- Lead
- 5,283
- Total
- 10,549
- vs nation
- R+48.6
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Sumner County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 16,831 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,514
- Total
- 10,928
- vs nation
- R+54.9
- Turnout
- 63.6%
- Lead
- 4,908
- Total
- 9,722
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Turnout
- 57.0%
- Lead
- 3,602
- Total
- 9,141
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,384
- Total
- 10,337
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,875
- Total
- 10,488
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,627
- Total
- 10,232
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,314
- Total
- 10,977
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,3532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,9512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Baker County, OR · twin score 85.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.1%10,621 participants ÷ 16,831 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.7%–50.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,994 | 17,522 | 57.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,094 | 17,379 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,956 | 17,214 | 63.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,150 | 16,902 | 48.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,621 | 16,831 | 63.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
93 precincts · 10,549 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS191000341KS191000341 | 625 | 1,252 | 45 | 1,922 | 32.5% | 65.1% | R+32.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS191000020KS191000020 | 356 | 1,036 | 31 | 1,423 | 25.0% | 72.8% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -KS191000340KS191000340 | 373 | 717 | 21 | 1,111 | 33.6% | 64.5% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -KS191000240KS191000240 | 146 | 441 | 19 | 606 | 24.1% | 72.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000200KS191000200 | 66 | 353 | 5 | 424 | 15.6% | 83.3% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000081KS191000081 | 85 | 290 | 9 | 384 | 22.1% | 75.5% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -KS191000290KS191000290 | 63 | 297 | 3 | 363 | 17.4% | 81.8% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000220KS191000220 | 90 | 236 | 11 | 337 | 26.7% | 70.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -KS191000100KS191000100 | 52 | 250 | 3 | 305 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -KS191000050KS191000050 | 76 | 215 | 1 | 292 | 26.0% | 73.6% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -KS191000280KS191000280 | 36 | 228 | 3 | 267 | 13.5% | 85.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -KS191000140KS191000140 | 47 | 209 | 5 | 261 | 18.0% | 80.1% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -KS191000120KS191000120 | 30 | 184 | 5 | 219 | 13.7% | 84.0% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -KS191000142KS191000142 | 40 | 136 | 0 | 176 | 22.7% | 77.3% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000040KS191000040 | 57 | 107 | 6 | 170 | 33.5% | 62.9% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -KS191000170KS191000170 | 39 | 126 | 4 | 169 | 23.1% | 74.6% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000010KS191000010 | 37 | 126 | 4 | 167 | 22.2% | 75.4% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -KS191000270KS191000270 | 18 | 137 | 4 | 159 | 11.3% | 86.2% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -KS191000320KS191000320 | 20 | 126 | 0 | 146 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -KS191000230KS191000230 | 25 | 111 | 1 | 137 | 18.2% | 81.0% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -KS191000141KS191000141 | 26 | 102 | 0 | 128 | 20.3% | 79.7% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -KS191000080KS191000080 | 22 | 100 | 2 | 124 | 17.7% | 80.6% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -KS191000422KS191000422 | 23 | 98 | 3 | 124 | 18.5% | 79.0% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000090KS191000090 | 11 | 91 | 1 | 103 | 10.7% | 88.3% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000250KS191000250 | 23 | 72 | 2 | 97 | 23.7% | 74.2% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000180KS191000180 | 7 | 86 | 2 | 95 | 7.4% | 90.5% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -KS191000130KS191000130 | 14 | 76 | 1 | 91 | 15.4% | 83.5% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -KS191000420KS191000420 | 8 | 72 | 4 | 84 | 9.5% | 85.7% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -KS191000060KS191000060 | 26 | 52 | 2 | 80 | 32.5% | 65.0% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000160KS191000160 | 11 | 65 | 1 | 77 | 14.3% | 84.4% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -KS191000300KS191000300 | 9 | 53 | 3 | 65 | 13.8% | 81.5% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000191KS191000191 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 64 | 10.9% | 85.9% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -KS191000310KS191000310 | 9 | 50 | 0 | 59 | 15.3% | 84.7% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000110KS191000110 | 7 | 49 | 1 | 57 | 12.3% | 86.0% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000260KS191000260 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 57 | 8.8% | 89.5% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -KS191000150KS191000150 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 38 | 10.5% | 86.8% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -KS191000111KS191000111 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 37 | 8.1% | 91.9% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -KS191000070KS191000070 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 32 | 12.5% | 84.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -KS191000030KS191000030 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 26 | 23.1% | 65.4% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -KS191000121KS191000121 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 5.3% | 94.7% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -KS191000190KS191000190 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 73.7% | 26.3% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct -KS191000210KS191000210 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -KS191000021KS191000021 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 33.3% | 55.6% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -KS191900060KS191900060 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 33.3% | 50.0% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -KS191900050KS191900050 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS191000311KS191000311 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Avon Township Voting District20_20191000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belle Plaine Township Voting District20_20191000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bluff Township Voting District20_20191000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caldwell City Ward 120_20191000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caldwell City Ward 220_20191000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caldwell Township Voting District20_20191000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chikaskia Township Voting District20_20191000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Conway Township Voting District20_20191000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Creek Township Voting District20_20191000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dixon Township Voting District20_20191000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Downs Township Voting District20_20191000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eden Township Voting District20_20191000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Falls Township Voting District20_20191000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gore Township Enclave Voting District20_20191900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gore Township Voting District20_20191000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greene Township Voting District20_20191000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Guelph Township Voting District20_20191000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harmon Township Voting District20_20191000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Illinois Township Voting District20_20191000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jackson Township Voting District20_20191000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| London Township Voting District20_20191000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris Township Voting District20_20191000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mulvane City Exclave A Voting District20_20191900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mulvane City Exclave B Voting District20_20191900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mulvane City Voting District20_20191000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osborne Township Voting District20_20191000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oxford Township Voting District20_20191000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palestine Township Voting District20_20191000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ryan Township Voting District20_20191000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seventy - Six Township Voting District20_20191000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Haven Township Voting District20_20191000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Springdale Township Voting District20_20191000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sumner Township Voting District20_20191000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Valverde Township Voting District20_20191000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walton Precinct20_20191000320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Airport Voting District20_20191900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 1 Precinct 120_20191000340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 1 Precinct 220_20191000350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 2 Precinct 120_20191000360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 2 Precinct 220_20191000370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 3 Precinct 120_20191000380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 3 Precinct 220_20191000390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 4 Precinct 120_20191000400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington City Ward 4 Precinct 220_2019100041A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington Lake Exclave Voting District20_20191900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington Township Part B Voting District20_20191900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington Township Voting District20_20191000420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −45.5% |
| 1896 | +9.5% |
| 1900 | −3.2% |
| 1904 | −33.5% |
| 1908 | −7.3% |
| 1912 | +27.8% |
| 1916 | +13.9% |
| 1920 | −24.7% |
| 1924 | −29.6% |
| 1928 | −60.9% |
| 1932 | +12.3% |
| 1936 | +23.3% |
| 1940 | −4.7% |
| 1944 | −20.4% |
| 1948 | −12.6% |
| 1952 | −38.7% |
| 1956 | −26.3% |
| 1960 | −23.5% |
| 1964 | +7.8% |
| 1968 | −20.0% |
| 1972 | −41.7% |
| 1976 | +7.2% |
| 1980 | −21.7% |
| 1984 | −30.0% |
| 1988 | −9.7% |
| 1992 | −4.5% |
| 1996 | −21.1% |
| 2000 | −25.7% |
| 2004 | −36.9% |
| 2008 | −32.7% |
| 2012 | −39.4% |
| 2016 | −50.5% |
| 2020 | −50.5% |
| 2024 | −50.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.0 points more Democratic.
15,566 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−22 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,116 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,116 in average income, against $69,675 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.0 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Sumner County, KS itself (R+50.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sedgwick County, KS304R+13.8
- Cowley County, KS49R+40.3
- Butler County, KS24R+41.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sedgwick County, KS328
- Cowley County, KS68
- Butler County, KS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −339 |
| 2012 | −149 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | −153 |
| 2015 | −15 |
| 2016 | −245 |
| 2017 | −91 |
| 2018 | −103 |
| 2019 | −189 |
| 2021 | +104 |
| 2022 | +152 |
| 2023 | +67 |
| 2024 | 0 |
| 2025 | −22 |
Sumner County, anchored by the small city of Wellington, delivered a 50-point Republican margin in 2024 — a figure consistent with the heavily Republican tilt of south-central Kansas's wheat-belt counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.9 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 50.1 points.
A population of 22,353, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,951 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Baker County and Sherman County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sumner County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20191/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.