- Lead
- 3,389
- Total
- 16,086
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- 64.4%
Harvey County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.4% of 25,255 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,435
- Total
- 17,309
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Turnout
- 68.6%
- Lead
- 3,600
- Total
- 15,116
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Turnout
- 61.3%
- Lead
- 3,215
- Total
- 14,294
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,688
- Total
- 15,613
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,203
- Total
- 15,110
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,680
- Total
- 13,684
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,464
- Total
- 14,504
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,7562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,3682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Walla Walla County, WA · twin score 73.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.4%16,273 participants ÷ 25,255 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.7%–53.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,435 | 25,185 | 61.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,888 | 25,136 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,481 | 25,478 | 68.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,166 | 25,356 | 51.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,273 | 25,255 | 64.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
83 precincts · 16,086 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS07900022SKS07900022S | 577 | 912 | 22 | 1,511 | 38.2% | 60.4% | R+22.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS079000280KS079000280 | 672 | 371 | 14 | 1,057 | 63.6% | 35.1% | D+28.5 |
| Precinct -KS07900019AKS07900019A | 448 | 594 | 10 | 1,052 | 42.6% | 56.5% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -KS079000090KS079000090 | 445 | 560 | 19 | 1,024 | 43.5% | 54.7% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -KS07900010AKS07900010A | 320 | 602 | 18 | 940 | 34.0% | 64.0% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -KS079000240KS079000240 | 385 | 483 | 16 | 884 | 43.6% | 54.6% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -KS079000250KS079000250 | 325 | 388 | 12 | 725 | 44.8% | 53.5% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -KS079900020KS079900020 | 164 | 513 | 10 | 687 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -KS079000210KS079000210 | 284 | 387 | 15 | 686 | 41.4% | 56.4% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -KS079000070KS079000070 | 206 | 374 | 8 | 588 | 35.0% | 63.6% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -KS07900022AKS07900022A | 225 | 311 | 17 | 553 | 40.7% | 56.2% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -KS079000230KS079000230 | 252 | 261 | 15 | 528 | 47.7% | 49.4% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct -KS079000150KS079000150 | 216 | 240 | 6 | 462 | 46.8% | 51.9% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -KS079000200KS079000200 | 191 | 206 | 6 | 403 | 47.4% | 51.1% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -KS079000160KS079000160 | 173 | 194 | 10 | 377 | 45.9% | 51.5% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct -KS079000180KS079000180 | 181 | 177 | 8 | 366 | 49.5% | 48.4% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -KS079000060KS079000060 | 98 | 260 | 6 | 364 | 26.9% | 71.4% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -KS079000290KS079000290 | 80 | 241 | 4 | 325 | 24.6% | 74.2% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -KS079900010KS079900010 | 73 | 243 | 8 | 324 | 22.5% | 75.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -KS079000040KS079000040 | 76 | 225 | 15 | 316 | 24.1% | 71.2% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -KS079000260KS079000260 | 124 | 170 | 6 | 300 | 41.3% | 56.7% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -KS079000030KS079000030 | 76 | 206 | 5 | 287 | 26.5% | 71.8% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -KS079000170KS079000170 | 103 | 142 | 9 | 254 | 40.6% | 55.9% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -KS079000300KS079000300 | 34 | 209 | 2 | 245 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -KS079000140KS079000140 | 63 | 153 | 1 | 217 | 29.0% | 70.5% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -KS079000110KS079000110 | 89 | 123 | 4 | 216 | 41.2% | 56.9% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -KS079000320KS079000320 | 59 | 126 | 3 | 188 | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -KS079000080KS079000080 | 53 | 119 | 4 | 176 | 30.1% | 67.6% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -KS079000050KS079000050 | 50 | 119 | 5 | 174 | 28.7% | 68.4% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -KS079000130KS079000130 | 22 | 118 | 2 | 142 | 15.5% | 83.1% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -KS079000010KS079000010 | 29 | 96 | 1 | 126 | 23.0% | 76.2% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -KS079900030KS079900030 | 29 | 72 | 4 | 105 | 27.6% | 68.6% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -KS079000310KS079000310 | 18 | 85 | 0 | 103 | 17.5% | 82.5% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -KS079000020KS079000020 | 14 | 81 | 3 | 98 | 14.3% | 82.7% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -KS079000120KS079000120 | 11 | 72 | 1 | 84 | 13.1% | 85.7% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -KS079000311KS079000311 | 14 | 69 | 0 | 83 | 16.9% | 83.1% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -KS07900003AKS07900003A | 11 | 54 | 2 | 67 | 16.4% | 80.6% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -KS079000141KS079000141 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 49 | 24.5% | 71.4% | R+46.9 |
| Alta Township Voting District20_20079000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burrton City Exclave Voting District20_20079900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burrton City Voting District20_20079900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burrton Township Voting District20_20079000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Darlington Township Voting District20_20079000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Emma Township Voting District20_20079000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garden Township Voting District20_20079000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Halstead City Ward 1 Precinct 120_20079000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Halstead City Ward 1 Precinct 220_20079000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Halstead Township Voting District20_20079000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hesston Precinct 120_20079000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hesston Precinct 220_2007900010A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Highland Township Voting District20_20079000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Township Voting District20_20079000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakin Township Voting District20_20079000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Macon Township Voting District20_20079000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 1 Precinct 120_20079000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 1 Precinct 220_20079000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 1 Precinct 320_20079000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 2 Precinct 120_20079000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 2 Precinct 220_2007900019A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 3 Precinct 120_20079000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 3 Precinct 220_20079000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 3 Precinct 3 Part A20_2007900022A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 3 Precinct 420_20079800010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 4 Precinct 120_20079000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 4 Precinct 220_20079000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 4 Precinct 320_20079000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton City Ward 4 Precinct 420_20079000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part A Voting District20_2007900027A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part B Exclave Voting District20_2007900027C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part B Voting District20_2007900027B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part C Voting District20_2007900027D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part D Voting District20_20079900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part E Voting District20_20079900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part F Voting District20_20079900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newton Township Part G Voting District20_20079900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Newton City Voting District20_20079000280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Township Voting District20_20079000290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS079000270KS079000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township Voting District20_20079000300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sedgwick City Voting District20_20079900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sedgwick Township Voting District20_20079000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walton City Voting District20_20079900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walton Township Voting District20_20079000320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −52.8% |
| 1896 | −10.6% |
| 1900 | −15.2% |
| 1904 | −50.0% |
| 1908 | −21.0% |
| 1912 | +20.0% |
| 1916 | −4.9% |
| 1920 | −28.3% |
| 1924 | −36.1% |
| 1928 | −56.2% |
| 1932 | −1.2% |
| 1936 | +9.2% |
| 1940 | −14.9% |
| 1944 | −23.4% |
| 1948 | −18.1% |
| 1952 | −43.9% |
| 1956 | −40.8% |
| 1960 | −37.4% |
| 1964 | +3.1% |
| 1968 | −30.7% |
| 1972 | −38.4% |
| 1976 | −4.8% |
| 1980 | −22.2% |
| 1984 | −29.4% |
| 1988 | −10.9% |
| 1992 | −8.1% |
| 1996 | −23.9% |
| 2000 | −26.9% |
| 2004 | −27.8% |
| 2008 | −17.2% |
| 2012 | −22.5% |
| 2016 | −23.8% |
| 2020 | −19.8% |
| 2024 | −21.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.4 points more Republican.
22,948 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+14 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −823 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,063 in average income, against $73,971 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.8 on average — 2.8 points more Republican-leaning than Harvey County, KS itself (R+21.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sedgwick County, KS337R+13.8
- Reno County, KS64R+34.5
- McPherson County, KS59R+41.1
- Butler County, KS41R+41.2
- Marion County, KS38R+49.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sedgwick County, KS340
- Reno County, KS81
- Marion County, KS47
- McPherson County, KS43
- Butler County, KS35
- Johnson County, KS30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −137 |
| 2012 | +9 |
| 2013 | −129 |
| 2014 | −205 |
| 2015 | +140 |
| 2016 | −124 |
| 2017 | −344 |
| 2018 | −234 |
| 2019 | +172 |
| 2021 | −71 |
| 2022 | +91 |
| 2023 | −22 |
| 2024 | +17 |
| 2025 | +14 |
Harvey County anchors around Newton, a historic Mennonite settlement and former railroad hub, giving it a modest urban-rural mix that has nonetheless tracked reliably Republican in recent presidential cycles by margins exceeding 20 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.1 points.
A population of 33,756, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,368 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walla Walla County and Teton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harvey County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.