HarrisDemocratic12.5%176TrumpRepublican85.1%1,194KennedyOther2.1%30
R+72.6- Lead
- 1,018
- Total
- 1,403
- vs nation
- R+71.1
- Turnout
- 73.9%
Akashiccounty
Rawlins County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.9% of 1,923 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic14.2%214TrumpRepublican83.8%1,261JorgensenLibertarian1.9%29
R+69.6- Lead
- 1,047
- Total
- 1,504
- vs nation
- R+74.1
- Turnout
- 79.1%
ClintonDemocratic11.1%163TrumpRepublican82.9%1,220JohnsonLibertarian3.7%55
R+71.8- Lead
- 1,057
- Total
- 1,472
- vs nation
- R+73.9
- Turnout
- 75.0%
ObamaDemocratic13.2%190RomneyRepublican84.7%1,223JohnsonLibertarian1.9%27
R+71.5- Lead
- 1,033
- Total
- 1,444
- vs nation
- R+75.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic17.6%273McCainRepublican80.5%1,247OtherAll other candidates1.9%29
R+62.9- Lead
- 974
- Total
- 1,549
- vs nation
- R+70.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic16.8%289BushRepublican82.2%1,414OtherAll other candidates1.0%17
R+65.4- Lead
- 1,125
- Total
- 1,720
- vs nation
- R+62.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic17.6%306BushRepublican77.5%1,349NaderGreen2.8%49
R+59.9- Lead
- 1,043
- Total
- 1,740
- vs nation
- R+60.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic17.7%335DoleRepublican73.8%1,393PerotReform7.7%146
R+56.0- Lead
- 1,058
- Total
- 1,888
- vs nation
- R+64.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,5162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,7422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sheridan County, NE · twin score 96.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.9%1,421 participants ÷ 1,923 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.4%–59.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,502 | 2,003 | 75.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,234 | 1,930 | 63.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,518 | 1,919 | 79.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,191 | 1,932 | 61.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,421 | 1,923 | 73.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 1,403 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS153000050KS153000050 | 61 | 295 | 7 | 363 | 16.8% | 81.3% | R+64.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS153000020KS153000020 | 17 | 120 | 6 | 143 | 11.9% | 83.9% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -KS153000150KS153000150 | 4 | 129 | 0 | 133 | 3.0% | 97.0% | R+94.0 |
| Precinct -KS153000170KS153000170 | 12 | 87 | 2 | 101 | 11.9% | 86.1% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -KS15300009AKS15300009A | 4 | 93 | 2 | 99 | 4.0% | 93.9% | R+89.9 |
| Precinct -KS153000100KS153000100 | 11 | 66 | 1 | 78 | 14.1% | 84.6% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -KS153000040KS153000040 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 76 | 19.7% | 76.3% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -KS153000130KS153000130 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 73 | 11.0% | 87.7% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -KS153000030KS153000030 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 63 | 14.3% | 79.4% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -KS153000080KS153000080 | 10 | 51 | 2 | 63 | 15.9% | 81.0% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -KS153000070KS153000070 | 5 | 47 | 2 | 54 | 9.3% | 87.0% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -KS153000120KS153000120 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 52 | 13.5% | 82.7% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -KS153000140KS153000140 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 26 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -KS153000160KS153000160 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 25 | 20.0% | 76.0% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -KS153000010KS153000010 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 24 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -KS153000110KS153000110 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -KS153000060KS153000060 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 15.4% | 84.6% | R+69.2 |
| Achilles Township Voting District20_20153000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwood City Precinct 1 East20_20153000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwood City Precinct 1 North20_20153000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwood City Precinct 1 West20_20153000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwood City Precinct 220_20153000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwood Township Voting District20_20153000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Driftwood Township Voting District20_20153000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Center Voting District20_20153000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herl Township South Voting District20_2015300009B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herl Township Voting District20_2015300009A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herndon City Voting District20_20153000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Township Voting District20_20153000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ludell Township Voting District20_20153000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McDonald City Voting District20_20153000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mirage Township Voting District20_20153000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rocewood Township Voting District20_20153000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Township Voting District20_20153000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Center Voting District20_20153000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −43.8% |
| 1896 | +16.2% |
| 1900 | +7.2% |
| 1904 | −28.1% |
| 1908 | +0.9% |
| 1912 | +26.3% |
| 1916 | +20.4% |
| 1920 | −38.9% |
| 1924 | −17.8% |
| 1928 | −17.5% |
| 1932 | +34.5% |
| 1936 | +19.5% |
| 1940 | −16.9% |
| 1944 | −24.2% |
| 1948 | −11.7% |
| 1952 | −51.9% |
| 1956 | −40.1% |
| 1960 | −24.1% |
| 1964 | −14.7% |
| 1968 | −40.6% |
| 1972 | −45.1% |
| 1976 | −11.5% |
| 1980 | −52.8% |
| 1984 | −58.3% |
| 1988 | −35.6% |
| 1992 | −32.6% |
| 1996 | −56.0% |
| 2000 | −59.9% |
| 2004 | −65.4% |
| 2008 | −62.9% |
| 2012 | −71.5% |
| 2016 | −71.8% |
| 2020 | −69.6% |
| 2024 | −72.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+66.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+72.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.3 points more Democratic.
1,988 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+21 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −10 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $36,192 in average income, against $102,392 for residents who stayed — 65% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +22 |
| 2012 | +4 |
| 2013 | +64 |
| 2014 | −5 |
| 2015 | −35 |
| 2016 | 0 |
| 2017 | −14 |
| 2018 | +12 |
| 2019 | +10 |
| 2021 | +2 |
| 2022 | −21 |
| 2023 | −42 |
| 2024 | −28 |
| 2025 | +21 |
Rawlins County's sparse, agriculture-dependent population of roughly 3,000 produced an R+72.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided counties in a state already dominated by wide rural Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.6 points.
A population of 2,516, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,742 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sheridan County and Wallace County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sheridan County
Nebraska
96.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Wallace County
Kansas
96.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Chase County
Nebraska
94.6twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rawlins County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Rawlins County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rawlins County, Kansas voted Republican by 72.6 points (R+72.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,403 votes cast, 176 went Democratic and 1,194 went Republican.
When did Rawlins County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rawlins County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Rawlins County, Kansas?
Rawlins County, Kansas has a population of 2,516 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rawlins County, Kansas?
Median household income in Rawlins County, Kansas is $67,742 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Rawlins County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rawlins County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.