- Lead
- 2,080
- Total
- 3,172
- vs nation
- R+64.1
- Turnout
- 72.7%
Mitchell County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.7% of 4,389 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,946
- Total
- 3,101
- vs nation
- R+67.2
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 1,831
- Total
- 2,942
- vs nation
- R+64.3
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 1,743
- Total
- 2,965
- vs nation
- R+62.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,739
- Total
- 3,203
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,916
- Total
- 3,349
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,599
- Total
- 3,266
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,602
- Total
- 3,544
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,7792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kingman County, KS · twin score 97.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.7%3,189 participants ÷ 4,389 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.2%–63.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,942 | 4,844 | 60.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,516 | 4,775 | 52.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,040 | 4,694 | 64.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,430 | 4,473 | 54.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,189 | 4,389 | 72.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 3,172 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS123000160KS123000160 | 112 | 479 | 6 | 597 | 18.8% | 80.2% | R+61.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS123000110KS123000110 | 94 | 405 | 8 | 507 | 18.5% | 79.9% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -KS123000210KS123000210 | 32 | 295 | 6 | 333 | 9.6% | 88.6% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -KS12300006AKS12300006A | 38 | 261 | 4 | 303 | 12.5% | 86.1% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -KS123000220KS123000220 | 29 | 171 | 0 | 200 | 14.5% | 85.5% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -KS123000290KS123000290 | 24 | 122 | 0 | 146 | 16.4% | 83.6% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -KS123000010KS123000010 | 35 | 110 | 0 | 145 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -KS123000130KS123000130 | 15 | 104 | 0 | 119 | 12.6% | 87.4% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -KS123000270KS123000270 | 35 | 74 | 2 | 111 | 31.5% | 66.7% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -KS123000200KS123000200 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 108 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -KS123000190KS123000190 | 24 | 83 | 0 | 107 | 22.4% | 77.6% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -KS123000070KS123000070 | 12 | 88 | 2 | 102 | 11.8% | 86.3% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -KS123000300KS123000300 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 68 | 17.6% | 82.4% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -KS123000111KS123000111 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 66 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+90.9 |
| Precinct -KS123000080KS123000080 | 3 | 50 | 2 | 55 | 5.5% | 90.9% | R+85.5 |
| Precinct -KS123000170KS123000170 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 40 | 15.0% | 80.0% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -KS123000120KS123000120 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 36 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -KS123000230KS123000230 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 36 | 0.0% | 94.4% | R+94.4 |
| Precinct -KS123000090KS123000090 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 35 | 8.6% | 91.4% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -KS123000240KS123000240 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 32 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -KS123000140KS123000140 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 26 | 46.2% | 53.8% | R+7.7 |
| Asherville Township Voting District20_20123000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit City Ward 120_20123000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit City Ward 220_20123000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit City Ward 320_20123000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit City Ward 420_20123000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit Township Enclave A Voting District20_2012300006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit Township Enclave B Voting District20_2012300006C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit Township Enclave C Voting District20_2012300006D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beloit Township Voting District20_2012300006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bloomfield Township Voting District20_20123000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blue Hill Township Voting District20_20123000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carr Creek Township Voting District20_20123000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cawker City Voting District20_20123000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cawker Township Voting District20_20123000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Township Voting District20_20123000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Custer Township Voting District20_20123000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eureka Township Voting District20_20123000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glen Elder City Voting District20_20123000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glen Elder Township Voting District20_20123000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayes Township Voting District20_20123000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hunter City Voting District20_20123000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township Voting District20_20123000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lulu Township Voting District20_20123000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pittsburg Township Voting District20_20123000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plum Creek Township Voting District20_20123000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS123000020KS123000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Round Springs Township Voting District20_20123000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salt Creek Township Voting District20_20123000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scottsville City Voting District20_20123000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Simpson City Voting District20_20123000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Solomon Rapids Township Voting District20_20123000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tipton City Voting District20_20123000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Turkey Creek Township Voting District20_20123000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Creek Township Voting District20_20123000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −43.5% |
| 1896 | +13.8% |
| 1900 | −1.7% |
| 1904 | −36.7% |
| 1908 | −5.6% |
| 1912 | +21.1% |
| 1916 | +13.5% |
| 1920 | −39.2% |
| 1924 | −32.0% |
| 1928 | −26.9% |
| 1932 | +11.5% |
| 1936 | +8.3% |
| 1940 | −28.0% |
| 1944 | −34.2% |
| 1948 | −25.9% |
| 1952 | −62.3% |
| 1956 | −44.8% |
| 1960 | −24.2% |
| 1964 | −1.4% |
| 1968 | −33.3% |
| 1972 | −45.5% |
| 1976 | −10.2% |
| 1980 | −49.2% |
| 1984 | −53.0% |
| 1988 | −32.1% |
| 1992 | −18.2% |
| 1996 | −45.2% |
| 2000 | −49.0% |
| 2004 | −57.2% |
| 2008 | −54.3% |
| 2012 | −58.8% |
| 2016 | −62.2% |
| 2020 | −62.8% |
| 2024 | −65.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.1 points more Democratic.
4,200 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−128 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −373 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,353 in average income, against $74,870 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | +36 |
| 2013 | +13 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | +16 |
| 2016 | −84 |
| 2017 | −44 |
| 2018 | −31 |
| 2019 | −103 |
| 2021 | +10 |
| 2022 | +20 |
| 2023 | +15 |
| 2024 | +12 |
| 2025 | −128 |
Mitchell County's 2024 presidential margin of R+65.6 reflects a pattern common to sparsely populated High Plains counties, where rural agricultural communities have shifted sharply toward Republican candidates over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 65.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.6 points.
A population of 5,779, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,246 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingman County and Sheridan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mitchell County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.