- Lead
- 435
- Total
- 593
- vs nation
- R+71.9
- Turnout
- 70.3%
Greeley County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 851 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 641
- vs nation
- R+77.9
- Turnout
- 81.5%
- Lead
- 451
- Total
- 650
- vs nation
- R+71.5
- Turnout
- 73.0%
- Lead
- 430
- Total
- 670
- vs nation
- R+68.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 440
- Total
- 745
- vs nation
- R+66.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 446
- Total
- 735
- vs nation
- R+58.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 485
- Total
- 803
- vs nation
- R+60.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 788
- vs nation
- R+60.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+73.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,3042024 5-year
- Population density
- 1.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 778 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.0 in 1976MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wichita County, KS · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.3%598 participants ÷ 851 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +8.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.7%–49.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 671 | 919 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 502 | 848 | 59.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 646 | 793 | 81.5% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 466 | 865 | 53.9% | C/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 598 | 851 | 70.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Greeley County, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.2%
469 votes · D+9.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 53.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
86.0%
510 votes · R+73.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 85.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
479votes
53.5% of the vote · D+10.0
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 469 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
725votes
79.1% of the vote · R+59.3
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 699 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
+8.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · −8.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+77.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +71.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 10.0%57 | 90.0%512 | 569 |
| 2020 | R | 13.1%81 | 86.9%538 | 619 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.3 points more Democratic than the rolls.
860 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−19 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −144 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8 |
| 2012 | +16 |
| 2013 | +6 |
| 2014 | +10 |
| 2015 | +6 |
| 2016 | −22 |
| 2017 | −43 |
| 2018 | −10 |
| 2019 | −13 |
| 2021 | +25 |
| 2022 | −42 |
| 2023 | −42 |
| 2024 | −8 |
| 2025 | −19 |
Greeley County sits in the shortgrass prairie of far-western Kansas, where a sparse ranching economy and fewer than 1,600 residents produce some of the most lopsided presidential margins in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.0 points in 1976 and a Republican high of 77.6 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 73.4 points.
A population of 1,304, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,565 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wichita County and Oldham County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Greeley County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.