HarrisDemocratic16.6%250TrumpRepublican81.8%1,233KennedyOther1.4%21
R+65.2- Lead
- 983
- Total
- 1,507
- vs nation
- R+63.8
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Akashiccounty
Lincoln County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 2,298 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic16.8%266TrumpRepublican81.3%1,283JorgensenLibertarian1.9%30
R+64.4- Lead
- 1,017
- Total
- 1,579
- vs nation
- R+68.9
- Turnout
- 69.3%
ClintonDemocratic14.7%215TrumpRepublican80.5%1,179JohnsonLibertarian2.8%41
R+65.8- Lead
- 964
- Total
- 1,464
- vs nation
- R+67.9
- Turnout
- 64.1%
ObamaDemocratic19.5%289RomneyRepublican78.6%1,165JohnsonLibertarian1.2%18
R+59.1- Lead
- 876
- Total
- 1,483
- vs nation
- R+62.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic21.9%347McCainRepublican75.9%1,204OtherAll other candidates2.2%35
R+54.0- Lead
- 857
- Total
- 1,586
- vs nation
- R+61.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic21.7%391BushRepublican76.0%1,368OtherAll other candidates2.3%41
R+54.3- Lead
- 977
- Total
- 1,800
- vs nation
- R+51.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic24.8%469BushRepublican68.5%1,295NaderGreen5.2%98
R+43.7- Lead
- 826
- Total
- 1,890
- vs nation
- R+44.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic24.8%528DoleRepublican64.5%1,372PerotReform10.0%212
R+39.7- Lead
- 844
- Total
- 2,128
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,9232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,5002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.5 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gove County, KS · twin score 92.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%1,513 participants ÷ 2,298 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.6%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,524 | 2,377 | 64.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,275 | 2,379 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,591 | 2,296 | 69.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,248 | 2,267 | 55.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,513 | 2,298 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
46 precincts · 1,507 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS10500013AKS10500013A | 46 | 221 | 7 | 274 | 16.8% | 80.7% | R+63.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS105000120KS105000120 | 63 | 190 | 4 | 257 | 24.5% | 73.9% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -KS105000180KS105000180 | 24 | 165 | 2 | 191 | 12.6% | 86.4% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -KS105000040KS105000040 | 17 | 93 | 1 | 111 | 15.3% | 83.8% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -KS10500005AKS10500005A | 13 | 62 | 1 | 76 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -KS105000150KS105000150 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 61 | 11.5% | 86.9% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -KS105000220KS105000220 | 7 | 45 | 4 | 56 | 12.5% | 80.4% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -KS105000060KS105000060 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 50 | 18.0% | 80.0% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -KS105000200KS105000200 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 49 | 18.4% | 79.6% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -KS105000110KS105000110 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 42 | 19.0% | 81.0% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -KS105000100KS105000100 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 39 | 20.5% | 79.5% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -KS105000080KS105000080 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 38 | 13.2% | 86.8% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -KS105000170KS105000170 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 36 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Precinct -KS105000140KS105000140 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 35 | 17.1% | 80.0% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -KS10500002AKS10500002A | 3 | 29 | 0 | 32 | 9.4% | 90.6% | R+81.3 |
| Precinct -KS105000070KS105000070 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 26 | 26.9% | 69.2% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -KS105000160KS105000160 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 4.2% | 95.8% | R+91.7 |
| Precinct -KS105000090KS105000090 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS105000190KS105000190 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 26.1% | 73.9% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -KS105000030KS105000030 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 22 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+90.9 |
| Precinct -KS105000010KS105000010 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -KS105000210KS105000210 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 23.8% | 76.2% | R+52.4 |
| Battle Creek Township Voting District20_20105000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Township Voting District20_2010500002A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedron Township Voting District20_20105000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colorado Township Voting District20_20105000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elkhorn Township Part A Voting District20_2010500005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Franklin Township Voting District20_20105000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Golden Belt Township Voting District20_20105000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20105000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hanover Township Voting District20_20105000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Highland Township Voting District20_20105000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Indiana Township Voting District20_20105000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Precinct 120_20105000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Precinct 220_2010500013A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Precinct 2 Exclave20_2010500013B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township Voting District20_20105000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison Township Voting District20_20105000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion Township Enclave 1 Voting District20_20105900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion Township Voting District20_20105000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orange Township Voting District20_20105000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Township Voting District20_20105000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salt Creek Township Voting District20_20105000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scott Township Voting District20_20105000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Valley Township Voting District20_20105000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vesper Township Voting District20_20105000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −39.2% |
| 1896 | +27.3% |
| 1900 | +5.9% |
| 1904 | −40.4% |
| 1908 | −4.2% |
| 1912 | +29.2% |
| 1916 | +9.9% |
| 1920 | −41.2% |
| 1924 | −43.4% |
| 1928 | −46.9% |
| 1932 | +15.9% |
| 1936 | +4.9% |
| 1940 | −36.5% |
| 1944 | −44.8% |
| 1948 | −32.8% |
| 1952 | −69.5% |
| 1956 | −52.8% |
| 1960 | −42.6% |
| 1964 | −2.1% |
| 1968 | −45.1% |
| 1972 | −53.8% |
| 1976 | −10.7% |
| 1980 | −49.6% |
| 1984 | −51.1% |
| 1988 | −21.0% |
| 1992 | −12.9% |
| 1996 | −39.7% |
| 2000 | −43.7% |
| 2004 | −54.3% |
| 2008 | −54.0% |
| 2012 | −59.1% |
| 2016 | −65.8% |
| 2020 | −64.4% |
| 2024 | −65.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+61.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+65.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.5 points more Democratic.
2,113 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−13 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −213 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,186 in average income, against $63,461 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3 |
| 2012 | −53 |
| 2013 | −15 |
| 2014 | +28 |
| 2015 | −47 |
| 2016 | −54 |
| 2017 | −29 |
| 2018 | −28 |
| 2019 | −22 |
| 2021 | −20 |
| 2022 | +14 |
| 2023 | +23 |
| 2024 | +6 |
| 2025 | −13 |
Lincoln County's 2024 presidential margin of R+65.2 places it among the most one-sided counties in the state, reflecting the deeply rural, agriculturally rooted character of north-central Kansas, where population has steadily declined for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 69.5 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.2 points.
A population of 2,923, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,500 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gove County and Norton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Gove County
Kansas
92.8twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Norton County
Kansas
91.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Keya Paha County
Nebraska
91.2twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Kansas voted Republican by 65.2 points (R+65.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,507 votes cast, 250 went Democratic and 1,233 went Republican.
When did Lincoln County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Kansas?
Lincoln County, Kansas has a population of 2,923 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Kansas?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Kansas is $57,500 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.