- Lead
- 407
- Total
- 81,819
- vs nation
- D+2.0
- Turnout
- 62.3%
Shawnee County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.3% of 132,681 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,572
- Total
- 85,657
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 2,008
- Total
- 76,766
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 807
- Total
- 76,508
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 241
- Total
- 84,177
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,924
- Total
- 81,577
- vs nation
- R+7.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,076
- Total
- 74,373
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,042
- Total
- 75,663
- vs nation
- R+11.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 178,0252024 5-year
- Population density
- 327 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 544 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,1042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Douglas County, KS · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.3%82,702 participants ÷ 132,681 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.6%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 78,356 | 130,497 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 71,501 | 131,464 | 54.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 86,450 | 131,670 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 67,704 | 132,923 | 50.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 82,702 | 132,681 | 62.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Shawnee County, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.1%
30,626 votes · D+8.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 53.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.5%
24,723 votes · R+53.5
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 73.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
43,015votes
50.2% of the vote · D+3.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41,235 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
44,188votes
54.2% of the vote · R+9.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 43,727 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+5.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.2 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +2.0 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+62.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.8 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +36.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.2%38,006 | 49.8%37,650 | 75,656 |
| 2020 | D | 52.6%43,491 | 47.4%39,184 | 82,675 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Shawnee County, KS registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 8.5-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
115,978 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+241 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,433 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,892 in average income, against $75,080 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.1 on average — 9.6 points more Republican-leaning than Shawnee County, KS itself (D+0.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Douglas County, KS331D+38.0
- Johnson County, KS185D+8.5
- Jefferson County, KS161R+36.9
- Osage County, KS147R+48.0
- Jackson County, KS120R+42.6
- Riley County, KS117D+1.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Douglas County, KS321
- Johnson County, KS296
- Jackson County, MO183
- Osage County, KS135
- Sedgwick County, KS131
- Jefferson County, KS128
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −329 |
| 2012 | −753 |
| 2013 | −1,123 |
| 2014 | −945 |
| 2015 | −526 |
| 2016 | −1,014 |
| 2017 | −606 |
| 2018 | −1,072 |
| 2019 | −743 |
| 2021 | −139 |
| 2022 | −635 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +54 |
| 2025 | +241 |
Shawnee County anchors Kansas state government in Topeka and has trended toward battleground status over the past decade, with its 2024 presidential result landing within half a percentage point — a dramatic shift from its reliably Republican past.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.8 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.5 points.
A population of 178,025, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,104 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Douglas County and Jefferson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shawnee County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.