HarrisDemocratic21.1%867TrumpRepublican76.6%3,150KennedyOther1.5%62
R+55.5- Lead
- 2,283
- Total
- 4,113
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 67.5%
Akashiccounty
Clay County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.5% of 6,143 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.4%894TrumpRepublican76.0%3,177JorgensenLibertarian2.7%111
R+54.6- Lead
- 2,283
- Total
- 4,182
- vs nation
- R+59.0
- Turnout
- 68.9%
ClintonDemocratic17.5%677TrumpRepublican74.9%2,891JohnsonLibertarian3.9%150
R+57.4- Lead
- 2,214
- Total
- 3,858
- vs nation
- R+59.5
- Turnout
- 64.0%
ObamaDemocratic22.6%834RomneyRepublican75.6%2,788JohnsonLibertarian1.2%45
R+53.0- Lead
- 1,954
- Total
- 3,686
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.9%1,009McCainRepublican74.0%2,998OtherAll other candidates1.2%47
R+49.1- Lead
- 1,989
- Total
- 4,054
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic19.8%793BushRepublican79.2%3,174OtherAll other candidates1.1%43
R+59.4- Lead
- 2,381
- Total
- 4,010
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic23.3%951BushRepublican73.3%2,998NaderGreen2.3%93
R+50.1- Lead
- 2,047
- Total
- 4,088
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic23.1%963DoleRepublican66.9%2,793PerotReform9.3%389
R+43.8- Lead
- 1,830
- Total
- 4,177
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,0482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,1762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.9 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Republic County, KS · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.5%4,145 participants ÷ 6,143 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.8%–54.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,981 | 6,222 | 64.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,216 | 6,146 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,221 | 6,127 | 68.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,404 | 6,161 | 55.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,145 | 6,143 | 67.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
47 precincts · 4,113 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS027000070KS027000070 | 159 | 409 | 9 | 577 | 27.6% | 70.9% | R+43.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS02700006AKS02700006A | 150 | 392 | 24 | 566 | 26.5% | 69.3% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -KS027000200KS027000200 | 100 | 364 | 11 | 475 | 21.1% | 76.6% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -KS027000080KS027000080 | 96 | 353 | 7 | 456 | 21.1% | 77.4% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -KS027000090KS027000090 | 96 | 251 | 6 | 353 | 27.2% | 71.1% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -KS02700005AKS02700005A | 34 | 175 | 9 | 218 | 15.6% | 80.3% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -KS027000020KS027000020 | 19 | 130 | 1 | 150 | 12.7% | 86.7% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -KS027000170KS027000170 | 29 | 116 | 5 | 150 | 19.3% | 77.3% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -KS027000180KS027000180 | 17 | 124 | 3 | 144 | 11.8% | 86.1% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -KS027000160KS027000160 | 14 | 112 | 1 | 127 | 11.0% | 88.2% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -KS027000210KS027000210 | 30 | 91 | 4 | 125 | 24.0% | 72.8% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -KS027000150KS027000150 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 108 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -KS027000040KS027000040 | 20 | 79 | 2 | 101 | 19.8% | 78.2% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -KS027000220KS027000220 | 10 | 76 | 2 | 88 | 11.4% | 86.4% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -KS027000030KS027000030 | 9 | 71 | 2 | 82 | 11.0% | 86.6% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -KS027000130KS027000130 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 72 | 16.7% | 81.9% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -KS027000010KS027000010 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 70 | 10.0% | 87.1% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -KS027000110KS027000110 | 12 | 54 | 3 | 69 | 17.4% | 78.3% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -KS027000120KS027000120 | 9 | 49 | 0 | 58 | 15.5% | 84.5% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -KS027000100KS027000100 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 53 | 13.2% | 83.0% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -KS027000190KS027000190 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 40 | 27.5% | 72.5% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -KS027000140KS027000140 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 31 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.4 |
| Athelstane Township Voting District20_20027000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blaine Township Voting District20_20027000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bloom Township Voting District20_20027000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chapman Township Voting District20_20027000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Township Enclave Voting District20_2002700005B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Township Voting District20_2002700005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 120_2002700006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 1 Exclave20_2002700006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 220_20027000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 320_20027000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 420_20027000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Center Ward 4 Exclave20_20027900230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Exeter Township Voting District20_20027000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Five Creeks Township Voting District20_20027000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garfield Township Voting District20_20027000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gill Township Voting District20_20027000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goshen Township Voting District20_20027000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20027000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayes Township Voting District20_20027000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Highland Township Voting District20_20027000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mulberry Township Voting District20_20027000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oakland Township Voting District20_20027000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Republican Township Voting District20_20027000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Township Voting District20_20027000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Township Voting District20_20027000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −43.8% |
| 1896 | +7.5% |
| 1900 | −4.5% |
| 1904 | −56.4% |
| 1908 | −10.3% |
| 1912 | +14.3% |
| 1916 | −1.1% |
| 1920 | −48.8% |
| 1924 | −39.3% |
| 1928 | −48.7% |
| 1932 | +2.6% |
| 1936 | −1.2% |
| 1940 | −38.5% |
| 1944 | −48.9% |
| 1948 | −34.3% |
| 1952 | −70.9% |
| 1956 | −61.2% |
| 1960 | −51.5% |
| 1964 | −25.1% |
| 1968 | −52.0% |
| 1972 | −58.9% |
| 1976 | −30.5% |
| 1980 | −53.9% |
| 1984 | −58.4% |
| 1988 | −45.3% |
| 1992 | −27.3% |
| 1996 | −43.8% |
| 2000 | −50.1% |
| 2004 | −59.4% |
| 2008 | −49.1% |
| 2012 | −53.0% |
| 2016 | −57.4% |
| 2020 | −54.6% |
| 2024 | −55.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+58.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+55.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.1 points more Republican.
6,042 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−6 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −531 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,232 in average income, against $74,495 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.5 on average — 50 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, KS itself (R+55.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Riley County, KS33D+1.8
- Geary County, KS20R+17.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Riley County, KS45
- Geary County, KS23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4 |
| 2012 | −24 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | −82 |
| 2015 | −11 |
| 2016 | −185 |
| 2017 | −91 |
| 2018 | −17 |
| 2019 | +13 |
| 2021 | 0 |
| 2022 | −8 |
| 2023 | −5 |
| 2024 | +22 |
| 2025 | −6 |
Clay County's R+55.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader pattern of deep rural consolidation across north-central Kansas, where agricultural communities have shifted sharply toward one-party dominance over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 70.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.5 points.
A population of 8,048, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,176 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Republic County and Johnson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Republic County
Kansas
93.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Johnson County
Wyoming
93.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Phelps County
Nebraska
92.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clay County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clay County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clay County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clay County, Kansas voted Republican by 55.5 points (R+55.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,113 votes cast, 867 went Democratic and 3,150 went Republican.
When did Clay County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Clay County, Kansas?
Clay County, Kansas has a population of 8,048 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clay County, Kansas?
Median household income in Clay County, Kansas is $66,176 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Clay County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.