- Lead
- 1,695
- Total
- 3,277
- vs nation
- R+50.3
Wyoming 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,606
- Total
- 3,493
- vs nation
- R+50.4
- Lead
- 1,363
- Total
- 3,407
- vs nation
- R+42.1
- Lead
- 722
- Total
- 3,613
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 641
- Total
- 3,805
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Lead
- 1,073
- Total
- 3,902
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Lead
- 868
- Total
- 3,790
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Lead
- 255
- Total
- 3,407
- vs nation
- R+1.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,0912024 5-year
- Population density
- 3.8 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,421 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,5072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+87.2 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 80, KS · twin score 86.6
presidential history
Party record book
Wyoming 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.5%
2,812 votes · D+41.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 67.2%
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
87.2%
502 votes · R+87.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 74.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
2,812votes
70.5% of the vote · D+41.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 2,486 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,493votes
71.4% of the vote · R+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 2,480 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+26.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +25.3 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+88.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+87.2 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +50.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.8%684 | 81.2%2,953 | 3,637 |
| 2020 | R | 22.4%840 | 77.6%2,915 | 3,755 |
Wyoming 15th State House District sits in the Northern Rockies. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 87.2 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.7 points.
A population of 9,091, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,507 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 80 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wyoming 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/56015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.