- Lead
- 1,779
- Total
- 4,565
- vs nation
- R+37.5
- Turnout
- 39.7%
Seward County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 39.7% of 11,594 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,539
- Total
- 5,294
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- 48.4%
- Lead
- 1,531
- Total
- 5,038
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- 46.2%
- Lead
- 2,127
- Total
- 5,176
- vs nation
- R+44.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,298
- Total
- 5,336
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,150
- Total
- 5,439
- vs nation
- R+55.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,743
- Total
- 5,096
- vs nation
- R+54.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,503
- Total
- 5,573
- vs nation
- R+53.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,4862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,8272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 67.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Adams County, WA · twin score 95.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 39.7%4,598 participants ÷ 11,594 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 17.6%–23.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,218 | 11,296 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,930 | 11,239 | 35.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,333 | 11,019 | 48.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,033 | 11,533 | 26.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,598 | 11,594 | 39.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 4,565 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS175000170KS175000170 | 235 | 626 | 12 | 873 | 26.9% | 71.7% | R+44.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS175000180KS175000180 | 146 | 444 | 13 | 603 | 24.2% | 73.6% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -KS175000110KS175000110 | 199 | 290 | 13 | 502 | 39.6% | 57.8% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -KS175000120KS175000120 | 140 | 248 | 5 | 393 | 35.6% | 63.1% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -KS175000130KS175000130 | 122 | 251 | 8 | 381 | 32.0% | 65.9% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -KS175000100KS175000100 | 122 | 173 | 4 | 299 | 40.8% | 57.9% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -KS175000150KS175000150 | 88 | 197 | 9 | 294 | 29.9% | 67.0% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -KS175000140KS175000140 | 127 | 147 | 7 | 281 | 45.2% | 52.3% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -KS175000160KS175000160 | 76 | 167 | 3 | 246 | 30.9% | 67.9% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -KS175000020KS175000020 | 25 | 138 | 3 | 166 | 15.1% | 83.1% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -KS175000040KS175000040 | 38 | 92 | 0 | 130 | 29.2% | 70.8% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -KS17500005AKS17500005A | 12 | 66 | 0 | 78 | 15.4% | 84.6% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -KS175000070KS175000070 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 56 | 7.1% | 92.9% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -KS17500008AKS17500008A | 4 | 48 | 0 | 52 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -KS175000010KS175000010 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 50 | 8.0% | 92.0% | R+84.0 |
| Precinct -KS175000190KS175000190 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS175000200KS175000200 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 31 | 3.2% | 93.5% | R+90.3 |
| Precinct -KS175000060KS175000060 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 30 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -KS175000090KS175000090 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 29 | 17.2% | 82.8% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -KS175000210KS175000210 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS175000030KS175000030 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 23.5% | 76.5% | R+52.9 |
| Fargo Township 1 Voting District20_20175000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fargo Township 2 Voting District20_20175000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fargo Township 3 Voting District20_20175000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fargo Township 4 Voting District20_20175000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 1 Exclave Voting District20_2017500005B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 1 Voting District20_2017500005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 2 Voting District20_20175000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 3 Voting District20_20175000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 4 Exclave Voting District20_2017500008B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 4 Voting District20_2017500008A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Township 5 Voting District20_20175000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 1 Precinct 120_20175000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 1 Precinct 220_20175000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 1 Precinct 320_20175000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 220_20175000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 320_20175000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 420_20175000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 520_20175000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 6 Precinct 120_20175000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberal Ward 6 Precinct 220_20175000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seward Township 1 Voting District20_20175000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seward Township 2 Voting District20_20175000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seward Township 3 Voting District20_20175000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −57.1% |
| 1896 | −12.3% |
| 1900 | −22.3% |
| 1904 | −38.8% |
| 1908 | −1.6% |
| 1912 | +23.1% |
| 1916 | +21.7% |
| 1920 | −27.1% |
| 1924 | −22.3% |
| 1928 | −54.9% |
| 1932 | +9.4% |
| 1936 | +28.6% |
| 1940 | −1.0% |
| 1944 | −8.4% |
| 1948 | −6.1% |
| 1952 | −46.2% |
| 1956 | −42.4% |
| 1960 | −41.1% |
| 1964 | −7.1% |
| 1968 | −36.1% |
| 1972 | −57.5% |
| 1976 | −30.2% |
| 1980 | −47.2% |
| 1984 | −62.1% |
| 1988 | −42.0% |
| 1992 | −29.2% |
| 1996 | −44.9% |
| 2000 | −53.8% |
| 2004 | −57.9% |
| 2008 | −43.1% |
| 2012 | −41.1% |
| 2016 | −30.4% |
| 2020 | −29.1% |
| 2024 | −39.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
11,267 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−276 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,477 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,435 in average income, against $66,964 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+74.2 on average — 35 points more Republican-leaning than Seward County, KS itself (R+39.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Texas County, OK36R+67.7
- Beaver County, OK22R+83.8
- Stevens County, KS20R+75.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Texas County, OK59
- Sedgwick County, KS32
- Finney County, KS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −175 |
| 2012 | −197 |
| 2013 | −423 |
| 2014 | −452 |
| 2015 | −556 |
| 2016 | −852 |
| 2017 | −1,022 |
| 2018 | −748 |
| 2019 | −878 |
| 2021 | −303 |
| 2022 | −693 |
| 2023 | −527 |
| 2024 | −375 |
| 2025 | −276 |
Seward County's meatpacking economy has drawn one of Kansas's larger Hispanic populations to Liberal, its county seat, yet presidential margins have held consistently above R+35 for the past decade, reflecting the complex interplay of industry, immigration, and rural voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.1 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.0 points.
A population of 21,486, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,827 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Adams County and Deaf Smith County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Seward County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.