- Lead
- 1,605
- Total
- 2,443
- vs nation
- R+64.2
- Turnout
- 69.9%
Republic County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.9% of 3,504 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,758
- Total
- 2,657
- vs nation
- R+70.6
- Turnout
- 74.2%
- Lead
- 1,649
- Total
- 2,529
- vs nation
- R+67.3
- Turnout
- 68.1%
- Lead
- 1,657
- Total
- 2,686
- vs nation
- R+65.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,338
- Total
- 2,671
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,631
- Total
- 2,889
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,635
- Total
- 2,985
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,595
- Total
- 3,263
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Decatur County, KS · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.9%2,448 participants ÷ 3,504 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.6%–54.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,577 | 3,784 | 68.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,045 | 3,732 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,671 | 3,599 | 74.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,041 | 3,586 | 56.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,448 | 3,504 | 69.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
49 precincts · 2,443 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS15700005AKS15700005A | 77 | 250 | 8 | 335 | 23.0% | 74.6% | R+51.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS157000040KS157000040 | 54 | 257 | 7 | 318 | 17.0% | 80.8% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -KS15700006AKS15700006A | 31 | 193 | 4 | 228 | 13.6% | 84.6% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -KS157000200KS157000200 | 37 | 180 | 7 | 224 | 16.5% | 80.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -KS157000080KS157000080 | 33 | 155 | 5 | 193 | 17.1% | 80.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -KS157000030KS157000030 | 20 | 102 | 6 | 128 | 15.6% | 79.7% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -KS157000180KS157000180 | 22 | 102 | 1 | 125 | 17.6% | 81.6% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -KS15700012AKS15700012A | 11 | 80 | 0 | 91 | 12.1% | 87.9% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -KS157000100KS157000100 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 80 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -KS157000170KS157000170 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 80 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -KS157000070KS157000070 | 2 | 77 | 0 | 79 | 2.5% | 97.5% | R+94.9 |
| Precinct -KS157000010KS157000010 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 72 | 8.3% | 90.3% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -KS157000190KS157000190 | 14 | 54 | 1 | 69 | 20.3% | 78.3% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -KS157000140KS157000140 | 9 | 51 | 2 | 62 | 14.5% | 82.3% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -KS157000090KS157000090 | 10 | 48 | 1 | 59 | 16.9% | 81.4% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -KS157000160KS157000160 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 51 | 11.8% | 88.2% | R+76.5 |
| Precinct -KS157000020KS157000020 | 7 | 39 | 2 | 48 | 14.6% | 81.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -KS157000230KS157000230 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 45 | 15.6% | 82.2% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -KS157000220KS157000220 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 40 | 7.5% | 92.5% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -KS157000110KS157000110 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 35 | 22.9% | 77.1% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -KS157000130KS157000130 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 2.9% | 97.1% | R+94.3 |
| Precinct -KS157000150KS157000150 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 28 | 7.1% | 92.9% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -KS157000210KS157000210 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Albion Township Voting District20_20157000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Township Voting District20_20157000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Township Voting District20_20157000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Ward 120_20157000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Ward 220_2015700005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Ward 2 Exclave Airport20_2015700005B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Ward 320_2015700006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belleville Ward 3 Exclave Cemetery20_2015700006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Bend Township Voting District20_20157000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courtland Township Voting District20_20157000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk Creek Township Voting District20_20157000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Township Voting District20_20157000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington Township Voting District20_20157000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Freedom Township Enclave Voting District20_2015700012B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Freedom Township Voting District20_2015700012A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20157000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Township Voting District20_20157000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20157000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20157000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norway Township Voting District20_20157000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township Voting District20_20157000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Creek Township Voting District20_20157000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scandia Township Voting District20_20157000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Township Voting District20_20157000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington Township Voting District20_20157000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| White Rock Township Voting District20_20157000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −50.0% |
| 1896 | −3.1% |
| 1900 | −12.8% |
| 1904 | −44.9% |
| 1908 | −6.0% |
| 1912 | +22.4% |
| 1916 | +13.4% |
| 1920 | −36.6% |
| 1924 | −33.6% |
| 1928 | −37.3% |
| 1932 | +21.1% |
| 1936 | −5.5% |
| 1940 | −27.7% |
| 1944 | −33.4% |
| 1948 | −22.7% |
| 1952 | −53.9% |
| 1956 | −38.1% |
| 1960 | −31.9% |
| 1964 | −4.1% |
| 1968 | −38.6% |
| 1972 | −45.8% |
| 1976 | −17.0% |
| 1980 | −52.9% |
| 1984 | −53.9% |
| 1988 | −36.9% |
| 1992 | −21.8% |
| 1996 | −48.9% |
| 2000 | −54.8% |
| 2004 | −56.5% |
| 2008 | −50.1% |
| 2012 | −61.7% |
| 2016 | −65.2% |
| 2020 | −66.2% |
| 2024 | −65.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.9 points more Democratic.
3,543 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+34 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +92 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,088 in average income, against $62,098 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+60.6 on average — 5.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Republic County, KS itself (R+65.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cloud County, KS25R+60.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cloud County, KS29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | 0 |
| 2012 | −14 |
| 2013 | −31 |
| 2014 | +14 |
| 2015 | −14 |
| 2016 | −14 |
| 2017 | +53 |
| 2018 | +5 |
| 2019 | −18 |
| 2021 | +44 |
| 2022 | −2 |
| 2023 | +4 |
| 2024 | +31 |
| 2025 | +34 |
Republic County's 2024 presidential margin of R+65.7 reflects a pattern common to sparsely populated Great Plains counties, where a shrinking rural population and deep agricultural roots have driven Republican margins consistently above 60 points for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.2 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 65.7 points.
A population of 4,646, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,833 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Decatur County and Clay County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Republic County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20157/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.