- Lead
- 2,410
- Total
- 3,664
- vs nation
- R+64.3
- Turnout
- 65.3%
Thomas County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.3% of 5,655 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,505
- Total
- 3,810
- vs nation
- R+70.2
- Turnout
- 66.3%
- Lead
- 2,435
- Total
- 3,576
- vs nation
- R+70.2
- Turnout
- 61.5%
- Lead
- 2,190
- Total
- 3,474
- vs nation
- R+66.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,050
- Total
- 3,673
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,191
- Total
- 3,870
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,015
- Total
- 3,780
- vs nation
- R+53.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,859
- Total
- 3,907
- vs nation
- R+56.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,8852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pratt County, KS · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.3%3,691 participants ÷ 5,655 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.5%–53.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,705 | 6,023 | 61.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,109 | 5,851 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,794 | 5,725 | 66.3% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,960 | 5,746 | 51.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,691 | 5,655 | 65.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
41 precincts · 3,664 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS19300004AKS19300004A | 138 | 569 | 16 | 723 | 19.1% | 78.7% | R+59.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS193000050KS193000050 | 116 | 528 | 13 | 657 | 17.7% | 80.4% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -KS19300003AKS19300003A | 98 | 397 | 7 | 502 | 19.5% | 79.1% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -KS193000020KS193000020 | 102 | 363 | 7 | 472 | 21.6% | 76.9% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -KS193000180KS193000180 | 39 | 186 | 5 | 230 | 17.0% | 80.9% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -KS193000170KS193000170 | 16 | 141 | 1 | 158 | 10.1% | 89.2% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -KS19300007AKS19300007A | 26 | 114 | 3 | 143 | 18.2% | 79.7% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -KS193000140KS193000140 | 13 | 116 | 3 | 132 | 9.8% | 87.9% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -KS193000150KS193000150 | 5 | 106 | 0 | 111 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+91.0 |
| Precinct -KS193000120KS193000120 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 88 | 6.8% | 93.2% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -KS193000130KS193000130 | 7 | 73 | 2 | 82 | 8.5% | 89.0% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -KS193000060KS193000060 | 4 | 69 | 0 | 73 | 5.5% | 94.5% | R+89.0 |
| Precinct -KS193000090KS193000090 | 7 | 64 | 2 | 73 | 9.6% | 87.7% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -KS193000010KS193000010 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 59 | 10.2% | 89.8% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -KS193000080KS193000080 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 51 | 9.8% | 90.2% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -KS193000160KS193000160 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS193000110KS193000110 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 37 | 5.4% | 94.6% | R+89.2 |
| Precinct -KS193000100KS193000100 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 35 | 20.0% | 77.1% | R+57.1 |
| Barrett Township Voting District20_20193000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 120_20193000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 220_2019300003A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 2 Exclave20_2019300003B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 320_2019300004A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 3 Exclave20_2019300004B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 420_20193000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colby Ward 4 Exclave20_20193900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Hale Township Voting District20_20193000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Morgan Township Enclave 2 Voting District20_20193900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Morgan Township Enclave Voting District 120_2019300007B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Morgan Township Voting District20_2019300007A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kingery Township Voting District20_20193000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lacey Township Voting District20_20193000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menlo Township Voting District20_20193000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Randall Township Voting District20_20193000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rovohl Township Voting District20_20193000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Smith Township Voting District20_20193000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Randall Township Voting District20_20193000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Summers Township Voting District20_20193000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wendell Township Voting District20_20193000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Hale Township Voting District20_20193000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Morgan Township Voting District20_20193000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −41.3% |
| 1896 | +23.3% |
| 1900 | +15.3% |
| 1904 | −35.7% |
| 1908 | +4.8% |
| 1912 | +34.0% |
| 1916 | +31.9% |
| 1920 | −15.6% |
| 1924 | −22.4% |
| 1928 | −33.5% |
| 1932 | +27.5% |
| 1936 | +28.6% |
| 1940 | −9.4% |
| 1944 | −19.4% |
| 1948 | −0.7% |
| 1952 | −39.6% |
| 1956 | −24.7% |
| 1960 | −23.5% |
| 1964 | +7.9% |
| 1968 | −27.2% |
| 1972 | −40.0% |
| 1976 | −10.7% |
| 1980 | −41.5% |
| 1984 | −54.8% |
| 1988 | −24.1% |
| 1992 | −23.4% |
| 1996 | −47.6% |
| 2000 | −53.3% |
| 2004 | −56.6% |
| 2008 | −55.8% |
| 2012 | −63.0% |
| 2016 | −68.1% |
| 2020 | −65.7% |
| 2024 | −65.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.2 points more Democratic.
5,476 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−75 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,053 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,612 in average income, against $81,351 for residents who stayed — 43% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −29 |
| 2012 | −53 |
| 2013 | −22 |
| 2014 | −161 |
| 2015 | −2 |
| 2016 | −94 |
| 2017 | −72 |
| 2018 | −183 |
| 2019 | −1 |
| 2021 | −34 |
| 2022 | −109 |
| 2023 | −100 |
| 2024 | −118 |
| 2025 | −75 |
Thomas County, anchored by the small city of Colby on I-70, posted an R+65.8 margin in 2024, reflecting the deep Republican alignment typical of western Kansas's sparsely populated agricultural plains.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 68.1 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 65.8 points.
A population of 7,885, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,325 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pratt County and Logan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Thomas County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20193/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.