- Lead
- 2,883
- Total
- 5,870
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Turnout
- 64.8%
Marion County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.8% of 9,216 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,949
- Total
- 6,111
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 66.3%
- Lead
- 2,799
- Total
- 5,670
- vs nation
- R+51.5
- Turnout
- 61.2%
- Lead
- 2,504
- Total
- 5,409
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,358
- Total
- 6,059
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,980
- Total
- 6,159
- vs nation
- R+45.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,681
- Total
- 5,903
- vs nation
- R+45.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,500
- Total
- 6,389
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,7542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,6952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.7 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gosper County, NE · twin score 90.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.8%5,968 participants ÷ 9,216 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.4%–53.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,813 | 9,505 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,939 | 9,374 | 52.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,170 | 9,302 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,924 | 9,297 | 53.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,968 | 9,216 | 64.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
66 precincts · 5,870 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS115900010KS115900010 | 162 | 421 | 21 | 604 | 26.8% | 69.7% | R+42.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS115000150KS115000150 | 143 | 411 | 15 | 569 | 25.1% | 72.2% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000300KS115000300 | 181 | 298 | 9 | 488 | 37.1% | 61.1% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -KS115000210KS115000210 | 143 | 328 | 10 | 481 | 29.7% | 68.2% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -KS11500022AKS11500022A | 130 | 324 | 9 | 463 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -KS115000030KS115000030 | 65 | 257 | 3 | 325 | 20.0% | 79.1% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000270KS115000270 | 67 | 208 | 8 | 283 | 23.7% | 73.5% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -KS115000050KS115000050 | 33 | 211 | 4 | 248 | 13.3% | 85.1% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -KS115000260KS115000260 | 68 | 149 | 5 | 222 | 30.6% | 67.1% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -KS115000180KS115000180 | 40 | 157 | 7 | 204 | 19.6% | 77.0% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -KS115000230KS115000230 | 66 | 128 | 5 | 199 | 33.2% | 64.3% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -KS115000130KS115000130 | 36 | 104 | 7 | 147 | 24.5% | 70.7% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -KS115000280KS115000280 | 21 | 117 | 5 | 143 | 14.7% | 81.8% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000170KS115000170 | 33 | 104 | 2 | 139 | 23.7% | 74.8% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000240KS115000240 | 14 | 120 | 2 | 136 | 10.3% | 88.2% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -KS115000310KS115000310 | 9 | 101 | 1 | 111 | 8.1% | 91.0% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -KS115000090KS115000090 | 33 | 74 | 2 | 109 | 30.3% | 67.9% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -KS115000020KS115000020 | 16 | 87 | 3 | 106 | 15.1% | 82.1% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -KS115000080KS115000080 | 23 | 72 | 4 | 99 | 23.2% | 72.7% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -KS115000120KS115000120 | 15 | 80 | 2 | 97 | 15.5% | 82.5% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -KS115000060KS115000060 | 22 | 71 | 0 | 93 | 23.7% | 76.3% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -KS115000010KS115000010 | 18 | 72 | 0 | 90 | 20.0% | 80.0% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -KS11500011AKS11500011A | 17 | 60 | 2 | 79 | 21.5% | 75.9% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -KS115000200KS115000200 | 10 | 66 | 1 | 77 | 13.0% | 85.7% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -KS115000100KS115000100 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 76 | 14.5% | 85.5% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000140KS115000140 | 18 | 57 | 0 | 75 | 24.0% | 76.0% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -KS115000040KS115000040 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 70 | 11.4% | 88.6% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -KS115000290KS115000290 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 41 | 26.8% | 70.7% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -KS115000250KS115000250 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 38 | 18.4% | 81.6% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -KS115000070KS115000070 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 31 | 16.1% | 83.9% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -KS115000190KS115000190 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 27 | 14.8% | 81.5% | R+66.7 |
| Blaine Township Voting District20_20115000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Catlin Township Voting District20_20115000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centre Township Voting District20_20115000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clark Township Voting District20_20115000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Creek Township Voting District20_20115000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax Township Voting District20_20115000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Doyle Township Voting District20_20115000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Durham Park Township Voting District20_20115000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Branch Township Voting District20_20115000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairplay Township Voting District20_20115000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florence Ward 120_2011500011A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florence Ward 1 Exclave20_2011500011B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florence Ward 220_20115000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gale Township Voting District20_20115000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20115000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillsboro Ward 120_20115000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillsboro Ward 220_20115900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillsboro Ward 2 Exclave A20_20115900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillsboro Ward 2 Exclave Industrial Park20_2011500016C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lehigh Township Voting District20_20115000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20115000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township Voting District20_20115000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lost Springs Township Voting District20_20115000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion North Ward20_20115000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion South Ward20_2011500022A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion South Ward Exclave20_2011500022B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menno Township Voting District20_20115000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Milton Township Voting District20_20115000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moore Township Voting District20_20115000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peabody East Voting District20_20115000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peabody West Voting District20_20115000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Risley Township Voting District20_20115000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Summit Township Voting District20_20115000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Branch Township Voting District20_20115000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson Township Voting District20_20115000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −55.5% |
| 1896 | −14.5% |
| 1900 | −20.3% |
| 1904 | −46.8% |
| 1908 | −18.0% |
| 1912 | +20.1% |
| 1916 | −10.0% |
| 1920 | −36.5% |
| 1924 | −35.0% |
| 1928 | −47.3% |
| 1932 | +14.9% |
| 1936 | +0.3% |
| 1940 | −35.6% |
| 1944 | −45.8% |
| 1948 | −31.6% |
| 1952 | −62.7% |
| 1956 | −52.5% |
| 1960 | −46.7% |
| 1964 | −10.9% |
| 1968 | −45.8% |
| 1972 | −47.8% |
| 1976 | −3.5% |
| 1980 | −38.9% |
| 1984 | −45.4% |
| 1988 | −28.4% |
| 1992 | −23.9% |
| 1996 | −39.1% |
| 2000 | −45.4% |
| 2004 | −48.4% |
| 2008 | −38.9% |
| 2012 | −46.3% |
| 2016 | −49.4% |
| 2020 | −48.3% |
| 2024 | −49.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 3.0 points.
8,254 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−25 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −339 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,940 in average income, against $72,550 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.8 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Marion County, KS itself (R+49.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harvey County, KS47R+21.1
- Sedgwick County, KS39R+13.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sedgwick County, KS46
- Harvey County, KS38
- McPherson County, KS27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −76 |
| 2012 | −116 |
| 2013 | −143 |
| 2014 | +22 |
| 2015 | −69 |
| 2016 | +12 |
| 2017 | −7 |
| 2018 | −4 |
| 2019 | −10 |
| 2021 | +8 |
| 2022 | +146 |
| 2023 | +2 |
| 2024 | −79 |
| 2025 | −25 |
Marion County's R+49.1 margin in 2024 reflects a largely rural, agricultural electorate that has swung decisively toward Republican presidential candidates for decades, leaving little competitive ground at the top of the ticket.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.7 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.1 points.
A population of 11,754, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,695 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gosper County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.