- Lead
- 1,947
- Total
- 13,256
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- 58.5%
Lyon County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.5% of 22,895 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,495
- Total
- 13,988
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Turnout
- 59.3%
- Lead
- 1,903
- Total
- 12,472
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- 54.5%
- Lead
- 1,359
- Total
- 11,875
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 774
- Total
- 12,911
- vs nation
- R+13.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,717
- Total
- 13,440
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,462
- Total
- 12,455
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,728
- Total
- 13,221
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 32,1862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,9122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Harrisonburg city, VA · twin score 83.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.5%13,391 participants ÷ 22,895 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.1%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,844 | 23,560 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,024 | 23,649 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,114 | 23,805 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,352 | 23,040 | 44.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,391 | 22,895 | 58.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
94 precincts · 13,256 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS111000240KS111000240 | 207 | 539 | 12 | 758 | 27.3% | 71.1% | R+43.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS111000190KS111000190 | 322 | 339 | 20 | 681 | 47.3% | 49.8% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -KS111000200KS111000200 | 278 | 346 | 10 | 634 | 43.8% | 54.6% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -KS111000140KS111000140 | 297 | 269 | 12 | 578 | 51.4% | 46.5% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct -KS111000300KS111000300 | 158 | 403 | 16 | 577 | 27.4% | 69.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -KS111000250KS111000250 | 131 | 416 | 10 | 557 | 23.5% | 74.7% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -KS111000040KS111000040 | 244 | 262 | 9 | 515 | 47.4% | 50.9% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct -KS111000130KS111000130 | 214 | 259 | 11 | 484 | 44.2% | 53.5% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -KS111000010KS111000010 | 272 | 188 | 10 | 470 | 57.9% | 40.0% | D+17.9 |
| Precinct -KS111000030KS111000030 | 227 | 208 | 7 | 442 | 51.4% | 47.1% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -KS111000160KS111000160 | 218 | 207 | 14 | 439 | 49.7% | 47.2% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -KS11100005AKS11100005A | 240 | 179 | 8 | 427 | 56.2% | 41.9% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct -KS111000180KS111000180 | 198 | 218 | 5 | 421 | 47.0% | 51.8% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -KS11100006AKS11100006A | 230 | 177 | 6 | 413 | 55.7% | 42.9% | D+12.8 |
| Precinct -KS111000080KS111000080 | 221 | 163 | 12 | 396 | 55.8% | 41.2% | D+14.6 |
| Precinct -KS111000100KS111000100 | 161 | 223 | 11 | 395 | 40.8% | 56.5% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -KS111000170KS111000170 | 180 | 200 | 10 | 390 | 46.2% | 51.3% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -KS111000320KS111000320 | 73 | 299 | 7 | 379 | 19.3% | 78.9% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -KS111000110KS111000110 | 200 | 166 | 10 | 376 | 53.2% | 44.1% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -KS111000311KS111000311 | 87 | 264 | 11 | 362 | 24.0% | 72.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -KS111000020KS111000020 | 218 | 124 | 10 | 352 | 61.9% | 35.2% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -KS111000310KS111000310 | 69 | 281 | 2 | 352 | 19.6% | 79.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -KS111000090KS111000090 | 195 | 147 | 4 | 346 | 56.4% | 42.5% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct -KS11100028AKS11100028A | 101 | 221 | 6 | 328 | 30.8% | 67.4% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -KS111000120KS111000120 | 159 | 153 | 8 | 320 | 49.7% | 47.8% | D+1.9 |
| Precinct -KS111000271KS111000271 | 88 | 218 | 6 | 312 | 28.2% | 69.9% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -KS111000150KS111000150 | 158 | 145 | 5 | 308 | 51.3% | 47.1% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -KS111000210KS111000210 | 51 | 183 | 6 | 240 | 21.3% | 76.3% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -KS111000260KS111000260 | 60 | 169 | 6 | 235 | 25.5% | 71.9% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -KS111000070KS111000070 | 101 | 67 | 4 | 172 | 58.7% | 39.0% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -KS111000230KS111000230 | 30 | 104 | 6 | 140 | 21.4% | 74.3% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -KS111000220KS111000220 | 32 | 85 | 1 | 118 | 27.1% | 72.0% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -KS111000270KS111000270 | 19 | 89 | 3 | 111 | 17.1% | 80.2% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -KS111000290KS111000290 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 86 | 24.4% | 75.6% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -KS111000291KS111000291 | 26 | 51 | 1 | 78 | 33.3% | 65.4% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -KS11100037AKS11100037A | 16 | 21 | 0 | 37 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -KS11100034AKS11100034A | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 10.0% | 90.0% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -KS111400010KS111400010 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 80.0% | 20.0% | D+60.0 |
| Precinct -KS111400030KS111400030 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -KS111900060KS111900060 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -KS111400020KS111400020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Precinct 0120_20111000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0220_20111000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0320_20111000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0420_20111000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 04 Part A20_20111400010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 04 Part B20_20111400020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 04 Part C20_20111400030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 04 Part D20_20111900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0520_2011100005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 05 Part A20_2011100005B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 05 Part B20_2011100005C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 06 Part A20_2011100006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 06 Part A Exclave20_2011100006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 06 Part B Exclave20_2011100006C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0720_20111000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0820_20111000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0920_20111000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 09 Part A20_20111900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1020_20111000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1120_20111000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1220_20111000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1320_20111000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1420_20111000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1520_20111000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1620_20111000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1720_20111000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 17 Enclave Part B20_2011100017B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 17 Exclave Part A20_2011100017A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1820_20111000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 18 Enclave Part A20_2011100018A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1920_20111000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 19 Exclave Part A20_20111300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 19 Exclave Part B20_20111300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2020_20111000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20 Exclave Part A20_2011100020A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2120_20111000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2220_20111000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2320_20111000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2420_20111000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2520_20111000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2620_20111000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2720_20111000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2820_2011100028A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 28 Enclave A20_2011100028B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 28 Enclave Part B20_2011100028C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 2920_20111000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 29 Enclave20_20111900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 29 Enclave 220_20111900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 29 Enclave 320_20111900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 29 Exclave Part A20_2011100029A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3020_20111000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3120_20111000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 3220_20111000320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −48.5% |
| 1896 | +6.7% |
| 1900 | −3.6% |
| 1904 | −35.8% |
| 1908 | −7.0% |
| 1912 | +25.4% |
| 1916 | +13.1% |
| 1920 | −24.3% |
| 1924 | −32.3% |
| 1928 | −51.7% |
| 1932 | +2.5% |
| 1936 | +9.9% |
| 1940 | −5.7% |
| 1944 | −6.7% |
| 1948 | −2.0% |
| 1952 | −36.6% |
| 1956 | −35.2% |
| 1960 | −22.1% |
| 1964 | +8.8% |
| 1968 | −22.2% |
| 1972 | −41.4% |
| 1976 | −10.6% |
| 1980 | −25.8% |
| 1984 | −39.7% |
| 1988 | −12.2% |
| 1992 | −1.9% |
| 1996 | −13.1% |
| 2000 | −11.7% |
| 2004 | −20.2% |
| 2008 | −6.0% |
| 2012 | −11.4% |
| 2016 | −15.3% |
| 2020 | −10.7% |
| 2024 | −14.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.8 points.
20,561 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−223 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,043 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,554 in average income, against $64,899 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.2 on average — 12 points more Republican-leaning than Lyon County, KS itself (R+14.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sedgwick County, KS45R+13.8
- Coffey County, KS44R+55.7
- Johnson County, KS42D+8.5
- Shawnee County, KS38D+0.5
- Osage County, KS32R+48.0
- Greenwood County, KS30R+61.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Johnson County, KS76
- Sedgwick County, KS73
- Shawnee County, KS52
- Douglas County, KS33
- Riley County, KS30
- Jackson County, MO30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −208 |
| 2012 | −365 |
| 2013 | −310 |
| 2014 | −563 |
| 2015 | −248 |
| 2016 | +17 |
| 2017 | −289 |
| 2018 | −102 |
| 2019 | −265 |
| 2021 | −163 |
| 2022 | −197 |
| 2023 | −27 |
| 2024 | −100 |
| 2025 | −223 |
Lyon County anchors the Flint Hills with Emporia State University at its core, a combination that has historically kept its Republican margins narrower than surrounding rural counties, though 2024's R+14.7 result signals a widening gap.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 51.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 32,186, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,912 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Harrisonburg city and Doña Ana County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lyon County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.