- Lead
- 6,353
- Total
- 12,441
- vs nation
- R+49.6
- Turnout
- 54.0%
Montgomery County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.0% of 23,056 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,703
- Total
- 13,426
- vs nation
- R+54.4
- Turnout
- 55.7%
- Lead
- 6,042
- Total
- 12,004
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 48.9%
- Lead
- 5,129
- Total
- 12,417
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,971
- Total
- 13,907
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,260
- Total
- 14,116
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,726
- Total
- 13,745
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,159
- Total
- 14,365
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,9402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,6972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Russell County, KY · twin score 92.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.0%12,441 participants ÷ 23,056 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.8%–42.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,335 | 25,203 | 48.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,958 | 24,633 | 40.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,522 | 24,270 | 55.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,810 | 23,581 | 41.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,441 | 23,056 | 54.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
121 precincts · 12,436 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS125120060KS125120060 | 160 | 815 | 25 | 1,000 | 16.0% | 81.5% | R+65.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS125000220KS125000220 | 221 | 480 | 6 | 707 | 31.3% | 67.9% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -KS125120030KS125120030 | 189 | 473 | 9 | 671 | 28.2% | 70.5% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -KS125120100KS125120100 | 76 | 503 | 10 | 589 | 12.9% | 85.4% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -KS125000090KS125000090 | 115 | 440 | 6 | 561 | 20.5% | 78.4% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -KS125000230KS125000230 | 164 | 383 | 8 | 555 | 29.5% | 69.0% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -KS12500044AKS12500044A | 128 | 394 | 8 | 530 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -KS125000210KS125000210 | 162 | 327 | 5 | 494 | 32.8% | 66.2% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -KS125000060KS125000060 | 35 | 427 | 3 | 465 | 7.5% | 91.8% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -KS125000360KS125000360 | 138 | 280 | 8 | 426 | 32.4% | 65.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -KS125120040KS125120040 | 107 | 295 | 4 | 406 | 26.4% | 72.7% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -KS125000150KS125000150 | 135 | 257 | 6 | 398 | 33.9% | 64.6% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -KS125000050KS125000050 | 52 | 336 | 5 | 393 | 13.2% | 85.5% | R+72.3 |
| Precinct -KS125000330KS125000330 | 131 | 231 | 10 | 372 | 35.2% | 62.1% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -KS125000080KS125000080 | 67 | 284 | 6 | 357 | 18.8% | 79.6% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -KS125000100KS125000100 | 64 | 273 | 14 | 351 | 18.2% | 77.8% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -KS125000310KS125000310 | 107 | 184 | 14 | 305 | 35.1% | 60.3% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -KS125220010KS125220010 | 24 | 263 | 4 | 291 | 8.2% | 90.4% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -KS125000040KS125000040 | 23 | 222 | 4 | 249 | 9.2% | 89.2% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -KS125000340KS125000340 | 91 | 137 | 5 | 233 | 39.1% | 58.8% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -KS12500001AKS12500001A | 24 | 198 | 5 | 227 | 10.6% | 87.2% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -KS125000030KS125000030 | 38 | 182 | 5 | 225 | 16.9% | 80.9% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -KS125000350KS125000350 | 53 | 163 | 4 | 220 | 24.1% | 74.1% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -KS125000200KS125000200 | 49 | 160 | 3 | 212 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -KS125000470KS125000470 | 24 | 181 | 1 | 206 | 11.7% | 87.9% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -KS125000020KS125000020 | 33 | 148 | 6 | 187 | 17.6% | 79.1% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -KS125000130KS125000130 | 56 | 121 | 5 | 182 | 30.8% | 66.5% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -KS125000430KS125000430 | 35 | 142 | 0 | 177 | 19.8% | 80.2% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -KS125220070KS125220070 | 19 | 148 | 6 | 173 | 11.0% | 85.5% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -KS125000180KS125000180 | 57 | 104 | 5 | 166 | 34.3% | 62.7% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -KS125000140KS125000140 | 49 | 106 | 4 | 159 | 30.8% | 66.7% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -KS125000170KS125000170 | 48 | 104 | 4 | 156 | 30.8% | 66.7% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -KS125220020KS125220020 | 40 | 105 | 1 | 146 | 27.4% | 71.9% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -KS12512004AKS12512004A | 53 | 91 | 0 | 144 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -KS125000120KS125000120 | 54 | 68 | 0 | 122 | 44.3% | 55.7% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -KS125220050KS125220050 | 18 | 68 | 4 | 90 | 20.0% | 75.6% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -KS125000160KS125000160 | 21 | 62 | 0 | 83 | 25.3% | 74.7% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -KS125000190KS125000190 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 43 | 34.9% | 58.1% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -KS125000110KS125000110 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 41 | 68.3% | 29.3% | D+39.0 |
| Precinct -KS125120031KS125120031 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 41 | 19.5% | 80.5% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -KS125220040KS125220040 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 33 | 27.3% | 72.7% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -KS125220030KS125220030 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 31.6% | 68.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -KS12512005AKS12512005A | 4 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 23.5% | 76.5% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -KS125220000KS125220000 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS12518003AKS12518003A | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS12500001BKS12500001B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -KS125900040KS125900040 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -KS12500032BKS12500032B | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS125180010KS125180010 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Caney City Ward 120_2012500001A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 1 Exclave A20_2012500001B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 1 Exclave B20_2012500001C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 220_20125000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 320_20125000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 3 Exclave20_20125900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney City Ward 420_20125000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney Township Havana Voting District20_20125000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caney Township Tyro Voting District20_20125000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cherokee Township Voting District20_20125000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cherry Township Voting District20_20125000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cherryvale Ward 120_20125000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cherryvale Ward 220_20125000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Airport Voting District20_20125900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0120_20125000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0220_20125000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0320_20125000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0420_20125000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0520_20125000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0620_20125000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0720_20125000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0820_20125000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 0920_20125000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 1 Exclave20_20125900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 1020_20125000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 1120_20125000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 1220_20125000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coffeyville Ward 1 Precinct 1320_20125000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Drum Creek Township Voting District20_20125000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fawn Creek Township Dearing Voting District20_20125000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fawn Creek Township Tyro Voting District20_20125000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 1 Precinct 120_20125000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 1 Precinct 220_20125000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 2 Precinct 120_20125000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 2 Precinct 220_20125000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 3 Precinct 120_20125000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 3 Precinct 220_2012500032A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 3 Precinct 2 Exclave20_2012500032B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 4 Precinct 120_20125000330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 4 Precinct 220_20125000340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 5 Precinct 120_20125000350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 5 Precinct 220_20125000360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 6 Precinct 120_20125000370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence City Ward 6 Precinct 220_20125000380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Exclave Airport Voting District20_20125900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township 1 Enclave Voting District20_20125900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township 1 Voting District20_20125000390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township 2 Part A Voting District20_2012500040A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township 2 Part B Voting District20_2012500040B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township 2 Part C Voting District20_2012500040C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20125000410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Louisburg Township Voting District20_20125000420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker Township 1 Voting District20_20125000430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker Township 2 Enclave A Voting District20_2012500044B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker Township 2 Enclave B Voting District20_2012500044C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker Township 2 Enclave Voting District20_20125900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker Township 2 Voting District20_2012500044A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000070KS125000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000240KS125000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000250KS125000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000270KS125000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000280KS125000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000290KS125000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000300KS125000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS12500040CKS12500040C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000410KS125000410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000420KS125000420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125000450KS125000450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS125120090KS125120090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rutland Township Voting District20_20125000450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sycamore Township Voting District20_20125000460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Cherry Township Voting District20_20125000470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −51.8% |
| 1896 | +7.1% |
| 1900 | −3.3% |
| 1904 | −37.8% |
| 1908 | −11.5% |
| 1912 | +13.0% |
| 1916 | +11.0% |
| 1920 | −27.2% |
| 1924 | −40.7% |
| 1928 | −53.9% |
| 1932 | −0.1% |
| 1936 | −0.1% |
| 1940 | −15.8% |
| 1944 | −24.8% |
| 1948 | −10.4% |
| 1952 | −29.8% |
| 1956 | −29.1% |
| 1960 | −22.3% |
| 1964 | +2.4% |
| 1968 | −25.8% |
| 1972 | −50.5% |
| 1976 | −10.4% |
| 1980 | −33.0% |
| 1984 | −41.4% |
| 1988 | −24.9% |
| 1992 | −8.8% |
| 1996 | −15.0% |
| 2000 | −27.1% |
| 2004 | −37.3% |
| 2008 | −35.7% |
| 2012 | −41.3% |
| 2016 | −50.3% |
| 2020 | −49.9% |
| 2024 | −51.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.
21,319 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−97 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,518 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,062 in average income, against $62,013 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.6 on average — 6.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Montgomery County, KS itself (R+51.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wilson County, KS50R+62.4
- Washington County, OK50R+47.7
- Labette County, KS30R+38.2
- Sedgwick County, KS28R+13.8
- Nowata County, OK28R+67.0
- Tulsa County, OK21R+15.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, OK62
- Nowata County, OK49
- Sedgwick County, KS42
- Wilson County, KS38
- Labette County, KS35
- Tulsa County, OK24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −583 |
| 2012 | −423 |
| 2013 | −102 |
| 2014 | −447 |
| 2015 | −755 |
| 2016 | −620 |
| 2017 | −438 |
| 2018 | −289 |
| 2019 | −290 |
| 2021 | −75 |
| 2022 | −79 |
| 2023 | −86 |
| 2024 | −234 |
| 2025 | −97 |
Montgomery County's 2024 presidential margin of R+51 places it among the most lopsided counties in Kansas, a pattern consistent with the broader rural shift across the southeastern Osage Plains over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.1 points.
A population of 30,940, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,697 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Russell County and Blount County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.