- Lead
- 7,335
- Total
- 23,226
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 59.0%
Saline County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.0% of 40,164 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,508
- Total
- 24,531
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Lead
- 7,511
- Total
- 22,064
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 55.9%
- Lead
- 6,800
- Total
- 21,496
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,979
- Total
- 22,788
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,587
- Total
- 23,041
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,925
- Total
- 21,527
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,747
- Total
- 22,541
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,6682024 5-year
- Population density
- 75 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 720 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,4222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Butler County, KS · twin score 76.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.0%23,685 participants ÷ 40,164 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.8%–45.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,694 | 40,605 | 55.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,631 | 40,535 | 46.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,770 | 40,548 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,286 | 40,711 | 44.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,685 | 40,164 | 59.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Saline County, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.5%
9,725 votes · D+19.5
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 57.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
75.1%
12,326 votes · R+50.7
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 71.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
9,725votes
59.5% of the vote · D+19.5
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 8,476 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
15,722votes
64.1% of the vote · R+30.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 15,244 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+21.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.5 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +16.5 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+46.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.2 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +40.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.8%6,380 | 72.2%16,595 | 22,975 |
| 2020 | R | 31.4%7,611 | 68.6%16,592 | 24,203 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.0 points.
37,719 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+9 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,442 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,574 in average income, against $72,977 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.9 on average — 3.4 points more Republican-leaning than Saline County, KS itself (R+31.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dickinson County, KS83R+55.0
- Sedgwick County, KS83R+13.8
- McPherson County, KS82R+41.1
- Ottawa County, KS67R+66.6
- Riley County, KS32D+1.8
- Geary County, KS28R+17.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sedgwick County, KS123
- Dickinson County, KS88
- Johnson County, KS70
- McPherson County, KS61
- Ottawa County, KS56
- Riley County, KS47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −268 |
| 2012 | −210 |
| 2013 | −356 |
| 2014 | −425 |
| 2015 | −333 |
| 2016 | −657 |
| 2017 | −576 |
| 2018 | −244 |
| 2019 | −346 |
| 2021 | −341 |
| 2022 | −332 |
| 2023 | −277 |
| 2024 | −86 |
| 2025 | +9 |
Saline County's largest city, Salina, gives it more urban weight than most surrounding counties, yet it still returned a 32-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the region's deep rural-conservative alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.6 points.
A population of 53,668, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,422 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Butler County and Fremont County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Saline County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.