HarrisDemocratic19.9%1,274TrumpRepublican77.5%4,952OliverLibertarian1.6%101
R+57.6- Lead
- 3,678
- Total
- 6,387
- vs nation
- R+56.1
- Turnout
- 59.3%
Akashiccounty
Carbon County, WY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.3% of 10,861 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.4%1,427TrumpRepublican75.2%5,014JorgensenLibertarian2.1%142
R+53.8- Lead
- 3,587
- Total
- 6,664
- vs nation
- R+58.3
- Turnout
- 60.2%
ClintonDemocratic20.1%1,279TrumpRepublican69.2%4,409JohnsonLibertarian6.0%381
R+49.1- Lead
- 3,130
- Total
- 6,374
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Turnout
- 56.2%
ObamaDemocratic32.4%2,110RomneyRepublican63.7%4,148OtherAll other candidates3.9%251
R+31.3- Lead
- 2,038
- Total
- 6,509
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.1%2,336McCainRepublican63.2%4,331OtherAll other candidates2.7%187
R+29.1- Lead
- 1,995
- Total
- 6,854
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.5%2,158BushRepublican67.2%4,758OtherAll other candidates2.3%161
R+36.7- Lead
- 2,600
- Total
- 7,077
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.7%2,206BushRepublican64.6%4,498NaderGreen1.5%105
R+32.9- Lead
- 2,292
- Total
- 6,968
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.3%2,690DoleRepublican45.0%2,930PerotReform13.1%855
R+3.7- Lead
- 240
- Total
- 6,517
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,4632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,5112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Payette County, ID · twin score 84.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.3%6,446 participants ÷ 10,861 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.3%–46.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,374 | 11,336 | 56.2% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,237 | 11,205 | 46.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,706 | 11,140 | 60.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,789 | 10,858 | 44.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,446 | 10,861 | 59.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 6,387 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11-01 Inside Saratoga11-01 Inside Saratoga | 201 | 670 | 22 | 893 | 22.5% | 75.0% | R+52.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -03-02 Mtn View03-02 Mtn View | 163 | 500 | 12 | 675 | 24.1% | 74.1% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -02-01 Highland Hills02-01 Highland Hills | 123 | 465 | 20 | 608 | 20.2% | 76.5% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -02-02 Sunny Side02-02 Sunny Side | 120 | 404 | 9 | 533 | 22.5% | 75.8% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -11-02 Outside Saratoga11-02 Outside Saratoga | 96 | 383 | 13 | 492 | 19.5% | 77.8% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -01-01 In Rawlins South01-01 In Rawlins South | 159 | 320 | 10 | 489 | 32.5% | 65.4% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -03-01 El Rancho & Jeffers03-01 El Rancho & Jeffers | 119 | 310 | 8 | 437 | 27.2% | 70.9% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -15-01 Baggs15-01 Baggs | 11 | 321 | 5 | 337 | 3.3% | 95.3% | R+92.0 |
| Precinct -08-01 Hanna08-01 Hanna | 57 | 272 | 5 | 334 | 17.1% | 81.4% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -12-01 Encampment12-01 Encampment | 48 | 242 | 8 | 298 | 16.1% | 81.2% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -01-02 In/Out Rawlins01-02 In/Out Rawlins | 43 | 242 | 6 | 291 | 14.8% | 83.2% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -13-01 Riverside13-01 Riverside | 58 | 189 | 7 | 254 | 22.8% | 74.4% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -05-01 Sinclair05-01 Sinclair | 26 | 151 | 5 | 182 | 14.3% | 83.0% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -09-01 Elk Mtn09-01 Elk Mtn | 16 | 156 | 6 | 178 | 9.0% | 87.6% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -07-01 Med Bow07-01 Med Bow | 7 | 131 | 12 | 150 | 4.7% | 87.3% | R+82.7 |
| Precinct -14-01 Dixon14-01 Dixon | 18 | 115 | 8 | 141 | 12.8% | 81.6% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -10-01 McFadden10-01 McFadden | 8 | 45 | 2 | 55 | 14.5% | 81.8% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -06-01 Leo06-01 Leo | 1 | 22 | 3 | 26 | 3.8% | 84.6% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -04-01 Muddy Gap04-01 Muddy Gap | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| AVERY/DIXON Voting District56_560071401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AVERY/DIXON Voting District56_560071401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAGGS Voting District56_560071501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAGGS Voting District56_560071501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELK MOUNTAIN Voting District56_560070901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELK MOUNTAIN Voting District56_560070901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ENCAMPMENT Voting District56_560071201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ENCAMPMENT Voting District56_560071201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANNA Voting District56_560070801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANNA Voting District56_560070801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEO Voting District56_560070601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEO Voting District56_560070601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCFADDEN Voting District56_560071001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MCFADDEN Voting District56_560071001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MEDICINE BOW Voting District56_560070701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MEDICINE BOW Voting District56_560070701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MUDDY GAP Voting District56_560070401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MUDDY GAP Voting District56_560070401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS01-01 Voting District56_560070101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS01-01 Voting District56_560070101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS01-02 Voting District56_560070102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS01-02 Voting District56_560070102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS02-01 Voting District56_560070201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS02-01 Voting District56_560070201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS02-02 Voting District56_560070202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS02-02 Voting District56_560070202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS03-01 Voting District56_560070301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS03-01 Voting District56_560070301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS03-02 Voting District56_560070302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAWLINS03-02 Voting District56_560070302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIVERSIDE Voting District56_560071202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIVERSIDE Voting District56_560071202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SARATOGA INSIDE Voting District56_560071101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SARATOGA INSIDE Voting District56_560071101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SARATOGA OUTSIDE Voting District56_560071102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SARATOGA OUTSIDE Voting District56_560071102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SINCLAIR Voting District56_560071601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SINCLAIR Voting District56_560071601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −52.3% |
| 1896 | −6.4% |
| 1900 | −20.8% |
| 1904 | −39.1% |
| 1908 | −6.9% |
| 1912 | −5.3% |
| 1916 | +14.6% |
| 1920 | −27.0% |
| 1924 | −37.9% |
| 1928 | −30.3% |
| 1932 | +14.7% |
| 1936 | +22.6% |
| 1940 | +8.7% |
| 1944 | +5.0% |
| 1948 | +19.3% |
| 1952 | −2.4% |
| 1956 | −1.8% |
| 1960 | +9.8% |
| 1964 | +33.4% |
| 1968 | +3.4% |
| 1972 | −27.5% |
| 1976 | −8.3% |
| 1980 | −28.4% |
| 1984 | −32.5% |
| 1988 | −13.0% |
| 1992 | +6.2% |
| 1996 | −3.7% |
| 2000 | −32.9% |
| 2004 | −36.7% |
| 2008 | −29.1% |
| 2012 | −31.3% |
| 2016 | −49.1% |
| 2020 | −53.8% |
| 2024 | −57.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.8%1,088 | 81.2%4,703 | 5,791 |
| 2020 | R | 22.4%1,337 | 77.6%4,644 | 5,981 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+67.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+57.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.6 points more Republican.
6,420 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−59 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,180 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,249 in average income, against $99,579 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.5 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Carbon County, WY itself (R+57.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Albany County, WY29R+3.1
- Laramie County, WY25R+32.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Albany County, WY36
- Natrona County, WY28
- Laramie County, WY27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −85 |
| 2012 | −192 |
| 2013 | +48 |
| 2014 | +5 |
| 2015 | −345 |
| 2016 | −21 |
| 2017 | −518 |
| 2018 | −436 |
| 2019 | −144 |
| 2021 | +205 |
| 2022 | −197 |
| 2023 | −222 |
| 2024 | −219 |
| 2025 | −59 |
Carbon County stretches across nearly 8,000 square miles of high-desert ranching and energy country, where the 2024 presidential margin of R+57.6 reflects one of the most consistent conservative voting patterns in a state already defined by them.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.6 points.
A population of 14,463, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,511 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Payette County and Box Butte County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Payette County
Idaho
84.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
Box Butte County
Nebraska
81.3twin score
12-yr trend2000–2024 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Benewah County
Idaho
79.1twin score
12-yr trend2004–2024 trajectory≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carbon County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Carbon County
Wyoming at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Carbon County, Wyoming vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carbon County, Wyoming voted Republican by 57.6 points (R+57.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,387 votes cast, 1,274 went Democratic and 4,952 went Republican.
When did Carbon County, Wyoming last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carbon County, Wyoming voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Carbon County, Wyoming?
Carbon County, Wyoming has a population of 14,463 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carbon County, Wyoming?
Median household income in Carbon County, Wyoming is $70,511 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wyoming state median is $76,176.
What is the political history of Carbon County, Wyoming?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carbon County, Wyoming from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.