HarrisDemocratic25.0%1,696TrumpRepublican73.1%4,961KennedyOther1.4%93
R+48.1- Lead
- 3,265
- Total
- 6,784
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- 58.3%
Akashiccounty
Neosho County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.3% of 11,733 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.1%1,796TrumpRepublican72.3%4,970JorgensenLibertarian1.6%111
R+46.2- Lead
- 3,174
- Total
- 6,877
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- 58.6%
ClintonDemocratic23.8%1,501TrumpRepublican70.2%4,431JohnsonLibertarian3.8%240
R+46.4- Lead
- 2,930
- Total
- 6,314
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 53.6%
ObamaDemocratic31.6%2,050RomneyRepublican65.9%4,272JohnsonLibertarian1.6%102
R+34.3- Lead
- 2,222
- Total
- 6,480
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.6%2,563McCainRepublican62.2%4,473OtherAll other candidates2.2%156
R+26.6- Lead
- 1,910
- Total
- 7,192
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.5%2,424BushRepublican65.1%4,705OtherAll other candidates1.4%102
R+31.5- Lead
- 2,281
- Total
- 7,231
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.6%2,588BushRepublican58.3%4,014NaderGreen2.8%194
R+20.7- Lead
- 1,426
- Total
- 6,886
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.6%2,527DoleRepublican49.4%3,409PerotReform13.2%907
R+12.8- Lead
- 882
- Total
- 6,897
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,6562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,6182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Allen County, KS · twin score 84.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.3%6,835 participants ÷ 11,733 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.3%–47.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,481 | 12,100 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,517 | 11,953 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,921 | 11,819 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,255 | 11,778 | 44.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,835 | 11,733 | 58.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
63 precincts · 6,781 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS133000070KS133000070 | 253 | 465 | 18 | 736 | 34.4% | 63.2% | R+28.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS133700090KS133700090 | 133 | 376 | 8 | 517 | 25.7% | 72.7% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -KS133000180KS133000180 | 74 | 425 | 5 | 504 | 14.7% | 84.3% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -KS133000100KS133000100 | 154 | 285 | 7 | 446 | 34.5% | 63.9% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -KS133000050KS133000050 | 109 | 264 | 7 | 380 | 28.7% | 69.5% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -KS133120020KS133120020 | 47 | 290 | 8 | 345 | 13.6% | 84.1% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -KS133000240KS133000240 | 76 | 247 | 5 | 328 | 23.2% | 75.3% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -KS133000080KS133000080 | 102 | 216 | 3 | 321 | 31.8% | 67.3% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -KS133000030KS133000030 | 74 | 230 | 7 | 311 | 23.8% | 74.0% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -KS133000140KS133000140 | 64 | 238 | 6 | 308 | 20.8% | 77.3% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -KS133000010KS133000010 | 57 | 243 | 7 | 307 | 18.6% | 79.2% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -KS133000060KS133000060 | 87 | 210 | 8 | 305 | 28.5% | 68.9% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -KS133000190KS133000190 | 59 | 205 | 3 | 267 | 22.1% | 76.8% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -KS13370002AKS13370002A | 52 | 183 | 1 | 236 | 22.0% | 77.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -KS133000150KS133000150 | 46 | 172 | 5 | 223 | 20.6% | 77.1% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -KS133000160KS133000160 | 62 | 143 | 3 | 208 | 29.8% | 68.8% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -KS133000230KS133000230 | 32 | 166 | 3 | 201 | 15.9% | 82.6% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -KS133000200KS133000200 | 23 | 154 | 2 | 179 | 12.8% | 86.0% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -KS133000210KS133000210 | 48 | 111 | 8 | 167 | 28.7% | 66.5% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -KS133000090KS133000090 | 49 | 77 | 5 | 131 | 37.4% | 58.8% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -KS133000170KS133000170 | 23 | 100 | 3 | 126 | 18.3% | 79.4% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -KS13300002AKS13300002A | 39 | 70 | 2 | 111 | 35.1% | 63.1% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -KS133000040KS133000040 | 26 | 64 | 2 | 92 | 28.3% | 69.6% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -KS13300012AKS13300012A | 4 | 14 | 0 | 18 | 22.2% | 77.8% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -KS13300022BKS13300022B | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -KS13300022DKS13300022D | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS13371002AKS13371002A | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Big Creek Township Voting District20_20133000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canville Township Voting District20_2013300002A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centerville Township Voting District20_20133000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 120_20133000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 2 Precinct 120_20133000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 2 Precinct 220_20133000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 3 Precinct 120_20133000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 3 Precinct 1 Exclave20_20133900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 3 Precinct 220_20133000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 3 Precinct 320_20133000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 3 Precinct 3 Exclave20_20133900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 4 Precinct 120_20133000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 4 Precinct 220_20133000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 4 Precinct 320_2013300012A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 4 Precinct 3 Exclave A20_2013300012B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chanute Ward 4 Precinct 3 Exclave B20_2013300012C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chetopa Township Voting District20_20133000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Erie Voting District20_20133000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20133000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ladore Township Voting District20_20133000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20133000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mission Township Voting District20_20133000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Tioga Township Voting District20_20133000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS133000110KS133000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS13300022AKS13300022A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS133120040KS133120040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS13370012AKS13370012A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS13370022AKS13370022A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shiloh Township Voting District20_20133000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tioga East Township Voting District20_20133000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tioga West Township Enclave B Voting District20_2013300022C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tioga West Township Enclave C Voting District20_2013300022D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tioga West Township Enclave Voting District20_2013300022B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tioga West Township Voting District20_2013300022A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Grove Township Voting District20_20133000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Erie Voting District20_20133000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −47.8% |
| 1896 | +8.8% |
| 1900 | −3.0% |
| 1904 | −31.8% |
| 1908 | −9.9% |
| 1912 | +7.9% |
| 1916 | +9.1% |
| 1920 | −23.1% |
| 1924 | −32.6% |
| 1928 | −45.4% |
| 1932 | +14.1% |
| 1936 | −1.5% |
| 1940 | −19.4% |
| 1944 | −25.2% |
| 1948 | −14.6% |
| 1952 | −37.5% |
| 1956 | −32.3% |
| 1960 | −25.9% |
| 1964 | +16.1% |
| 1968 | −16.4% |
| 1972 | −32.0% |
| 1976 | −2.4% |
| 1980 | −20.9% |
| 1984 | −29.5% |
| 1988 | −4.7% |
| 1992 | −1.6% |
| 1996 | −12.8% |
| 2000 | −20.7% |
| 2004 | −31.5% |
| 2008 | −26.6% |
| 2012 | −34.3% |
| 2016 | −46.4% |
| 2020 | −46.2% |
| 2024 | −48.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+36.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+48.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Democratic.
11,097 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−24 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,102 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,880 in average income, against $60,711 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.1 on average — 4.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Neosho County, KS itself (R+48.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allen County, KS48R+46.1
- Labette County, KS32R+38.2
- Wilson County, KS28R+62.4
- Crawford County, KS22R+25.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allen County, KS42
- Labette County, KS33
- Crawford County, KS32
- Wilson County, KS22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −54 |
| 2012 | −78 |
| 2013 | −81 |
| 2014 | −73 |
| 2015 | −82 |
| 2016 | −216 |
| 2017 | −64 |
| 2018 | −117 |
| 2019 | −67 |
| 2021 | −78 |
| 2022 | −149 |
| 2023 | −126 |
| 2024 | +107 |
| 2025 | −24 |
Neosho County's 2024 presidential margin of R+48.1 reflects a pattern common to the Ozark-edge plains: low population density, an aging workforce tied to agriculture and light manufacturing, and decades of consistent partisan consolidation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.1 points.
A population of 15,656, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,618 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Allen County and Moniteau County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Allen County
Kansas
84.2twin score
2004–2024 trajectory% White
Moniteau County
Missouri
83.6twin score
% White2008–2016 trajectorymedian age
Cedar County
Missouri
82.8twin score
% White2004–2008 trajectory% Black≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Neosho County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Neosho County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Neosho County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Neosho County, Kansas voted Republican by 48.1 points (R+48.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,784 votes cast, 1,696 went Democratic and 4,961 went Republican.
When did Neosho County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Neosho County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Neosho County, Kansas?
Neosho County, Kansas has a population of 15,656 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Neosho County, Kansas?
Median household income in Neosho County, Kansas is $56,618 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Neosho County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Neosho County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.