- Lead
- 5,441
- Total
- 13,505
- vs nation
- R+38.8
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 5,383
- Total
- 14,231
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Lead
- 4,719
- Total
- 12,621
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Lead
- 3,762
- Total
- 12,710
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Lead
- 3,480
- Total
- 13,787
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Lead
- 4,589
- Total
- 14,447
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Lead
- 2,545
- Total
- 14,210
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Lead
- 2,284
- Total
- 15,499
- vs nation
- R+23.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,4112024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,126 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,8782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Poplar Bluff, MO · twin score 86.6
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
56.1%
10,805 votes · D+12.6
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 53.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
80.8%
12,701 votes · R+62.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 70.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
10,805votes
56.1% of the vote · D+12.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 8,681 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
12,701votes
80.8% of the vote · R+62.9
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 11,454 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1908
+16.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.9 · U.S. R+9.6
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +14.6 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+50.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.1 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +45.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.7%3,580 | 73.3%9,834 | 13,414 |
| 2020 | R | 28.7%4,082 | 71.3%10,118 | 14,200 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.2 points more Republican than the rolls.
20,573 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+121 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,813 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −133 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −152 |
| 2014 | −414 |
| 2015 | −212 |
| 2016 | −108 |
| 2017 | −341 |
| 2018 | −143 |
| 2019 | −240 |
| 2021 | +205 |
| 2022 | −114 |
| 2023 | −205 |
| 2024 | −48 |
| 2025 | +121 |
Straddling the Oklahoma border in south-central Kansas, the Arkansas City–Winfield metro has long trended heavily Republican in federal races, with its economy historically tied to refining, wheat farming, and light manufacturing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.3 points.
A population of 34,411, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,878 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Poplar Bluff, MO and North Platte, NE.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/11680/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.