302 | 48.3% | 49.0% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -KS035000470KS035000470 | 129 | 160 | 4 | 293 | 44.0% | 54.6% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000030KS035000030 | 94 | 194 | 0 | 288 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -KS035000350KS035000350 | 41 | 240 | 5 | 286 | 14.3% | 83.9% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000140KS035000140 | 106 | 164 | 1 | 271 | 39.1% | 60.5% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000120KS035000120 | 101 | 154 | 10 | 265 | 38.1% | 58.1% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000460KS035000460 | 105 | 141 | 5 | 251 | 41.8% | 56.2% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000040KS035000040 | 84 | 152 | 4 | 240 | 35.0% | 63.3% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000390KS035000390 | 58 | 178 | 3 | 239 | 24.3% | 74.5% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -KS035000490KS035000490 | 74 | 141 | 4 | 219 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000360KS035000360 | 23 | 184 | 1 | 208 | 11.1% | 88.5% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000540KS035000540 | 77 | 125 | 4 | 206 | 37.4% | 60.7% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000190KS035000190 | 16 | 185 | 1 | 202 | 7.9% | 91.6% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -KS035000380KS035000380 | 39 | 153 | 4 | 196 | 19.9% | 78.1% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -KS035000560KS035000560 | 73 | 111 | 2 | 186 | 39.2% | 59.7% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000450KS035000450 | 85 | 92 | 3 | 180 | 47.2% | 51.1% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -KS035000330KS035000330 | 38 | 138 | 2 | 178 | 21.3% | 77.5% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -KS03500001AKS03500001A | 63 | 107 | 4 | 174 | 36.2% | 61.5% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000020KS035000020 | 63 | 109 | 2 | 174 | 36.2% | 62.6% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000200KS035000200 | 21 | 131 | 2 | 154 | 13.6% | 85.1% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -KS03500006AKS03500006A | 40 | 95 | 2 | 137 | 29.2% | 69.3% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -KS035000100KS035000100 | 46 | 86 | 3 | 135 | 34.1% | 63.7% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000220KS035000220 | 25 | 105 | 2 | 132 | 18.9% | 79.5% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000280KS035000280 | 15 | 114 | 3 | 132 | 11.4% | 86.4% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000320KS035000320 | 35 | 83 | 3 | 121 | 28.9% | 68.6% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -KS03500051AKS03500051A | 46 | 75 | 0 | 121 | 38.0% | 62.0% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000520KS035000520 | 38 | 73 | 1 | 112 | 33.9% | 65.2% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000110KS035000110 | 36 | 73 | 2 | 111 | 32.4% | 65.8% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -KS035000170KS035000170 | 28 | 82 | 0 | 110 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -KS035000310KS035000310 | 12 | 89 | 1 | 102 | 11.8% | 87.3% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -KS03500006BKS03500006B | 39 | 55 | 1 | 95 | 41.1% | 57.9% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -KS035000340KS035000340 | 13 | 77 | 0 | 90 | 14.4% | 85.6% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -KS035000250KS035000250 | 9 | 71 | 2 | 82 | 11.0% | 86.6% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000430KS035000430 | 16 | 57 | 3 | 76 | 21.1% | 75.0% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -KS035000090KS035000090 | 21 | 43 | 5 | 69 | 30.4% | 62.3% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -KS035000240KS035000240 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 63 | 9.5% | 88.9% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000080KS035000080 | 14 | 40 | 2 | 56 | 25.0% | 71.4% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -KS035000230KS035000230 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 41 | 4.9% | 95.1% | R+90.2 |
| Precinct -KS035000070KS035000070 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 35 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000370KS035000370 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 32 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -KS03500051BKS03500051B | 7 | 23 | 1 | 31 | 22.6% | 74.2% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -KS035000290KS035000290 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 24 | 20.8% | 79.2% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -KS035900070KS035900070 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 22 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct -KS03500001CKS03500001C | 4 | 17 | 0 | 21 | 19.0% | 81.0% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -KS035000180KS035000180 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 19 | 10.5% | 89.5% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct -KS035900071KS035900071 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000051KS035000051 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS035000571KS035000571 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS03500001BKS03500001B | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 A20_2003500001A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 A Exclave A20_2003500001B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 A Exclave B20_2003500001C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 B20_20035000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 C20_20035000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 D20_20035000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 1 D Exclave A20_20035900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 A20_20035000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 B - 120_2003500006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 B - 220_2003500006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 C20_20035000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 D20_20035000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 2 D Exclave 120_20035900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 3 A20_20035000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 3 B20_20035000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 3 C20_20035000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 4 A20_20035000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 4 B20_2003500013A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 4 C20_20035000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 4 D20_20035000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arkansas City Ward 520_20035900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Township Voting District20_20035000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedar Township Voting District20_20035000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dexter Township Voting District20_20035000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Bolton Voting District20_20035000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Creswell Voting District20_20035000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Township Voting District20_20035000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20035000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harvey Township Voting District20_20035000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20035000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maple Township Voting District20_20035000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ninnescah Township Voting District20_20035000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Omnia Township Voting District20_20035000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Otter Township Voting District20_20035000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Valley Township Voting District20_20035000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township Voting District20_20035000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Township Voting District20_20035000320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem Township Voting District20_20035000330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sheridan Township Voting District20_20035000340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silver Creek Township Voting District20_20035000350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silverdale Township Voting District20_20035000360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Creek Township Voting District20_20035000370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tisdale Township Voting District20_20035000380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Township Voting District20_20035000390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Township Voting District20_20035000400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Bolton Enclave A Voting District20_2003500041B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Bolton Voting District20_2003500041A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Creswell Enclave A Voting District20_20035900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Creswell Enclave B Voting District20_20035900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Creswell Enclave C Voting District20_20035900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Creswell Voting District20_2003500042A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Windsor Township Voting District20_20035000430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 1 East20_20035000440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 1 West20_20035000450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 2 Central20_20035000460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 2 East20_20035000470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 2 South20_20035000480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 2 West20_20035000490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 320_20035000500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 3 South20_2003500051A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 420_20035000520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 5 East20_2003500053A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 5 East Exclave Lake20_2003500053B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 5 West20_20035000540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 620_20035000550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 6 A20_20035000560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 720_20035000570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 820_2003500051B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Ward 920_20035900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −49.1% |
| 1896 | +8.5% |
| 1900 | −3.3% |
| 1904 | −38.8% |
| 1908 | +6.9% |
| 1912 | +20.2% |
| 1916 | +5.5% |
| 1920 | −21.1% |
| 1924 | −36.8% |
| 1928 | −62.9% |
| 1932 | +6.0% |
| 1936 | +12.6% |
| 1940 | −8.7% |
| 1944 | −12.4% |
| 1948 | −6.8% |
| 1952 | −36.9% |
| 1956 | −28.3% |
| 1960 | −24.6% |
| 1964 | +3.4% |
| 1968 | −20.6% |
| 1972 | −46.0% |
| 1976 | −2.8% |
| 1980 | −21.4% |
| 1984 | −31.3% |
| 1988 | −11.1% |
| 1992 | −0.1% |
| 1996 | −14.7% |
| 2000 | −17.9% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −25.2% |
| 2012 | −29.6% |
| 2016 | −37.4% |
| 2020 | −37.8% |
| 2024 | −40.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.2 points more Democratic.
20,573 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+121 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,813 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,977 in average income, against $65,712 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.8 on average — 9.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Cowley County, KS itself (R+40.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sedgwick County, KS141R+13.8
- Sumner County, KS68R+50.1
- Kay County, OK44R+49.4
- Butler County, KS25R+41.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sedgwick County, KS225
- Kay County, OK56
- Sumner County, KS49
- Butler County, KS42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −133 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −152 |
| 2014 | −414 |
| 2015 | −212 |
| 2016 | −108 |
| 2017 | −341 |
| 2018 | −143 |
| 2019 | −240 |
| 2021 | +205 |
| 2022 | −114 |
| 2023 | −205 |
| 2024 | −48 |
| 2025 | +121 |
Cowley County anchors the Arkansas River corridor near the Oklahoma border, where a rural, agriculture-rooted electorate has delivered consistent and widening Republican supermajorities across successive presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.3 points.
A population of 34,411, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,878 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Neosho County and Klamath County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cowley County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.