- Lead
- 3,089
- Total
- 4,898
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- 71.9%
Johnson County, WY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.9% of 6,891 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,984
- Total
- 4,914
- vs nation
- R+65.2
- Turnout
- 73.2%
- Lead
- 2,839
- Total
- 4,417
- vs nation
- R+66.4
- Turnout
- 67.8%
- Lead
- 2,614
- Total
- 4,259
- vs nation
- R+65.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,426
- Total
- 4,354
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,555
- Total
- 3,991
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,331
- Total
- 3,550
- vs nation
- R+66.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,256
- Total
- 3,309
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,6862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,8712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Crook County, WY · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.9%4,955 participants ÷ 6,891 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.7%–60.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,468 | 6,589 | 67.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,929 | 6,583 | 59.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,952 | 6,764 | 73.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,980 | 6,750 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,955 | 6,891 | 71.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 4,898 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -4-8 Bighorns4-8 Bighorns | 154 | 701 | 23 | 878 | 17.5% | 79.8% | R+62.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4-7 Oliver4-7 Oliver | 108 | 723 | 15 | 846 | 12.8% | 85.5% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -3-1 Northwest Buffalo3-1 Northwest Buffalo | 103 | 329 | 9 | 441 | 23.4% | 74.6% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -3-8 West Buffalo3-8 West Buffalo | 70 | 249 | 15 | 334 | 21.0% | 74.6% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -3-3 Northeast Buffalo3-3 Northeast Buffalo | 72 | 240 | 9 | 321 | 22.4% | 74.8% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -3-4 Southwest Central Buffalo3-4 Southwest Central Buffalo | 81 | 207 | 11 | 299 | 27.1% | 69.2% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -3-2 West Central Buffalo3-2 West Central Buffalo | 58 | 191 | 8 | 257 | 22.6% | 74.3% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -8-11 Middle Fork8-11 Middle Fork | 17 | 236 | 2 | 255 | 6.7% | 92.5% | R+85.9 |
| Precinct -3-7 Southwest Buffalo3-7 Southwest Buffalo | 50 | 196 | 5 | 251 | 19.9% | 78.1% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -2-14 Piney Shell2-14 Piney Shell | 23 | 198 | 4 | 225 | 10.2% | 88.0% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -3-6 Southeast Buffalo3-6 Southeast Buffalo | 39 | 177 | 4 | 220 | 17.7% | 80.5% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -3-5 East Buffalo3-5 East Buffalo | 42 | 141 | 4 | 187 | 22.5% | 75.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -6-10 City of Kaycee6-10 City of Kaycee | 14 | 125 | 2 | 141 | 9.9% | 88.7% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -5-9 Billy Creek5-9 Billy Creek | 9 | 90 | 3 | 102 | 8.8% | 88.2% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -9-12 Sussex/Lynch9-12 Sussex/Lynch | 5 | 89 | 1 | 95 | 5.3% | 93.7% | R+88.4 |
| Precinct -10-15 Tipperary10-15 Tipperary | 2 | 44 | 0 | 46 | 4.3% | 95.7% | R+91.3 |
| BILLY CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560190509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BILLY CREEK SCHOOL Voting District56_560190509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #1 Voting District56_560190301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #1 Voting District56_560190301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #2 Voting District56_560190302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #2 Voting District56_560190302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #3 Voting District56_560190303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #3 Voting District56_560190303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #4 Voting District56_560190304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #4 Voting District56_560190304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #5 Voting District56_560190305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #5 Voting District56_560190305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #6 Voting District56_560190306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #6 Voting District56_560190306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #7 Voting District56_560190307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #7 Voting District56_560190307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #8 Voting District56_560190308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO #8 Voting District56_560190308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO RURAL EAST Voting District56_560190407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO RURAL EAST Voting District56_560190407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO RURAL WEST Voting District56_560190408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO RURAL WEST Voting District56_560190408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KAYCEE Voting District56_560190610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KAYCEE Voting District56_560190610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCH Voting District56_560190913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCH Voting District56_560190913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDDLE FORK Voting District56_560190811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIDDLE FORK Voting District56_560190811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEY-SHELL Voting District56_560190214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEY-SHELL Voting District56_560190214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUSSEX Voting District56_560190912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUSSEX Voting District56_560190912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIPPERARY Voting District56_560191015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TIPPERARY Voting District56_560191015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −34.3% |
| 1896 | +24.3% |
| 1900 | −2.9% |
| 1904 | −22.3% |
| 1908 | −11.8% |
| 1912 | +0.1% |
| 1916 | −0.1% |
| 1920 | −39.1% |
| 1924 | −31.5% |
| 1928 | −39.4% |
| 1932 | +3.0% |
| 1936 | −13.6% |
| 1940 | −30.2% |
| 1944 | −29.3% |
| 1948 | −32.7% |
| 1952 | −56.9% |
| 1956 | −52.2% |
| 1960 | −38.7% |
| 1964 | −31.6% |
| 1968 | −56.9% |
| 1972 | −66.7% |
| 1976 | −43.4% |
| 1980 | −52.6% |
| 1984 | −64.1% |
| 1988 | −48.1% |
| 1992 | −30.5% |
| 1996 | −38.0% |
| 2000 | −65.7% |
| 2004 | −64.0% |
| 2008 | −55.7% |
| 2012 | −61.4% |
| 2016 | −64.3% |
| 2020 | −60.7% |
| 2024 | −63.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 15.7%714 | 84.3%3,835 | 4,549 |
| 2020 | R | 17.6%792 | 82.4%3,715 | 4,507 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 21 points more Republican.
5,040 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+107 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +440 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $71,248 in average income, against $92,164 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.4 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Johnson County, WY itself (R+63.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sheridan County, WY42R+49.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sheridan County, WY49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +40 |
| 2012 | −23 |
| 2013 | −9 |
| 2014 | −67 |
| 2015 | +46 |
| 2016 | −115 |
| 2017 | −18 |
| 2018 | +31 |
| 2019 | +21 |
| 2021 | +204 |
| 2022 | +123 |
| 2023 | +71 |
| 2024 | +29 |
| 2025 | +107 |
With roughly 7,000 residents spread across the Powder River basin and Big Horn foothills, Johnson County delivers lopsided Republican margins that rank among the widest in a state already dominated by that party's voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.3 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 66.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.1 points.
A population of 8,686, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,871 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crook County and Clay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Johnson County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.